Course 4: Distribution of Material

[M.]

How are questions generally distributed? From somebody who took it before, I heard it's approximately:
40% credibility
20% regression and time series
20% survival analysis
10% fitting of loss models
10% simulation

Does that sound about right?

[Jen]

40% credibility ?? It doesn't sound very reasonable but I would like if it is true though.

20% regression and time series?? Piece of Cake!

20% survival analysis?? Headache

10% fitting of loss models?? No problem

10% simulation?? What the heck!

[New at pd]

Hi everyone,
As much as would love to have a large chunk of the exam be credibitlity -- it appears, according to ASM, as if this is the breakdown:

25% Credibility
25% Loss Models
25% Regression/Time Series
20% Survival Models
5% Simulation

[VP]

According to Mahler and Pai:

Credibility 26.3%
Classical 1.9
Buhlmann 12.5
Conj Prior 8.8 (application of Buhlmann)
Empirical Bayesian Credibility 3.1

Loss Models 24.3%
Loss Dist 21.2
Freq Dist 3.1

Simulation 3.1%

Regression 20%

Survival Analysis 20%

Time Series Models 10%

Yes, that's not quite 100%. Mahler believes, I think correctly, that his portion is slightly over half. His numbers are an analysis of the 4 published course 4 exams.

[Anonymous]

Go to ASM's web site http://www.studymanuals.com and click on "Errata and Updates" to see Abe Weishaus's distribution for each of the published Course 4 exams.

[Gordo]

Where does Bayesian Analysis fall? Is it part of the Loss Models section (24.3%)?

<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: Gordo on 2001-10-19 15:56 ]</font>

[VernSchil]

:bump: For anyone who is interested in a breakdown. I really need to hit regression/Time series harder than I originally thought.