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-   -   predict the NEXT bankruptcy after Lehmann? (http://www.actuarialoutpost.com/actuarial_discussion_forum/showthread.php?t=147535)

Cool 09-15-2008 08:31 AM

predict the NEXT bankruptcy after Lehmann?
 
Which US of A financial institution will eat it next???????

zeroEthix 09-15-2008 08:54 AM

Probably some unknown regional brokerage or bank. Greenspan says there will be many more failures to come...

yankeetripper 09-15-2008 09:16 AM

The American People.

H.R. Paperstacks 09-15-2008 09:18 AM

I'm predicting Wachovia.

zeroEthix 09-15-2008 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by djerry81 (Post 3154309)
I'm predicting Wachovia.

before wamu?

Bobby Digital 09-15-2008 10:02 AM

wamu then wachovia

Cool 09-15-2008 10:12 AM

ACE

Bobby Digital 09-15-2008 10:24 AM

Quote:

The watch list
This list of banks that might be close to the edge looks for a tier one ratio of roughly 5% or below. Here are the privately held banks and bank holding companies in that danger zone:

Bank State Tier one ratio*
First National Bank Holding
Arizona
1.36%

Imperial Savings and Loan Association
Virginia
3.52%

Riverside Gulf Coast Banking
Florida
4.06%

First Priority Bank
Florida
4.67%

American Bancorporation
Minnesota
4.9%

Among publicly traded banks, I'd put the tiny Georgia bank Integrity Bancshares (ITYC, news, msgs) on the watch list, with a tier one ratio of just 2.97%, as well as California's Vineyard National Bancorp (VNBC, news, msgs), with a ratio of 5.18%
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com...il.aspx?page=2


Don't share this with anyone else or you might get sued.

ShebaPoe 09-15-2008 11:58 AM

My guess is WaMu.

Wachovia might go - they are offering above market CD rates right now because of concerns about their ability to borrow / pay off maturing debt obligations.

But I think WaMu is closer.

Rickson 09-15-2008 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MattTheSkywalker (Post 3154881)
My guess is WaMu.

Wachovia might go - they are offering above market CD rates right now because of concerns about their ability to borrow / pay off maturing debt obligations.

But I think WaMu is closer.

My guess was WaMu...I even have a thread on it...


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