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Search: Posts Made By: daaaave
Forum: Exam MAS-2 - Modern Actuarial Statistics II 03-17-2020, 07:40 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,981
Posted By daaaave
CAS has postponed Spring 2020 exams, with...

CAS has postponed Spring 2020 exams, with mid-June the current target date.

https://www.casact.org/press/index.cfm?fa=viewArticle&articleID=4655

People with TIA subscriptions will automatically...
Forum: MAS-II 03-17-2020, 07:39 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 976
Posted By daaaave
Spring 2020 MAS-II sitting has been postponed,...

Spring 2020 MAS-II sitting has been postponed, mid-June is current target date.

https://www.casact.org/press/index.cfm?fa=viewArticle&articleID=4655

At the risk of stating the obvious, people...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 03-16-2020, 09:43 PM
Replies: 4,319
Views: 260,141
Posted By daaaave
We’re skipping playgrounds but going to parks...

We’re skipping playgrounds but going to parks where the kids can run around and climb trees. Plus pretty parks lend themselves to pictures for home school art class
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 03-11-2020, 12:01 PM
Replies: 4,319
Views: 260,141
Posted By daaaave
CDC website cites...

CDC website cites https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18556606 and https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16553905 for their claims that handwashing reduces spread of respiratory illnesses by 15% or so....
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 03-10-2020, 12:14 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 391
Posted By daaaave
That's a pretty fair list. I might bump 6 down a...

That's a pretty fair list. I might bump 6 down a notch or two but otherwise agree.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 03-09-2020, 10:50 AM
Replies: 4,319
Views: 260,141
Posted By daaaave
On a purely selfish note, there is someone who...

On a purely selfish note, there is someone who lives about 5 miles from me who has been diagnosed with COVID-19. They shop at one of the same grocery stores we shop at, and have school age kids who...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 03-07-2020, 10:13 PM
Replies: 4,319
Views: 260,141
Posted By daaaave
My guess would be they’ve done massive amounts of...

My guess would be they’ve done massive amounts of testing so probably have a more accurate denominator than anyone else
Forum: MAS-II 03-03-2020, 03:30 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
Pass mark is out, was 47.25 / 84. 75th...

Pass mark is out, was 47.25 / 84.

75th percentile was 56.5, 95th was 66.5.

https://www.casact.org/admissions/passmarks/examMAS-II.pdf

Edit: Case study isn't yet published, but the CAS has...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 03-03-2020, 03:15 PM
Replies: 4,319
Views: 260,141
Posted By daaaave
Here's an interesting article with satellite maps...

Here's an interesting article with satellite maps of decline in pollution in China b/c of COVID-19. Link rather than copypasta b/c the images are really the point:
...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 02-19-2020, 10:56 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 998
Posted By daaaave
Anything over 4 hours sitting out isn't safe. ...

Anything over 4 hours sitting out isn't safe.

https://www.foodauthority.nsw.gov.au/sites/default/files/_Documents/retailfactsheets/4_hour_2_hour_rule.pdf
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 02-19-2020, 10:52 AM
Replies: 4,319
Views: 260,141
Posted By daaaave
The Tokyo marathon has been cancelled for...

The Tokyo marathon has been cancelled for non-elite runners b/c of COVID-19 fears. Only the 2nd world marathon major cancelled since 2006 (the other was NY b/c of Hurricane Sandy).
...
Forum: MAS-II 01-22-2020, 11:20 AM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
I've added a response to your similar post in the...

I've added a response to your similar post in the new forum at http://www.actuarialoutpost.com/actuarial_discussion_forum/showthread.php?p=9791409
Forum: Exam MAS-2 - Modern Actuarial Statistics II 01-22-2020, 11:19 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,981
Posted By daaaave
I've heard from people who passed last sitting...

I've heard from people who passed last sitting who had a similar plan, maybe with less source material. The main thing I would add is grinding a bunch of flashcards in the month or so leading up to...
Forum: MAS-II 12-18-2019, 02:44 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 2,816
Posted By daaaave
For the two most recent sittings, we were still...

For the two most recent sittings, we were still saying that the course was under construction. I suspect that is the main reason why people were saying that, and I think the seminar covers all of the...
Forum: MAS-II 12-17-2019, 12:54 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 2,816
Posted By daaaave
The core lessons are all complete. There are some...

The core lessons are all complete. There are some optional R lessons that address common problems people have that will be up in early January, and practice problems are still being added.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 12-09-2019, 09:05 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 529
Posted By daaaave
campbell is correct, JFG is incorrect.

campbell is correct, JFG is incorrect.
Forum: MAS-II 11-25-2019, 12:47 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
Final answer key has been posted. tl;dr, they...

Final answer key has been posted. tl;dr, they changed / accepted more answers on 34, 35, and 38. On 34 they accepted any of A, B, or C as you can make the answer anything on (0, 0.5), on 35 changed...
Forum: MAS-II 10-31-2019, 01:56 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
I have to go pick up the kids so they can get...

I have to go pick up the kids so they can get into their Halloween costumes, here's the draft solutions that I have.

Of the controversial questions, I think #35 should be E. The given information...
Forum: MAS-II 10-30-2019, 03:25 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
Since it is only asking about credibility for...

Since it is only asking about credibility for frequency and not aggregate it’s probably ok. The derivation in the text starts generally for frequency then only adds the Poisson assumption at the last...
Forum: MAS-II 10-30-2019, 11:22 AM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
I'm still working on written solutions, I'm...

I'm still working on written solutions, I'm hoping tomorrow. My only issues so far with the preliminary answer key are that the given information in #35 is impossible so I'm not sure yet how to...
Forum: MAS-II 10-30-2019, 09:06 AM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
Since you know that the total area under the...

Since you know that the total area under the curve is 1, you could try to visually estimate something by dividing the region under the curve into rectangles whose relative sizes you can estimate. But...
Forum: MAS-II 10-28-2019, 03:25 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
Yes

Yes
Forum: MAS-II 10-27-2019, 03:23 PM
Replies: 172
Views: 29,478
Posted By daaaave
I haven't seen the exam yet, but are you talking...

I haven't seen the exam yet, but are you talking about the example in Section 6.4 of Tse? Only 6.1 - 6.3 is on the syllabus.
Forum: MAS-I 10-25-2019, 10:36 PM
Replies: 624
Views: 110,159
Posted By daaaave
I’d also include a solution supporting your...

I’d also include a solution supporting your answer. For the Spring MAS-II exam I appealed 3 questions and gave 1-2 paragraph rationales for each. The CAS accepted my answers for all 3 but I don’t...
Forum: MAS-I 10-25-2019, 09:45 PM
Replies: 624
Views: 110,159
Posted By daaaave
You can send appeals to defective-item@casact.org

You can send appeals to defective-item@casact.org
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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