View Full Version : Course 4: Distribution of Material
How are questions generally distributed? From somebody who took it before, I heard it's approximately:
20% regression and time series
20% survival analysis
10% fitting of loss models
Does that sound about right?
40% credibility ?? It doesn't sound very reasonable but I would like if it is true though.
20% regression and time series?? Piece of Cake!
20% survival analysis?? Headache
10% fitting of loss models?? No problem
10% simulation?? What the heck!
New at pd
09-26-2001, 07:53 AM
As much as would love to have a large chunk of the exam be credibitlity -- it appears, according to ASM, as if this is the breakdown:
25% Loss Models
25% Regression/Time Series
20% Survival Models
According to Mahler and Pai:
Conj Prior 8.8 (application of Buhlmann)
Empirical Bayesian Credibility 3.1
Loss Models 24.3%
Loss Dist 21.2
Freq Dist 3.1
Survival Analysis 20%
Time Series Models 10%
Yes, that's not quite 100%. Mahler believes, I think correctly, that his portion is slightly over half. His numbers are an analysis of the 4 published course 4 exams.
10-02-2001, 11:46 AM
Go to ASM's web site http://www.studymanuals.com and click on "Errata and Updates" to see Abe Weishaus's distribution for each of the published Course 4 exams.
10-19-2001, 03:54 PM
Where does Bayesian Analysis fall? Is it part of the Loss Models section (24.3%)?
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Gordo on 2001-10-19 15:56 ]</font>
10-13-2003, 12:08 PM
:bump: For anyone who is interested in a breakdown. I really need to hit regression/Time series harder than I originally thought.
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