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Search: Posts Made By: treecko09
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-13-2020, 02:41 PM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
The fact that the AUC (a predictive measure)...

The fact that the AUC (a predictive measure) works well on a test set means that the model's predictive power is not exclusive to the train set.
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-13-2020, 09:44 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
Prometric just cancelled my exam which was...

Prometric just cancelled my exam which was scheduled June 19. I successfully rescheduled June 18 but Prometric listed my testing center to re-open June 23. Our country has only one Prometric testing...
Forum: Short-Term Actuarial Math 05-11-2020, 02:02 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 3,839
Posted By treecko09
June STAM

Hi, is there anyone preparing for June STAM, or have you all deferred to October? :roll:
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 05-09-2020, 04:47 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
By the way, June PA administration will now run...

By the way, June PA administration will now run for 4 days (June 16-19). I do not know how significant this modification by SOA is. Furthermore, the exam window for other June exams like STAM has...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 05-05-2020, 06:52 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
By the way, is there anything we can do to fasten...

By the way, is there anything we can do to fasten up running time of some chunks in some Rmd files from the modules? Particularly, from the ensemble methods section. It takes forever and studying is...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 05-05-2020, 03:41 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
Hi! Does anyone know if building a tree with cp =...

Hi! Does anyone know if building a tree with cp = 0 and then pruning it back at a certain cp say cp = c will yield the same tree as building it initially at cp = c? I am pretty sure it is not. I am...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 04-28-2020, 12:24 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
I just contacted SOA and mentioned the...

I just contacted SOA and mentioned the possibility of my June PA and STAM exams being cancelled. They responded to me by saying that should my exam STAM be cancelled, I can go get a refund or credit...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 04-27-2020, 11:34 AM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
Have you tried rescheduling your exam in...

Have you tried rescheduling your exam in Prometric?
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 04-25-2020, 06:44 PM
Replies: 399
Views: 33,298
Posted By treecko09
Anyboday else getting a bit anxious over the fact...

Anyboday else getting a bit anxious over the fact that this exam may be cancelled due to COVID-19? Prometric has already been closed until May 31st. I do not wanna have to move this because I want...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 04-18-2020, 11:16 PM
Replies: 509
Views: 74,532
Posted By treecko09
The model under caret package has inherent...

The model under caret package has inherent cross-validation functionality. Hence, different models are being fit. The choice of the best model depends on "metric" on the Test Set. How...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 04-18-2020, 02:26 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 299
Posted By treecko09
E-learn down for maintenance

This is frustrating as I only have the weekends to study as I have lots of work during the weekdays. And when weekends finally come for me to focus on studies, the e-learn site suddenly is...
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 01-13-2020, 01:12 AM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
Estimated around 60-66 and got a 9! I do not even...

Estimated around 60-66 and got a 9! I do not even know if I was just being rough with my self-grading or the pass mark was just that low.
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 01-12-2020, 10:31 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
What time are grades posted?

What time are grades posted?
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 01-10-2020, 10:19 AM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
wtf only 727 passed. can somebody else count and...

wtf only 727 passed. can somebody else count and confirm? almost same but lower than fall 2018
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 01-09-2020, 11:11 AM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
Less than 24 hours!

Less than 24 hours!
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-27-2019, 01:44 AM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
After looking at the Mr. yufeng guo's solutions,...

After looking at the Mr. yufeng guo's solutions, I am now putting my score estimate to be around 60-65. Very borderline :/
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-18-2019, 12:44 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 2,939
Posted By treecko09
Also, in WA6 b), For Pr_30, aren't we supposed to...

Also, in WA6 b), For Pr_30, aren't we supposed to subtract the annuity payment of 36,000?
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-17-2019, 07:18 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 2,939
Posted By treecko09
Hi. Shouldn't the exponent in WA#3 b ii, be...

Hi. Shouldn't the exponent in WA#3 b ii, be positive?
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-14-2019, 11:19 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
Hi Dr. Abraham. Your answers are consistent with...

Hi Dr. Abraham. Your answers are consistent with the PAK except for #19 which has C as its majority answer. Personally, though, I think E is correct.
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-08-2019, 09:09 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
Lmao wtf dude. These are preliminary exams we are...

Lmao wtf dude. These are preliminary exams we are talking about. Plus, didn't the additional preliminary exams (SRM and PA) be enough to "weed out" some candidates? Along the way, the fellowship...
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-08-2019, 02:26 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
May I know what that pass mark you assumed?

May I know what that pass mark you assumed?
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-07-2019, 08:53 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
Fall 2019 exams are out. Okay, so I just...

Fall 2019 exams are out.

Okay, so I just realized that I did some stupid mistakes in the WA. For example, for WA6, out of nowhere, I thought that the maintenance expenses increased by 70 every...
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 11-05-2019, 10:04 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
Post What for? For the additional agony? lmao. Kidding...

What for? For the additional agony? lmao. Kidding aside, I think exams are released 2-3 weeks from exam date. So probably next week?
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 10-30-2019, 10:03 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
What do you mean "general"? So do they give you...

What do you mean "general"? So do they give you your actual score for the WA?
Forum: Long-Term Actuarial Math 10-30-2019, 11:54 AM
Replies: 469
Views: 129,106
Posted By treecko09
Post I feel around 80% sure I have passed just because...

I feel around 80% sure I have passed just because my extremely conservative score is around 58 (I gave myself 14 MC and only around 50% of WA) when, in fact, I think I did much much better than that....
Showing results 1 to 25 of 74

 

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