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Search: Posts Made By: tvossler
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 07-26-2016, 07:29 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 544
Posted By tvossler
I have worked through several types of study...

I have worked through several types of study products. I worked through ASM somewhat after buying the course and took some of the exams. I found what he showed in the explanation sections more...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-23-2016, 04:33 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 16,160
Posted By tvossler
I am glad to hear I wasn't alone. I didn't feel...

I am glad to hear I wasn't alone. I didn't feel prepared to take it in March and don't feel ready to take it in May. I am trying in May, though. Life circumstances make me have to at least try,...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-10-2016, 01:58 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,490
Posted By tvossler
Yes. It is only a matter of what values would be...

Yes. It is only a matter of what values would be rounded to the integer. To round to 0 or 10, you only have up to .5 from it. To round to 1-9 you have up to the 1/2 before and after it. So, you,...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-09-2016, 10:30 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,490
Posted By tvossler
Ok, my confusion is #1-3 on what you have listed...

Ok, my confusion is #1-3 on what you have listed Ya, the last part is pretty standard. If Y is the X rounded to the nearest integer from 0-10, how are we getting 1/10 and 1/20 for the...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-09-2016, 07:45 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,490
Posted By tvossler
SOA practice exam 2015, #155.

The question is:

Automobile claim amounts are modeled by a uniform distribution on the interval [0,10,000]. Actuary A reports X, the claim amount divided by 1000. Actuary B reports Y, which is X...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-06-2016, 11:05 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 16,160
Posted By tvossler
Thank you. I am trying. I maybe shouldn't have...

Thank you. I am trying. I maybe shouldn't have signed up for the very next test, but I am going to try. :) Hopefully a lot of us don't have to do it multiple times. :)
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-05-2016, 04:37 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 2,320
Posted By tvossler
I agree, adapt is better than retaking the exam. ...

I agree, adapt is better than retaking the exam. I just had that experience. I am trying to come up with the money to do adapt now, so I won't have to retake it again.
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-05-2016, 12:23 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 2,320
Posted By tvossler
Adapt is very expensive. That is why I haven't...

Adapt is very expensive. That is why I haven't tried it. I have only done the free stuff. :)
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-04-2016, 11:11 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 2,320
Posted By tvossler
I actually meant most people seem to use adapt. ...

I actually meant most people seem to use adapt. I said the wrong thing. :)
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 04-04-2016, 06:55 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 2,320
Posted By tvossler
I think a lot of people have done TIA. I didn't,...

I think a lot of people have done TIA. I didn't, but I also didn't pass this first time. I did work through Marcel's book, though, plus tons more. I think a lot of it depends upon how comfortable...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 03-30-2016, 04:55 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 16,160
Posted By tvossler
I am guessing I am the only one who didn't pass. ...

I am guessing I am the only one who didn't pass. Lol, Not really. I have seen the exam P pass rates, so I am not lonely here in the no-pass zone. I know a lot more about the test now and I will...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 03-23-2016, 01:35 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,675
Posted By tvossler
Good luck. :)

Good luck. :)
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 03-22-2016, 02:36 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,675
Posted By tvossler
Don't forget to divide by the total # of ways to...

Don't forget to divide by the total # of ways to arrange 3 items. This is 3! So 7200/3! is 1200.
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 03-15-2016, 06:30 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 1,877
Posted By tvossler
I think we all owe them that!!! Especially...

I think we all owe them that!!! Especially Gandalf. lol :)
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 03-15-2016, 03:00 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 656
Posted By tvossler
So, ya. He seems to be using a as 200 and b as 0...

So, ya. He seems to be using a as 200 and b as 0 (getting a death benefit and not) so (a-b)^2 is (200-0)^2. then pq. :)
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 03-15-2016, 02:48 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 656
Posted By tvossler
That is cool. I will write that down about the...

That is cool. I will write that down about the bernoulli shortcut.

Ya. What you are saying about "If it were the case that we had 200 independent trials of some variable X, then the variance of...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 03-15-2016, 01:35 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 656
Posted By tvossler
Sample Course 1 Exam #15/ASM study manual practice exam 3 #1

The question states:

An insurance company issues insurance contracts to two classes of independent lives, as shown below.

Class Prob of Death Benefit Amnt ...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 02-12-2016, 08:10 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,330
Posted By tvossler
A lot of people seem to say Adept is good. It...

A lot of people seem to say Adept is good. It costs a lot, but if you have the money, do that.
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 02-12-2016, 08:09 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,330
Posted By tvossler
Study Manual for Exam P/Exam 1 by Dr....

Study Manual for Exam P/Exam 1 by Dr. Ostaszewski ($99)

A Probability Course for the Actuaries: A Preparation for Exam P/1 by Marcel Finan (Free PDF:...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 01-01-2016, 07:03 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 1,763
Posted By tvossler
I am too poor for adapt. I did Finan's book and...

I am too poor for adapt. I did Finan's book and reviewed calculus that I needed from that. Now I am doing old exams from the internet and studying that way.
...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 11-16-2015, 07:30 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,293
Posted By tvossler
Thank you very much.

Thank you very much.
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 11-16-2015, 06:49 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 1,293
Posted By tvossler
Conditional Probability

In general if P(A)>0, then P(B|A) = P(A and B)/P(A).

Sometimes, as in the case of SOA #17 from November 2001: The loss due to a fire in a commercial building is modeled by a random variable X...
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 08-20-2015, 03:43 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 937
Posted By tvossler
Thank you. You all are very helpful in answering...

Thank you. You all are very helpful in answering questions. Thank you both for your time. :)
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 08-20-2015, 01:07 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 937
Posted By tvossler
Thank you. This is better, more consistent with...

Thank you. This is better, more consistent with what I was seeing about how they were using the X1,X2, and X3 when it equaled 1.
Forum: Exam 1/P - Probability 08-18-2015, 11:40 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 937
Posted By tvossler
Hmm. My reply didn't post. In the...

Hmm. My reply didn't post.

In the solution, when X1 = 1, they multiplied (2/3)---the value given in the pdf when X = 1. So, wouldn't, if you set X1 = 0, you would end up multiplying the value...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 62

 

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