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Showing results 1 to 25 of 300
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Search: Posts Made By: twig93
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 02:52 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 1,822
Posted By twig93
:lol: NO!!! :lol:

:lol: NO!!! :lol:
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 02:51 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 1,822
Posted By twig93
Yes, he's admitted it, and I said in another...

Yes, he's admitted it, and I said in another thread that it was fine to link them.
Forum: Sports Yesterday, 11:55 AM
Replies: 5,403
Views: 395,709
Posted By twig93
Yeah, that was crazy. :iatp: What a...

Yeah, that was crazy.

:iatp:

What a stupid frustrating loss. :sad:
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 12-14-2018, 05:06 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 1,822
Posted By twig93
You are correct on the timeframe. I know...

You are correct on the timeframe.

I know it continued for quite a while after I left, but of the few co-workers that I kept in touch with... all of them have now moved on so I'm no longer in...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 12-14-2018, 05:04 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 1,822
Posted By twig93
:iatp: Did the company like send each...

:iatp:

Did the company like send each employee a 187 mL bottle of champagne and then you all video conferenced each other while clinking your glasses against the screen?

I'm trying to envision...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 12-14-2018, 05:01 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 1,822
Posted By twig93
Yeah, the holiday party was more comparable to a...

Yeah, the holiday party was more comparable to a prom than a wedding. Most weddings aren't black tie for the guests. Actually, I can't think of any wedding I've ever been to where the male guests...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 04:54 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Bolded are interesting to think about. Probably...

Bolded are interesting to think about. Probably revs up the other team's defense... right before the offense gets the ball. So the least damaging time to rev up the opposing defense.

I guess...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 12-14-2018, 04:44 PM
Replies: 99
Views: 1,822
Posted By twig93
I worked for an employer that did this, and it...

I worked for an employer that did this, and it was a VERY.BIG.DEAL.

Work was a half-day because the women all needed time to get their hair done, and every salon in town was booked months in...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 04:32 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
:tup:

:tup:
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 04:31 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Fair point. Is defending a 2PC materially...

Fair point.

Is defending a 2PC materially different from defending 3rd/4th & goal from <5? Because I would think that the latter would be a scenario they would run with some frequency.

Seems...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 03:26 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Fair point, which is also a possible answer to: ...

Fair point, which is also a possible answer to:

If the coach thinks he's going to get fired in the 40% miss scenario then perhaps he's being rational because he wants to keep his job.

In which...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 03:15 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Yes and no. I mean is high-school...

Yes and no. I mean



is high-school level probability, and yet most teams in most non-end-game situations will kick PATs.

So is the reason for this that NFL coaches don't know the math,...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 03:11 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Sure sure, and there might be a heavy cross-wind...

Sure sure, and there might be a heavy cross-wind in the stadium, and maybe the opponent's QB or some other star player was injured halfway through the 4th quarter and your overtime odds are way...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 01:55 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Note that I used the 60% across-the-NFL average...

Note that I used the 60% across-the-NFL average as being more credible.

I think the decisions are the same whether you use 60% or 71.4% as your assumed chances of making a 2PC, but I thought 60%...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 01:53 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Our posts crossed, but I said this in my post...

Our posts crossed, but I said this in my post too... except an end-game scanerio where the 6 point TD ties the game. Then the 95% chance of winning by 1 on a PAT beats the 60% chance of winning by 2...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 01:48 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Crunching the numbers... when it's 4 minutes to...

Crunching the numbers... when it's 4 minutes to go 28-20 Chiefs and the Chargers have to decide on PAT vs 2PC.

Let's take it as a given that the Chargers will score two TDs and also prevent the...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 01:15 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Yeah, I guess you're right... in the moment it...

Yeah, I guess you're right... in the moment it was the odds-on play, wasn't it?

I would have preferred they go for two after the earlier touchdown. (Score was 28-14 prior to the TD / 28-20 after....
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 01:11 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
The ball stopped at the 1 inch line isn't...

The ball stopped at the 1 inch line isn't automatically reviewed if it's not in the last two minutes of the half since it's not a scoring play.

But the head coach for the team on offense can at...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 01:08 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Yeah, I think non-calls should be challenge-able....

Yeah, I think non-calls should be challenge-able. There would have to be clear evidence of the foul just like any other challenge, but the hit on Rivers was quite clear.

Same number of challenges...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 01:05 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
Non-passive things would be lobbying for citizen...

Non-passive things would be lobbying for citizen review boards, helping set those up and defining / proposing standards for how police should be treated after they shoot someone (are they allowed to...
Forum: Sports 12-14-2018, 12:16 PM
Replies: 1,742
Views: 80,089
Posted By twig93
My understanding is that you can't challenge a...

My understanding is that you can't challenge a non-call... so no.

Officials might as well have suited up in Chiefs gear for the game. Would have made it easier to follow / understand. I was glad...
Forum: General Actuarial 12-14-2018, 11:35 AM
Replies: 84
Views: 7,127
Posted By twig93
And assuming no responsibility for the judge not...

And assuming no responsibility for the judge not understanding also. Woe be to the judge if (s)he had any questions!
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 12-13-2018, 04:03 PM
Replies: 2,038
Views: 134,451
Posted By twig93
Seriously? I remember singing it at the company...

Seriously? I remember singing it at the company Christmas Holiday party a number of years ago. They put together an all-employee choir for entertainment. Was kind of fun.

HR had to approve all...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 12-13-2018, 02:51 PM
Replies: 2,038
Views: 134,451
Posted By twig93
Tell them to watch this video:...

Tell them to watch this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJB9GP5gyAw (This couple puts some hilarious videos on Facebook, BTW, and are basically everything that's right about Facebook.)
Forum: Pension - Social Security 12-13-2018, 02:48 PM
Replies: 42
Views: 792
Posted By twig93
Basically, yeah. We were certainly banking on...

Basically, yeah. We were certainly banking on the anypia calculator being correct, and from what Steve's link and Bruce are saying, it might not have been.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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