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Search: Posts Made By: |B|rad
Forum: Exam 9 (old Part 8) - Financial Risk & Rate of Return 05-07-2018, 02:13 PM
Replies: 5,496
Views: 241,290
Posted By |B|rad
It should get you the same answer in the end,...

It should get you the same answer in the end, because you can't just take 2/3 of C, you gotta mix it with 1/3 risk-free to get the right beta and return.

Either way, you get a portfolio with the...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 04-25-2018, 04:13 PM
Replies: 62
Views: 3,470
Posted By |B|rad
It's good. Real good. Audible has AKotSK...

It's good. Real good.

Audible has AKotSK read by Harry Lloyd (the actor who plays Viserys in GOT season 1) and that's real good, too.

I have the graphic novel version of the third story, but I...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 04-16-2018, 10:43 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 621
Posted By |B|rad
John Titor isn't real

John Titor isn't real
Forum: Exam 9 (old Part 8) - Financial Risk & Rate of Return 04-14-2018, 07:51 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 560
Posted By |B|rad
I mean, I feel like I understand how a cat bond...

I mean, I feel like I understand how a cat bond works now, but the paper was written in a way to purposefully prevent my full comprehension.
Forum: Exam 9 (old Part 8) - Financial Risk & Rate of Return 04-14-2018, 07:47 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 560
Posted By |B|rad
Cat bond definition

From Cummins's paper:

"CAT bonds are part of a broader class of assets known as event-linked bonds, which pay off on the occurrence of a specified event."

I originally read this to mean that...
Forum: Professional Surveys 04-03-2018, 03:31 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 2,524
Posted By |B|rad
1% is the minimum match, though -- that assumes...

1% is the minimum match, though -- that assumes that you yourself contribute 1%

most people contribute 6% and get 7% match
Forum: Professional Surveys 04-03-2018, 03:29 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 2,524
Posted By |B|rad
my company contributes 0% unless you yourself...

my company contributes 0% unless you yourself also contribute. so, 0%.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 04-03-2018, 10:41 AM
Replies: 1,602
Views: 120,793
Posted By |B|rad
I guess it's probably historically accurate.

I guess it's probably historically accurate.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 04-03-2018, 10:40 AM
Replies: 1,602
Views: 120,793
Posted By |B|rad
I don't know what the product is, but there's one...

I don't know what the product is, but there's one where a knight is at a joust and he's being heckled.

"Your armor looks as if it were smithed by a feeble-fingered peasant woman!"

Surprised...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 04-03-2018, 10:37 AM
Replies: 1,602
Views: 120,793
Posted By |B|rad
I watched a chunk of the x-files marathon this...

I watched a chunk of the x-files marathon this weekend, and every single break had the awful "we're slingers" commercial where the second couple mishears them to be swingers.

Just a dumb...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Personal Finance/Investing 03-27-2018, 10:47 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,725
Posted By |B|rad
:guitarwo:

:guitarwo:
Forum: General Actuarial 03-20-2018, 04:01 PM
Replies: 91
Views: 13,304
Posted By |B|rad
Yeah, that is a disgusting phrase. ...

Yeah, that is a disgusting phrase. Doubleplusungood, AAA.
Forum: General Actuarial 02-28-2018, 09:09 AM
Replies: 955
Views: 174,057
Posted By |B|rad
I think your "of course" is unwarranted, given...

I think your "of course" is unwarranted, given this thread.
Forum: Careers - Employment 02-14-2018, 02:27 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 719
Posted By |B|rad
The only reason not to bring someone in from out...

The only reason not to bring someone in from out of state is if your opening has high demand from qualified in-state candidates. Or if your company is super cheap, I guess. Paying $600 for a plane...
Forum: General Actuarial 02-14-2018, 09:58 AM
Replies: 91
Views: 13,304
Posted By |B|rad
Is this: partially contradicted by...

Is this:



partially contradicted by this:



?
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-26-2018, 01:56 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 629
Posted By |B|rad
Residuals always come from your original triangle.

Residuals always come from your original triangle.
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-26-2018, 01:54 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 629
Posted By |B|rad
If your triangle of residuals looks like this: ...

If your triangle of residuals looks like this:


0.04 0.65 -0.85
-0.10 0.28
0.50

then number them, like maybe this:
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-24-2018, 10:44 AM
Replies: 3,359
Views: 161,445
Posted By |B|rad
The exam 9 thread is mostly just a spamfest, so...

The exam 9 thread is mostly just a spamfest, so people don't really post in there anymore :shrug:
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 03:10 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 593
Posted By |B|rad
Ok, I think my disconnect is that your "fitted"...

Ok, I think my disconnect is that your "fitted" triangle is not created using any process described in Shapland. I feel like the question constrains you to using Shapland, but you're just not...
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 02:42 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 593
Posted By |B|rad
Thanks for the response, Grape. I agree that...

Thanks for the response, Grape.

I agree that I must be misinterpreting the part of the question that you highlighted. I basically took it to mean "use a GLM approach but you're not allowed to use...
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 02:02 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 593
Posted By |B|rad
I attempted this myself, but maybe I don't...

I attempted this myself, but maybe I don't understand bootstrapping as well as I should.

I started with an oversimplified scenario where, for any accident year, 2000 is paid in year 1, then 1500,...
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 02:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 593
Posted By |B|rad
Challenge: 2017 Q10(a) -- Bootstrapping and CY Trend

Here is the challenge:

Create a 6x6 triangle of incremental paid activity with a clear calendar-year trend such that, if you apply the bootstrap model process, you get residuals that resemble the...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 12-12-2017, 10:35 AM
Replies: 6,805
Views: 301,052
Posted By |B|rad
I used your post to find the 7/14 date :P ...

I used your post to find the 7/14 date :P

http://www.actuarialoutpost.com/actuarial_discussion_forum/showpost.php?p=9029572&postcount=2085
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 12-12-2017, 10:33 AM
Replies: 6,805
Views: 301,052
Posted By |B|rad
For Spring 2017 Exam 7, the passing number list...

For Spring 2017 Exam 7, the passing number list came out on 6/19, but the examiners report didn't come out until 7/14, 3.5 weeks later.
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 12-11-2017, 02:30 PM
Replies: 6,805
Views: 301,052
Posted By |B|rad
Passed. I wonder if my defective question...

Passed. I wonder if my defective question submissions made any difference.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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