Let's Talk Fantasy Football 2010!

[tommie frazier]

online auctions last year I had heard were riddled with the other AP being nominated. in a friend league, it would be hillarious assuming you can guarantee the payment. in a league of strangers online I can see it turning into one angry owner on autopilot and f'ing up the league.

[chiefofpool]

Sorry guys I'm double-checking many trades with you guys but it's my first time playing fantasy football and I don't want to be screwed.

My league is usualy yahoo points with 4pb QB TD.

I have :

Schaud, Roeth, Vick (FA)
A. Johnson, S. Smith NYG, wallace, driver, breaston, Bowe (got him on waivers)
S. Jackson, Charles, Jacobs, Maroney
Witten
Keading,
NYJ

A co-worker would agree to Bowe + Vick for CJ Spiller and Hightower

That's a gimme right?

[rekrap]

We got a new thread just for trades:
http://www.actuarialoutpost.com/actuarial_discussion_forum/showthread.php?t=200555

And Bowe wasn't drafted in your league? I don't think the trade is a gimmie given Hightower has competition when Wells is healthy, and Spiller didn't look so good week 1 on a really bad team. You do need running back depth, tho.

[MooBeay]

Sorry guys I'm double-checking many trades with you guys but it's my first time playing fantasy football and I don't want to be screwed.

My league is usualy yahoo points with 4pb QB TD.

I have :

Schaud, Roeth, Vick (FA)
A. Johnson, S. Smith NYG, wallace, driver, breaston, Bowe (got him on waivers)
S. Jackson, Charles, Jacobs, Maroney
Witten
Keading,
NYJ

A co-worker would agree to Bowe + Vick for CJ Spiller and Hightower

That's a gimme right?

Yes. Bowe can't catch which is problematic for a WR. Vick might not start after week 2. Keeper league?

[epeddy1]

So what are the odds that I can get 12 points out of Hartley tonight? (3 pts per FG, 1 for PAT, no deduction for misses.)

A related question, what are the odds that my bench gets 5 TDs, and my starters get 1?

[3rookie]

So what are the odds that I can get 12 points out of Hartley tonight? (3 pts per FG, 1 for PAT, no deduction for misses.)

A related question, what are the odds that my bench gets 5 TDs, and my starters get 1?Hartley = 20%. NO likes TDs.
Not uncommon for the bench to outscore the starters. We had a reversion to the mean this week.

[SamTheEagle]

I need good games out of Brees and Crabtree tonight, and a bad game out of Vernon Davis. About 28 points down at this point. Definitely doable, but I'm not feeling real good about it.

[JollyGoodFCAS]

I need good games out of Brees and Crabtree tonight, and a bad game out of Vernon Davis. About 28 points down at this point. Definitely doable, but I'm not feeling real good about it.

If it's 6 pts per passing TD, Brees can easily get 28 by himself, at which point it's a race between Crabtree and Davis. Good luck!

[epeddy1]

In one of my league (not the same as mentioned in my previous post today), we have designated bench spots (1 starting QB, 1 bench QB, 2 starting RBs, 2 bench RBs, etc). With the exception of my QB, each bench position outscored each starting position. And most of the spots weren't even tough decisions. For example, Peyton Hillis outscored Jamaal Charles, Braylon Edwards outscored Greg Jennings. I just need 10.5 points from Pierre Thomas tonight and I'll have a decent 1-1 record, otherwise I'm in the same miserable, embarrasing, pathetic shape as the 0-2 Cowboys.

[chiefofpool]

Had an insane week... 117 pts

My opponent entered MNF with 26 pts behind, and guess who he had... Frank Gore.

FML

[rawl316]

went 1-3. I needed like 3 more points from brees in one league (6 pts per td, 25 yards per points).

[rekrap]

PThomas not punching in the TD late in the 4th cost me $10 this week. :swear:

[3rookie]

PThomas not punching in the TD late in the 4th cost me $10 this week. :swear:That got me the win. I'll buy you a drink.

[rekrap]

That got me the win. I'll buy you a drink.

And congrats on your 'worst to first' ths week, too. :toast:

[BuckyBadger]

PThomas not punching in the TD late in the 4th cost me $10 this week. :swear:

Some dude in my league lost by 1 point on the reversed Vernon Davis 2 point conversion.

[MooBeay]

I barely won...55-51.8, what a weak game.
and i have CJ and Rice. Thank you Jay Cutler.

[Whiskey]

This week is the first time I have been truly pissed off by the results.

Lost by 8 points. In got hit by the injury bug on both sides (hurting my players and helping my buddy's).

He got 24 points from. KEVIN WALTER, Houston (more balls his way because of injury to Andre Johnson).

I got a combined 7 points from the following:
Hines Ward (Dixon injured)
Ryan Mathews (injured in 1st quarter. Was running well, too)
Jamal Charles (coach had a brain injury and under utilized him).

I really thought I was going to finally win this weekend until the late games just ruined everything!!!

[MooBeay]

This week is the first time I have been truly pissed off by the results.

Lost by 8 points. In got hit by the injury bug on both sides (hurting my players and helping my buddy's).

He got 24 points from. KEVIN WALTER, Houston (more balls his way because of injury to Andre Johnson).

I got a combined 7 points from the following:
Hines Ward (Dixon injured)
Ryan Mathews (injured in 1st quarter. Was running well, too)
Jamal Charles (coach had a brain injury and under utilized him).

I really thought I was going to finally win this weekend until the late games just ruined everything!!!

how injured is matthews?

[Whiskey]

how injured is matthews?

He says he is fine and he could have gone back in. He was walking with a slight limp after the game. It is his ankle, so you never know.

In my other league (which is a goof/for fun league) we did an auto draft and i forgot to update my ranking before the draft. I somehow won this week despite the fact that my top "projected" starters did nothing (MJD and Favre). I even broke 100. Thank goodness I started Best over Spiller this week.

So the team that I put less effort into is doing better than the one I am trying to win with. :shake2:

[epeddy1]

Funny story:

This guy in our league is a moran. Last year, he picked Nick Folk in the 6th round of the draft. This year, he picked Thomas Jones in the 1st round (7th overall). We don't say anything because we like his money, and it's up to him to figure out how to print off a current cheat sheet.

Anyways, this week I picked up Mike Williams (TB) on the free agent market and dropped Braylon Edwards (no waiver in this league for some reason). Appearently this moran had posted a message Sunday afternoon saying "I'm going to pick up Williams and drop Evans." Now he's all pissed saying I should drop the guy because he "called" him, and it's not his fault he works for a living and can't access the computer during the week. Not my problem I say.

Obviously there really isn't anything to dispute here, and the Commish is on my side. Just thought I'd share.

[The Biz]

Funny story:

This guy in our league is a moran. Last year, he picked Nick Folk in the 6th round of the draft. This year, he picked Thomas Jones in the 1st round (7th overall). We don't say anything because we like his money, and it's up to him to figure out how to print off a current cheat sheet.

Anyways, this week I picked up Mike Williams (TB) on the free agent market and dropped Braylon Edwards (no waiver in this league for some reason). Appearently this moran had posted a message Sunday afternoon saying "I'm going to pick up Williams and drop Evans." Now he's all pissed saying I should drop the guy because he "called" him, and it's not his fault he works for a living and can't access the computer during the week. Not my problem I say.

Obviously there really isn't anything to dispute here, and the Commish is on my side. Just thought I'd share.

Wow, that guy is a moron.

[BallaActuary]

I think the funnier part is that Mike Williams wasn't drafted by anyone. Any league openings?

[Not Mike]

Is he #1 in the waiver order?

If so, I'd let him have Williams. No need in letting him leave the league angry over Mike Williams.

[Flying Squirrel]

What is going on in Buffalo? I know that's not a real exciting offense or anything, but I drafted Spiller and in the last round picked Jackson as his handcuff. Now it sounds like Spiller is going to get eased into things slowly and Lynch has passed Jackson again. Does anyone have a clue? I already have stashed Roethlisberger and Holmes and can't really afford to tie up two more roster spots with guys who aren't getting touches.

[SamTheEagle]

I think the funnier part is that Mike Williams wasn't drafted by anyone. Any league openings?

:iatp:

Targetted him in the late rounds of 3 leagues I'm involved in.

[SamTheEagle]

What is going on in Buffalo? I know that's not a real exciting offense or anything, but I drafted Spiller and in the last round picked Jackson as his handcuff. Now it sounds like Spiller is going to get eased into things slowly and Lynch has passed Jackson again. Does anyone have a clue? I already have stashed Roethlisberger and Holmes and can't really afford to tie up two more roster spots with guys who aren't getting touches.

Lee Evans has apparently died, because I don't think he's caught a ball yet.

[JollyGoodFCAS]

Lee Evans has apparently died, because I don't think he's caught a ball yet.

Being a WR for Buffalo is a near-death experience....

[quentin cassidy]

what do people think of a trade involving caddy williams and brandon jacobs?

i'm mostly interested in their upside/mostly likely/downside production for this year, but it's an auction keeper league with 300 salary cap...caddy is likely to break down (possibly soon) and averaged < 2 ypc on 27 carries last week (yuck!), and no one really knows jacobs' role yet as long as bradshaw stays healhty (not a given by any stretch) - i think last week was somewhat anomolous since they got blown out. is he going to get some goal-line work (he's never been great at it, but did have a ton of TDs just 2 years ago).

caddy would be 17 next year, jacobs 30 (I think bradshaw is a UFA.) i'd say they both have <50% chance of being kept next year at those prices at the moment, but let's think in relative terms here (for comparison, RB prices this year included portis 27, spiller 27, barber III 26, jacobs 25, bush 25, d.brown 24, huggins 20, mcfadden 18 (looked like he was mike bush's backup at the time), t. jones 16, f. taylor 15, c. taylor 14, mcgahee 14, buckhalter 13)

12-team league w/ 3 starting RBs, so both of these guys are sadly still in the picture as a RB3/RB4 types. TDs count 6 pts, 40-79 yds = 2 pts, 80-125 = 7 pts.

[Bama Gambler]

Big Trade going down in an AO league. What do you think?


League Rules
http://img.skitch.com/20100924-b2cj12b78j7nxa391gyd7k5857.pdf

Team A trades
Chris Johnson, Ten RB
Tony Gonzalez, Atl TE
Bernard Berrian, Min WR
Reggie Bush*, NO RB

Team B trades
Anquan Boldin, Bal WR
DeSean Jackson, Phi WR
Jermichael Finley, GB TE
Jay Cutler, Chi QB



Team A
http://img.skitch.com/20100924-xqxm2ynp35yd1wp8q1aqbiadft.pdf

Team B
http://img.skitch.com/20100924-bnqygsex5jgmbjdpsyjm24ynjw.pdf

[epeddy1]

I think the funnier part is that Mike Williams wasn't drafted by anyone. Any league openings?

Our league manager is power happy, and makes silly rules. For the most part it works, and makes the league have more parity. But it does create odd situations. We have set bench spots in this league, so your roster must be exactly 2 QB, 4 RB, 4 WR, 2 TE, 2 D/ST, 2 K. It's kind of goofy, but really keeps a great FA market all year round. If you get smacked with an injury, you can normally find a decent backup because people don't hoard the Ringers and Snellings.

Anyways, since it's a 10 team league, there's only 40 WRs drafted. I could see some people putting Williams in the top 40, but it's not that crazy that he didn't make the cut. By the time the later rounds approach and people are picking their last WR, it's usually is a crap shoot on which guy you think will have better upside.

In hindsight, I made a bad bet with Braylon Edwards. I was hoping that 1. Sanchez passing game would improve and 2. Braylon would improve because he had more time to learn the offense in training camp, whereas last year he was thrown in. But oh well, I was able to easily make a switch.

[epeddy1]

Is he #1 in the waiver order?

If so, I'd let him have Williams. No need in letting him leave the league angry over Mike Williams.

We don't have waiver order. Another silly rule that should be changed IMO. Plus I'm in last place, had last overall pick, and hadn't made a FA pickup yet this season, so if there was any sort of waiver order, chances are I'd be #1 anyways.

I doubt he'd leave the league over that. He's the comish's best friend.

I guess it's worth mentioning I won the championship last year in this league, so I can't really complain about the silly rules (yet).

[Jables]

Had my first ever auction draft tonight, 12-team league, pretty sure it was the first auction for all of us, so feel free to point and laugh at who overspent on who, make fun of the order players got nominated, etc... Tear me apart anywhere you think I went wrong, my picks are bolded.


1. New York (NYJ - DEF) $5
2. Larry Fitzgerald (Ari - WR) $35
3. Frank Gore (SF - RB) $51
4. Maurice Jones-Drew (Jac - RB) $56
5. Chris Johnson (Ten - RB) $74
6. Nate Kaeding (SD - K) $7
7. Tom Brady (NE - QB) $27
8. Adrian Peterson (Min - RB) $70
9. Ray Rice (Bal - RB) $61
10. Andre Johnson (Hou - WR) $42
11. Randy Moss (NE - WR) $42
12. Rashard Mendenhall (Pit - RB) $50
13. Drew Brees (NO - QB) $40
14. Calvin Johnson (Det - WR) $35
15. Reggie Wayne (Ind - WR) $30
16. Ryan Mathews (SD - RB) $49
17. Ryan Grant (GB - RB) $44
18. Michael Turner (Atl - RB) $58
19. Steven Jackson (StL - RB) $46
20. Aaron Rodgers (GB - QB) $39
21. Shonn Greene (NYJ - RB) $46
22. Marques Colston (NO - WR) $23
23. DeAngelo Williams (Car - RB) $41
24. Miles Austin (Dal - WR) $36
25. Matt Schaub (Hou - QB) $20
26. Tony Romo (Dal - QB) $26
27. Jahvid Best (Det - RB) $32
28. Pierre Thomas (NO - RB) $31
29. LeSean McCoy (Phi - RB) $25
30. Minnesota (Min - DEF) $4
31. Jamaal Charles (KC - RB) $46
32. Brandon Marshall (Mia - WR) $31
33. Cedric Benson (Cin - RB) $37
34. Jason Witten (Dal - TE) $10
35. Arian Foster (Hou - RB) $33
36. Beanie Wells (Ari - RB) $38
37. Kevin Kolb (Phi - QB) $7
38. Matt Forte (Chi - RB) $25
39. Chicago (Chi - DEF) $3
40. Peyton Manning (Ind - QB) $31
41. Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG - RB) $23
42. Knowshon Moreno (Den - RB) $27
43. Felix Jones (Dal - RB) $16
44. Roddy White (Atl - WR) $27
45. Greg Jennings (GB - WR) $28
46. Jonathan Stewart (Car - RB) $20
47. Terrell Owens (Cin - WR) $7
48. Dallas Clark (Ind - TE) $18
49. DeSean Jackson (Phi - WR) $20
50. Baltimore (Bal - DEF) $3
51. Dwayne Bowe (KC - WR) $14
52. Chad Ochocinco (Cin - WR) $12
53. Marion Barber (Dal - RB) $15
54. C.J. Spiller (Buf - RB) $23
55. San Francisco (SF - DEF) $3
56. Steve Smith (Car - WR) $21
57. Anquan Boldin (Bal - WR) $23
58. Antonio Gates (SD - TE) $19
59. Michael Crabtree (SF - WR) $18
60. Vernon Davis (SF - TE) $20
61. Pittsburgh (Pit - DEF) $4
62. Robert Meachem (NO - WR) $15
63. Kellen Winslow (TB - TE) $7
64. Philip Rivers (SD - QB) $21
65. Michael Bush (Oak - RB) $10
66. Clinton Portis (Was - RB) $10
67. Rob Gronkowski (NE - TE) $6
68. Steve Smith (NYG - WR) $14
69. Mike Sims-Walker (Jac - WR) $12
70. Ronnie Brown (Mia - RB) $17
71. Wes Welker (NE - WR) $14
72. Brent Celek (Phi - TE) $9
73. Joe Flacco (Bal - QB) $10
74. Brett Favre (Min - QB) $6
75. Mike Williams (TB - WR) $6
76. Eli Manning (NYG - QB) $4
77. Matt Ryan (Atl - QB) $5
78. Joseph Addai (Ind - RB) $18
79. Justin Forsett (Sea - RB) $14
80. Hakeem Nicks (NYG - WR) $11
81. Vincent Jackson (SD - WR) $10
82. Jerome Harrison (Cle - RB) $16
83. Steve Slaton (Hou - RB) $7
84. Johnny Knox (Chi - WR) $5
85. Jermichael Finley (GB - TE) $14
86. Donald Brown (Ind - RB) $6
87. Dez Bryant (Dal - WR) $7
88. Matthew Stafford (Det - QB) $5
89. Stephen Gostkowski (NE - K) $6
90. Ricky Williams (Mia - RB) $6
91. Jay Cutler (Chi - QB) $14
92. Hines Ward (Pit - WR) $8
93. LaDainian Tomlinson (NYJ - RB) $4
94. Darren McFadden (Oak - RB) $5
95. Devin Aromashodu (Chi - WR) $6
96. Mason Crosby (GB - K)
97. David Akers (Phi - K) $4
98. Rob Bironas (Ten - K) $2
99. Mike Wallace (Pit - WR) $10
100. Donald Driver (GB - WR) $5
101. Pierre Garcon (Ind - WR) $8
102. Laurence Maroney (NE - RB) $1
103. Tony Gonzalez (Atl - TE) $7
104. Percy Harvin (Min - WR) $13
105. Santana Moss (Was - WR) $5
106. Chris Cooley (Was - TE) $3
107. Brandon Jacobs (NYG - RB) $7
108. Zach Miller (Oak - TE) $2
109. Malcom Floyd (SD - WR) $8
110. Chris Chambers (KC - WR) $2
111. Greg Olsen (Chi - TE) $2
112. Reggie Bush (NO - RB) $2
113. Braylon Edwards (NYJ - WR) $1
114. Leon Washington (Sea - RB) $1
115. Visanthe Shiancoe (Min - TE) $4
116. Jeremy Maclin (Phi - WR) $6
117. Tim Hightower (Ari - RB) $3
118. Donovan McNabb (Was - QB) $2
119. Chester Taylor (Chi - RB) $2
120. Thomas Jones (KC - RB) $3
121. Green Bay (GB - DEF) $3
122. Sidney Rice (Min - WR) $6
123. Austin Collie (Ind - WR) $1
124. Ryan Succop (KC - K) $3
125. Carnell Williams (TB - RB) $50 <-- this team's last draft slot, no money gets carried over into FA
126. New York (NYG - DEF) $3
127. Garrett Hartley (NO - K) $2
128. T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Bal - WR) $2
129. Lee Evans (Buf - WR) $3
130. Ryan Longwell (Min - K) $4
131. Lawrence Tynes (NYG - K) $1
132. Willis McGahee (Bal - RB) $1
133. Matt Prater (Den - K) $1
134. Santonio Holmes (NYJ - WR) $2
135. Heath Miller (Pit - TE) $1
136. Vince Young (Ten - QB) $1
137. Philadelphia (Phi - DEF) $2
138. Nate Burleson (Det - WR) $1
139. Derrick Mason (Bal - WR) $2
140. Kevin Smith (Det - RB) $1
141. Kyle Orton (Den - QB) $1
142. Jacoby Jones (Hou - WR) $4
143. Ben Roethlisberger (Pit - QB) $5
144. Mike Bell (Phi - RB) $1
145. Miami (Mia - DEF) $1
146. Fred Jackson (Buf - RB) $3
147. Washington (Was - DEF) $1
148. Correll Buckhalter (Den - RB) $1
149. Devin Hester (Chi - WR) $1
150. John Carlson (Sea - TE) $1
151. Jeff Reed (Pit - K) $1
152. Owen Daniels (Hou - TE) $1
153. Mike Williams (Sea - WR) $1
154. Neil Rackers (Hou - K) $1
155. Kenny Britt (Ten - WR) $1
156. Jay Feely (Ari - K) $1
157. Carson Palmer (Cin - QB) $1
158. Alex Smith (SF - QB) $1
159. Chad Henne (Mia - QB) $1
160. Jabar Gaffney (Den - WR) $1
161. Kareem Huggins (TB - RB) $1
162. Bernard Berrian (Min - WR) $1
163. Dustin Keller (NYJ - TE) $1
164. Jermaine Gresham (Cin - TE) $1
165. Eddie Royal (Den - WR) $1
166. Steve Breaston (Ari - WR) $1
167. Mario Manningham (NYG - WR) $1
168. Julian Edelman (NE - WR) $2
169. Dallas (Dal - DEF) $1
170. Fred Taylor (NE - RB) $1
171. Darren Sproles (SD - RB) $1
172. Matt Cassel (KC - QB) $1
173. Mohamed Massaquoi (Cle - WR) $1
174. Kevin Walter (Hou - WR) $1
175. Marcedes Lewis (Jac - TE) $1
176. New Orleans (NO - DEF) $1
177. Byron Leftwich (Pit - QB) $1
178. Jeremy Shockey (NO - TE) $1
179. Marshawn Lynch (Buf - RB) $1
180. Golden Tate (Sea - WR) $1


And now here's those same results broken down by the 12 teams in our league. Any thoughts on who has the best teams or got the best values? A few teams took a while to win their first player, most notably teams A & E, and thus for a while had the most money left to play around with. Also yes, team H was unfortunately on auto-draft...


Team A
1. (42) Knowshon Moreno (Den - RB) $27
2. (44) Roddy White (Atl - WR) $27
3. (54) C.J. Spiller (Buf - RB) $23
4. (66) Clinton Portis (Was - RB) $10
5. (73) Joe Flacco (Bal - QB) $10
6. (78) Joseph Addai (Ind - RB) $18
7. (80) Hakeem Nicks (NYG - WR) $11
8. (81) Vincent Jackson (SD - WR) $10
9. (85) Jermichael Finley (GB - TE) $14
10. (109) Malcom Floyd (SD - WR) $8
11. (121) Green Bay (GB - DEF) $3
12. (133) Matt Prater (Den - K) $1
13. (142) Jacoby Jones (Hou - WR) $4
14. (143) Ben Roethlisberger (Pit - QB) $5
15. (153) Mike Williams (Sea - WR)
$1 Unused $28


Team B
1. (1) New York (NYJ - DEF) $5
2. (2) Larry Fitzgerald (Ari - WR) $35
3. (19) Steven Jackson (StL - RB) $46
4. (48) Dallas Clark (Ind - TE) $18
5. (57) Anquan Boldin (Bal - WR) $23
6. (61) Pittsburgh (Pit - DEF) $4
7. (64) Philip Rivers (SD - QB) $21
8. (74) Brett Favre (Min - QB) $6
9. (84) Johnny Knox (Chi - WR) $5
10. (93) LaDainian Tomlinson (NYJ - RB) $4
11. (117) Tim Hightower (Ari - RB) $3
12. (122) Sidney Rice (Min - WR) $6
13. (130) Ryan Longwell (Min - K) $4
14. (139) Derrick Mason (Bal - WR) $2
15. (144) Mike Bell (Phi - RB)
$1 Unused $17


Team C
1. (5) Chris Johnson (Ten - RB) $74
2. (25) Matt Schaub (Hou - QB) $20
3. (31) Jamaal Charles (KC - RB) $46
4. (37) Kevin Kolb (Phi - QB) $7
5. (38) Matt Forte (Chi - RB) $25
6. (71) Wes Welker (NE - WR) $14
7. (112) Reggie Bush (NO - RB) $2
8. (123) Austin Collie (Ind - WR) $1
9. (135) Heath Miller (Pit - TE) $1
10. (145) Miami (Mia - DEF) $1
11. (154) Neil Rackers (Hou - K) $1
12. (161) Kareem Huggins (TB - RB) $1
13. (167) Mario Manningham (NYG - WR) $1
14. (168) Julian Edelman (NE - WR) $2
15. (171) Darren Sproles (SD - RB)
$1 Unused $3


Team D
1. (3) Frank Gore (SF - RB) $51
2. (13) Drew Brees (NO - QB) $40
3. (24) Miles Austin (Dal - WR) $36
4. (46) Jonathan Stewart (Car - RB) $20
5. (67) Rob Gronkowski (NE - TE) $6
6. (68) Steve Smith (NYG - WR) $14
7. (89) Stephen Gostkowski (NE - K) $6
8. (92) Hines Ward (Pit - WR) $8
9. (100) Donald Driver (GB - WR) $5
10. (103) Tony Gonzalez (Atl - TE) $7
11. (120) Thomas Jones (KC - RB) $3
12. (136) Vince Young (Ten - QB) $1
13. (155) Kenny Britt (Ten - WR) $1
14. (162) Bernard Berrian (Min - WR) $1
15. (172) Matt Cassel (KC - QB) $1
Unused $0


Team E
1. (29) LeSean McCoy (Phi - RB) $25
2. (30) Minnesota (Min - DEF) $4
3. (52) Chad Ochocinco (Cin - WR) $12
4. (58) Antonio Gates (SD - TE) $19
5. (70) Ronnie Brown (Mia - RB) $17
6. (75) Mike Williams (TB - WR) $6
7. (77) Matt Ryan (Atl - QB) $5
8. (79) Justin Forsett (Sea - RB) $14
9. (91) Jay Cutler (Chi - QB) $14
10. (96) Mason Crosby (GB - K) $5
11. (101) Pierre Garcon (Ind - WR) $8
12. (104) Percy Harvin (Min - WR) $13
13. (107) Brandon Jacobs (NYG - RB) $7
14. (113) Braylon Edwards (NYJ - WR) $1
15. (125) Carnell Williams (TB - RB) $50
Unused $0


Team F
1. (7) Tom Brady (NE - QB) $27
2. (10) Andre Johnson (Hou - WR) $42
3. (14) Calvin Johnson (Det - WR) $35
4. (16) Ryan Mathews (SD - RB) $49
5. (34) Jason Witten (Dal - TE) $10
6. (62) Robert Meachem (NO - WR) $15
7. (83) Steve Slaton (Hou - RB) $7
8. (90) Ricky Williams (Mia - RB) $6
9. (102) Laurence Maroney (NE - RB) $1
10. (110) Chris Chambers (KC - WR) $2
11. (114) Leon Washington (Sea - RB) $1
12. (128) T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Bal - WR) $2
13. (147) Washington (Was - DEF) $1
14. (156) Jay Feely (Ari - K) $1
15. (163) Dustin Keller (NYJ - TE) $1
Unused $0


Team G
1. (18) Michael Turner (Atl - RB) $58
2. (27) Jahvid Best (Det - RB) $32
3. (40) Peyton Manning (Ind - QB) $31
4. (43) Felix Jones (Dal - RB) $16
5. (49) DeSean Jackson (Phi - WR) $20
6. (55) San Francisco (SF - DEF) $3
7. (56) Steve Smith (Car - WR) $21
8. (98) Rob Bironas (Ten - K) $2
9. (115) Visanthe Shiancoe (Min - TE) $4
10. (116) Jeremy Maclin (Phi - WR) $6
11. (138) Nate Burleson (Det - WR) $1
12. (146) Fred Jackson (Buf - RB) $3
13. (148) Correll Buckhalter (Den - RB) $1
14. (157) Carson Palmer (Cin - QB) $1
15. (164) Jermaine Gresham (Cin - TE) $1
Unused $0


Team H
1. (4) Maurice Jones-Drew (Jac - RB) $56
2. (6) Nate Kaeding (SD - K) $7
3. (12) Rashard Mendenhall (Pit - RB) $50
4. (17) Ryan Grant (GB - RB) $44
5. (53) Marion Barber (Dal - RB) $15
6. (63) Kellen Winslow (TB - TE) $7
7. (65) Michael Bush (Oak - RB) $10
8. (97) David Akers (Phi - K) $4
9. (149) Devin Hester (Chi - WR) $1
10. (158) Alex Smith (SF - QB) $1
11. (165) Eddie Royal (Den - WR) $1
12. (169) Dallas (Dal - DEF) $1
13. (173) Mohamed Massaquoi (Cle - WR) $1
14. (175) Marcedes Lewis (Jac - TE) $1
15. (177) Byron Leftwich (Pit - QB) $1
Unused $0


Team I
1. (9) Ray Rice (Bal - RB) $61
2. (26) Tony Romo (Dal - QB) $26
3. (35) Arian Foster (Hou - RB) $33
4. (45) Greg Jennings (GB - WR) $28
5. (59) Michael Crabtree (SF - WR) $18
6. (87) Dez Bryant (Dal - WR) $7
7. (106) Chris Cooley (Was - TE) $3
8. (118) Donovan McNabb (Was - QB) $2
9. (119) Chester Taylor (Chi - RB) $2
10. (124) Ryan Succop (KC - K) $3
11. (129) Lee Evans (Buf - WR) $3
12. (134) Santonio Holmes (NYJ - WR) $2
13. (137) Philadelphia (Phi - DEF) $2
14. (140) Kevin Smith (Det - RB) $1
15. (150) John Carlson (Sea - TE) $1
Unused $8


Team J
1. (8) Adrian Peterson (Min - RB) $70
2. (11) Randy Moss (NE - WR) $42
3. (32) Brandon Marshall (Mia - WR) $31
4. (36) Beanie Wells (Ari - RB) $38
5. (72) Brent Celek (Phi - TE) $9
6. (141) Kyle Orton (Den - QB) $1
7. (151) Jeff Reed (Pit - K) $1
8. (159) Chad Henne (Mia - QB) $1
9. (166) Steve Breaston (Ari - WR) $1
10. (170) Fred Taylor (NE - RB) $1
11. (174) Kevin Walter (Hou - WR) $1
12. (176) New Orleans (NO - DEF) $1
13. (178) Jeremy Shockey (NO - TE) $1
14. (179) Marshawn Lynch (Buf - RB) $1
15. (180) Golden Tate (Sea - WR) $1
Unused $0


Team K
1. (21) Shonn Greene (NYJ - RB) $46
2. (23) DeAngelo Williams (Car - RB) $41
3. (39) Chicago (Chi - DEF) $3
4. (41) Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG - RB) $23
5. (47) Terrell Owens (Cin - WR) $7
6. (60) Vernon Davis (SF - TE) $20
7. (69) Mike Sims-Walker (Jac - WR) $12
8. (82) Jerome Harrison (Cle - RB) $16
9. (88) Matthew Stafford (Det - QB) $5
10. (94) Darren McFadden (Oak - RB) $5
11. (95) Devin Aromashodu (Chi - WR) $6
12. (99) Mike Wallace (Pit - WR) $10
13. (108) Zach Miller (Oak - TE) $2
14. (126) New York (NYG - DEF) $3
15. (131) Lawrence Tynes (NYG - K) $1
Unused $0


Team L (me)
1. (15) Reggie Wayne (Ind - WR) $30
2. (20) Aaron Rodgers (GB - QB) $39
3. (22) Marques Colston (NO - WR) $23
4. (28) Pierre Thomas (NO - RB) $31
5. (33) Cedric Benson (Cin - RB) $37
6. (50) Baltimore (Bal - DEF) $3
7. (51) Dwayne Bowe (KC - WR) $14
8. (76) Eli Manning (NYG - QB) $4
9. (86) Donald Brown (Ind - RB) $6
10. (105) Santana Moss (Was - WR) $5
11. (111) Greg Olsen (Chi - TE) $2
12. (127) Garrett Hartley (NO - K) $2
13. (132) Willis McGahee (Bal - RB) $1
14. (152) Owen Daniels (Hou - TE) $1
15. (160) Jabar Gaffney (Den - WR) $1
Unused $1


Blech, I still like most of my team (L) in theory... the only moves I've made have been dropping Donald Brown from Brandon Jackson and dropping Garrett Hartley for Jeff Reed, but I'm about to drop to 0-4, the last winless team in the league (after losing the the other 0-3 team this week)

:exams:

[Whiskey]

Blech, I still like most of my team (L) in theory... the only moves I've made have been dropping Donald Brown from Brandon Jackson and dropping Garrett Hartley for Jeff Reed, but I'm about to drop to 0-4, the last winless team in the league (after losing the the other 0-3 team this week)

:exams:

You seem to have no problem in the hack/no effort league. You killed me...

[Whiskey]

I should finally get my first win of the season in my league I actually care about.

I am up by 36 points and my friends just has Brady left tonight. As long as Brady does not go off with 5 touchdown performance, I should be good.

[epeddy1]

FEMA has declared 2/3 of my fantasy teams as disaster areas. Numerous injuries and monetary loss have been reported.

[Whiskey]

FEMA has declared 2/3 of my fantasy teams as disaster areas. Numerous injuries and monetary loss have been reported.

Haha. I feel your pain.

The one Guy destroying everyone in my HS league hates FB with a passion and only joined the league to trash talk and good off with us. He won his game this week by 30 with starting Vick at QB.

[MountainHawk]

One of my fantasy teams:

QB: Kolb, E Manning
Top 3 RB: Forte, Rice, RBrown
Top 2 WR: Jennings, SSmithNYG

Really?

[epeddy1]

It seems like I drafted all of the "risk/reward" guys who have underperformed (guys like Shonn Greene, CJ Spiller), and none who have overpeformed (like LeSean McCoy, Arian Foster).

[JollyGoodFCAS]

I'm 2-2 now, team has been as meh as my record. Each week it's good for 75-80 points, which will win some weeks and lose others. Last year I was lucky enough to have Chris Johnson, so far this season there is nobody who has given me one of those 100-yard/2 TD performances aside from that opening day gift from Forte before he reverted back to last year's version.

[ShakeNBakes]

Today, I got an official apology via email from my cousin who was busting my balls when I took Antonio Gates in the 4th round (before I drafted any WRs). I'm thinking about framing it. :tup:

[MY$.02]

trade consideration: maclin + matthews for tolbert/ricky williams/marion barber/ jonathon stewart + randy moss??

[epeddy1]

I used up my "one time" last night. I won by 4 thanks to Randy Moss's bagel! 2-2 is much sweeter than 1-3. In 4th (because my point total is higher than all but one 2-2 team) instead of 9th!

[epeddy1]

So what do we do with Vincent Jackson at this point? I have him in one league, and am getting sick of wasting a bench spot. But then I notice in all my other leagues his owners are holding onto him.

Drop him and use the spot during bye weeks?

Or hold onto him, I've gone this far?

[Dr. John Zoidberg]

What can you get for him?

[MY$.02]

I have moss and this year is going to be my year he is about to crush fools

[BallaActuary]

My gross team:

Flacco, Roethlisberger
SJax, Charles, Hillis, Portis, Spiller, Felix Jones, Snelling
Smith-CAR, Lance Moore, Andre Johnson, Mike Williams-TB
Hernandez-NE
Cincy-def

I need to pick up a kicker and TE... not sure if Hernandez's value goes up with Moss being gone.

Drop Portis for a kicker? and who for a TE?

[Dr. John Zoidberg]

You have way too much spec at RB, get rid of Snelling and Portis, who's out at least 4-6.

[Houdini]

I need to pick up a kicker and TE... not sure if Hernandez's value goes up with Moss being gone.

Drop Portis for a kicker? and who for a TE?
Long term I'd stay with Hernandez, whose value definitely improves. I agree with DJZ on who to drop for this week.

[JollyGoodFCAS]

Wish Moss out of the picture, would it be worthwhile to get Tate or Edelman?

My current WR: Fitzgerald, SMoss, Harvin, Bess, MJones

[Aeyyyyyy]

Wish Moss out of the picture, would it be worthwhile to get Tate or Edelman?
Get Tate, no question. Aeyyyyyy! :tup:

[Regular Joe]

Get Tate, no question. Aeyyyyyy! :tup:

How about: Tate or Roy Williams?

[RhoRho]

Would you drop Felix Jones for Brandon Tate?

I am already stacked at RB with Charles, Mendenhall, Bradshaw and Best. My WR are C. Johnson, A. Johnson, Holmes and Maclin. We start 2 wr and 2 rb with 1 flex player.

[Dr. John Zoidberg]

Are you in a 4 team league?

[RhoRho]

It would appear that way but I am in a 12 team league. My QB's are: Cutler and Ryan. My TE are Hernandez and Maeoki (flyer). I just acquired Ryan and Crosby for Garcon and Torain. I was desperate for a qb and those two guys were more than likely not going to start.

I forgot that I had a empty spot so I was able to pick up Tate without giving up anyone. I am hoping that Tate has a big game next weekend so that I can sell high on him for a top-3 TE.

Bess and Murphy are on the waiver wire. Are they worth a pick up and drop Felix?

[Dr. John Zoidberg]

I wouldn't be against Bess over Felix

[epeddy1]

As I discussed in the Trade Evaluation thread, I have a need for a start-every-week running back. For week 5, I picked up Torain hoping he'd become that guy. I didn't watch the game, but 40 yards on 16 carries doesn't sound too good.

Anyways, our league doesn't have waivers, so I can get up early tomorrow and target a new guy on free agency. Are there any backups worth picking up over Torain? I heard MJD, Addai, and Foster got hurt, but none of those injuries sound severe enough to bank on their backups. I guess BJax got a lot of yards, but I guess 70 can on one run, so I'm not sold on him by any means.

I also have Moreno and Pierre Thomas, so if either of them gets ruled out for week 6, I won't have to drop Torain. So which free agent sound the best at this point? Mike Hart-Colts, Daji Kareem-Jags, Rashaad Jennings-Jags, Derrick Ward-Texans, Brandon Jackson-Packers?

[Mind if I do a J?]

I also have Moreno and Pierre Thomas, so if either of them gets ruled out for week 6, I won't have to drop Torain. So which free agent sound the best at this point? Mike Hart-Colts, Daji Kareem-Jags, Rashaad Jennings-Jags, Derrick Ward-Texans, Brandon Jackson-Packers?
PU, stink city. I'd stick with Torain. Of the guys you listed, Brandon Jackson is the most promising, as I expect MJD and Foster to play. Hart is somewhat appealing, but I don't know how they'll use him along with Donald Brown.

[JollyGoodFCAS]

As I discussed in the Trade Evaluation thread, I have a need for a start-every-week running back. For week 5, I picked up Torain hoping he'd become that guy. I didn't watch the game, but 40 yards on 16 carries doesn't sound too good.

Anyways, our league doesn't have waivers, so I can get up early tomorrow and target a new guy on free agency. Are there any backups worth picking up over Torain? I heard MJD, Addai, and Foster got hurt, but none of those injuries sound severe enough to bank on their backups. I guess BJax got a lot of yards, but I guess 70 can on one run, so I'm not sold on him by any means.

I also have Moreno and Pierre Thomas, so if either of them gets ruled out for week 6, I won't have to drop Torain. So which free agent sound the best at this point? Mike Hart-Colts, Daji Kareem-Jags, Rashaad Jennings-Jags, Derrick Ward-Texans, Brandon Jackson-Packers?

Torain is your best bet. I wouldn't judge him so harshly on 1 game, esp. since he played well in his previous 2.

[IMP]

how cool are my girl friends?!?!

facebook post this morning from one of my girl friends: I just got off the phone with ESPN because their fantasy scoring is messed up for one of my players - when they correct it, I will be a winner this week (YAY!)

[BallaActuary]

how cool are my girl friends?!?!

facebook post this morning from one of my girl friends: I just got off the phone with ESPN because their fantasy scoring is messed up for one of my players - when they correct it, I will be a winner this week (YAY!)

Cooler than the Braves!

[IMP]

Cooler than the Braves!lucky then, no more braves for a few months. :(

[epeddy1]

Question to any LM's out there. I'm not a LM, but I'm going to start one next year.

I've got one league where (ignoring outliers), 2nd place and 2nd to last differ in total points by 40. This league gives more bonus points, scores more on pass TDs, etc, and is non-PPR.

In another league I'm in, the same stats differ by 160. This league scores less points, is conservative on def pts, qb pts, etc, and is also non-PPR.

Funny, because you'd think that by having more scoring opportunities, there'd be more variance. But it seems by having all the bonus pts, it actually causes less variance.

So if I want to set up a competitive league, I should mimic the more liberal scoring rules and have bonus points, etc?

[MountainHawk]

If you are doing with for small stakes for a bunch of friends, bonus points and 15 or 20 point defense scoring is fine and can make it fun, but it takes some of the skill out of it.

If you are trying to have a serious stakes for serious cash, then you want straight up scoring, you probably want an auction draft, etc.

[epeddy1]

Probability Question:

A Fantasy Football Guru wishes to model the points scored by player (i) in a week (j).

i.) Let Xij be the total points scored for player i in week j.

ii.) The distribution of Xij is assumed to be normally distributed with parameters u and sigma^2. The parameters are estimated using method of moments. (negative values are possible)

iii.) The sample used for estimation consists of known but unprovided observations (available at ESPN.com).

iv.) The Fantasy Guru believes more recent observations have more predictive value than observations further in the past. To account for this, the Guru has decided to assign a weight to each observation, Wj, such that Wj = w/(n-j+1), where w is constant, j =1,2,...,n-1, and n is the current week.

What is Pr(Xij < 6.3 | i = Brandon Jacobs and j = n = Week 7)?

A. 0
B. 0.4
C. 0.6
D. 1.0
E. not enough info