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Search: Posts Made By: |B|rad
Forum: Careers - Employment 02-14-2018, 03:27 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 514
Posted By |B|rad
The only reason not to bring someone in from out...

The only reason not to bring someone in from out of state is if your opening has high demand from qualified in-state candidates. Or if your company is super cheap, I guess. Paying $600 for a plane...
Forum: General Actuarial 02-14-2018, 10:58 AM
Replies: 42
Views: 2,671
Posted By |B|rad
Is this: partially contradicted by...

Is this:



partially contradicted by this:



?
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-26-2018, 02:56 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 264
Posted By |B|rad
Residuals always come from your original triangle.

Residuals always come from your original triangle.
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-26-2018, 02:54 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 264
Posted By |B|rad
If your triangle of residuals looks like this: ...

If your triangle of residuals looks like this:


0.04 0.65 -0.85
-0.10 0.28
0.50

then number them, like maybe this:
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-24-2018, 11:44 AM
Replies: 1,189
Views: 49,694
Posted By |B|rad
The exam 9 thread is mostly just a spamfest, so...

The exam 9 thread is mostly just a spamfest, so people don't really post in there anymore :shrug:
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 04:10 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 374
Posted By |B|rad
Ok, I think my disconnect is that your "fitted"...

Ok, I think my disconnect is that your "fitted" triangle is not created using any process described in Shapland. I feel like the question constrains you to using Shapland, but you're just not...
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 03:42 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 374
Posted By |B|rad
Thanks for the response, Grape. I agree that...

Thanks for the response, Grape.

I agree that I must be misinterpreting the part of the question that you highlighted. I basically took it to mean "use a GLM approach but you're not allowed to use...
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 03:02 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 374
Posted By |B|rad
I attempted this myself, but maybe I don't...

I attempted this myself, but maybe I don't understand bootstrapping as well as I should.

I started with an oversimplified scenario where, for any accident year, 2000 is paid in year 1, then 1500,...
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 01-02-2018, 03:01 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 374
Posted By |B|rad
Challenge: 2017 Q10(a) -- Bootstrapping and CY Trend

Here is the challenge:

Create a 6x6 triangle of incremental paid activity with a clear calendar-year trend such that, if you apply the bootstrap model process, you get residuals that resemble the...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 12-12-2017, 11:35 AM
Replies: 6,805
Views: 284,460
Posted By |B|rad
I used your post to find the 7/14 date :P ...

I used your post to find the 7/14 date :P

http://www.actuarialoutpost.com/actuarial_discussion_forum/showpost.php?p=9029572&postcount=2085
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 12-12-2017, 11:33 AM
Replies: 6,805
Views: 284,460
Posted By |B|rad
For Spring 2017 Exam 7, the passing number list...

For Spring 2017 Exam 7, the passing number list came out on 6/19, but the examiners report didn't come out until 7/14, 3.5 weeks later.
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 12-11-2017, 03:30 PM
Replies: 6,805
Views: 284,460
Posted By |B|rad
Passed. I wonder if my defective question...

Passed. I wonder if my defective question submissions made any difference.
Forum: Sports 12-05-2017, 11:58 AM
Replies: 988
Views: 64,656
Posted By |B|rad
While TG is working on that, can you show us your...

While TG is working on that, can you show us your integrity stats for all finalists? Thanks!
Forum: General Actuarial 12-05-2017, 11:55 AM
Replies: 66
Views: 22,039
Posted By |B|rad
Grape, you still need to attest for 2018.

Grape, you still need to attest for 2018.
Forum: Careers - Employment 11-16-2017, 01:01 PM
Replies: 197
Views: 18,681
Posted By |B|rad
Have you watched them both?

Have you watched them both?
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 11-15-2017, 05:20 PM
Replies: 1,189
Views: 49,694
Posted By |B|rad
.

.
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 11-14-2017, 05:37 PM
Replies: 6,805
Views: 284,460
Posted By |B|rad
:iwannakillmyself:

:iwannakillmyself:
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 11-14-2017, 03:55 PM
Replies: 1,189
Views: 49,694
Posted By |B|rad
A year or two ago, I signed up for Exam 6U like a...

A year or two ago, I signed up for Exam 6U like a full month before my co-worker. His candidate ID was 3 digits but mine was four. :confused:
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 11-14-2017, 03:32 PM
Replies: 1,189
Views: 49,694
Posted By |B|rad
I registered for two exams once and got the same...

I registered for two exams once and got the same candidate ID for both. A co-worker registered for two exams a year later and got two different IDs. This was 2013-2014, I think.

Dunno if it...
Forum: General Actuarial 11-13-2017, 05:22 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 11,866
Posted By |B|rad
ifyp

ifyp
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 11-07-2017, 11:49 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 2,258
Posted By |B|rad
I re-read Bernegger trying to find a...

I re-read Bernegger trying to find a justification for why mu might = 0.525 and I'm coming up empty. Maybe I'm just missing it.

I can see the "rationalization" where some of you used the...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 11-03-2017, 05:20 PM
Replies: 122
Views: 9,280
Posted By |B|rad
I just took the survey. Did they really mean for...

I just took the survey. Did they really mean for this to be a yes/no question?
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 11-03-2017, 03:55 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 4,524
Posted By |B|rad
I think you already said that neither NCCI nor...

I think you already said that neither NCCI nor ISO apply to this problem. And NCCI allows up to 45 months, which is longer than 3 years. You still have to make an assumption here, which is all I'm...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 11-03-2017, 03:51 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 4,524
Posted By |B|rad
You don't have to, but you put your company at a...

You don't have to, but you put your company at a high risk of adverse selection. Robertson sidesteps this by conditioning on "well if you assume that an insured is equally likely to choose any...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 11-03-2017, 02:41 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 4,524
Posted By |B|rad
Section B of what? The syllabus? Bahnemann...

Section B of what? The syllabus?

Bahnemann -- no comment on exp period length
Fisher -- no comment on exp period length
ISO -- exp period is generally 3 years, but could be as small as 1 year...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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