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Search: Posts Made By: Josh Peck
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 09-09-2019, 02:31 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 1,455
Posted By Josh Peck
This was very helpful. Thanks

This was very helpful.
Thanks
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 09-06-2019, 04:29 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 1,455
Posted By Josh Peck
Biggest Risks for Workers Comp

Hi,

What are the largest/most important risks that workers compensation companies face?

What are the typical methods for handling these risks?

Thanks.
Forum: General Actuarial 09-04-2019, 02:20 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
I mean I would just be worried that I would get...

I mean I would just be worried that I would get hired, they would find out I can't do what they want me to do, and then get fired. Hopefully they know what they're looking for and that wouldn't...
Forum: General Actuarial 09-04-2019, 12:59 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
I have asked around my office (very large...

I have asked around my office (very large corporation) and nobody really knows who legally signs off on anything because it happens so much farther downstream. Also nobody seemed to know if there is...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 09-04-2019, 11:51 AM
Replies: 845
Views: 177,091
Posted By Josh Peck
Hey, I just found out I passed the June exam with...

Hey, I just found out I passed the June exam with a 9 after failing the December exam with a 4.

Some advice I'll give.
When it comes down to it, this exam is more of a speed writing exam than a...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 08-30-2019, 11:21 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
Passed. I'm so glad I never have to look at those...

Passed. I'm so glad I never have to look at those horse shit modules ever again
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 08-30-2019, 07:38 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
The email receipt worked. Thanks!

The email receipt worked. Thanks!
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 08-30-2019, 07:18 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
It's only showing order number on my phone :(

It's only showing order number on my phone :(
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 08-30-2019, 07:08 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
Is your candidate number the same as your order...

Is your candidate number the same as your order number?

Or if not does anyone know how to see what your candidate number is on your phone? I'm at the airport today and dont have access to a...
Forum: General Actuarial 08-29-2019, 03:19 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
I would say the exams are tangent to useful...

I would say the exams are tangent to useful information, but how many of you need to have the Gamma PDF memorized for your day to day job, or need to do extensive calculations by hand.

The exams...
Forum: General Actuarial 08-29-2019, 03:16 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
Thank you

Thank you
Forum: General Actuarial 08-29-2019, 03:15 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
Thank you

Thank you
Forum: General Actuarial 08-29-2019, 09:24 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
Thank you

Thank you
Forum: General Actuarial 08-29-2019, 09:24 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
May be the CAS exams are different, but the SOA...

May be the CAS exams are different, but the SOA seems to be wildly incompetent, and the exams have just been hoops to jump through
Forum: General Actuarial 08-29-2019, 12:04 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
That's okay, but cant you at least answer the...

That's okay, but cant you at least answer the question...
I mean in reality these exams literally teach you nothing even remotely useful and no one ever really explains their legal purpose
Forum: General Actuarial 08-28-2019, 06:53 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 9,325
Posted By Josh Peck
ASA Vs ACAS Legally is there a difference

Hi,

I just had an interview with a startup P&C insurance company and they were interested in hiring me for one of their first actuarial roles.

I currently work in life and was wondering if...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 08-26-2019, 11:13 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
Are results released at midnight thursday night...

Are results released at midnight thursday night (friday "morning")
or at midnight on firday night (saturday "morning")?
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-17-2019, 11:19 PM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
AIC is a penalized version of negative log...

AIC is a penalized version of negative log likelihood. Loglikelihood is smaller for smaller datasets, so AIC would make sense to be lower for the test set. Idk how you even got AIC for your test set...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-17-2019, 11:10 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
For combining levels, I created a season variable...

For combining levels, I created a season variable from month, combined some of the time of day levels, commented that some of the variables had similar names for levels which should be investigated...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-12-2019, 11:03 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
Tommorow's exam day. Take it easy today, get...

Tommorow's exam day.

Take it easy today, get some rest, and good luck fellas
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-12-2019, 01:23 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
Factor variable coefficients are interpreted as...

Factor variable coefficients are interpreted as the difference from the base level, but if the base level only has a few observations it is hard to say confidently that the other levels have a...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-11-2019, 05:30 PM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
yes

yes
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-11-2019, 02:59 PM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
Age doesn't look perfectly symmetric. This...

Age doesn't look perfectly symmetric. This histogram honestly looks pretty weird, but it looks symmetric enough to use for a glm.
Also, you can plot a log transform to see if it looks better or...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-11-2019, 02:55 PM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
It wouldn't make sense to use AIC between...

It wouldn't make sense to use AIC between training and testing because it is based on log likelihood which is based on the number of samples. There are many metrics you could use where you subrtract...
Forum: Exam PA: Predictive Analytics 06-11-2019, 11:48 AM
Replies: 818
Views: 179,690
Posted By Josh Peck
Also, for final decision trees (I may just be...

Also, for final decision trees (I may just be overthinking this now), I was wondering if you

use the original tree you created to make predictions on the full set of data,
or
recreate the tree...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 99

 

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