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Search: Posts Made By: Unrealistic Ace
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM Yesterday, 08:44 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Yes.

Yes.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 12-05-2019, 10:01 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
The only change I have seen is an errata for...

The only change I have seen is an errata for Taylor being added. Everything else seems to be identical.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 12-03-2019, 01:53 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Wow...I didn't realize there was errata...:shrug:...

Wow...I didn't realize there was errata...:shrug:

In my defense though, the formula in the errata also appears to be wrong since the second summation in the denominator has a product of gammas...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 12-02-2019, 12:21 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
In Verrall, formula 5.4, why is the fraction in...

In Verrall, formula 5.4, why is the fraction in the numerator a division by the sum of lambdas and not the product of lambdas?

Edit: My reason for asking is that, what is presented in TIA and CF...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 11-26-2019, 10:32 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
The 2020 syllabus is up. Only change is new...

The 2020 syllabus is up. Only change is new errata for Taylor (as far as I can tell).

Exam is scheduled for April 28th.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 11-22-2019, 01:42 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
I think it is there just to demonstrate that the...

I think it is there just to demonstrate that the dispersion parameter is working properly and does not interfere with the definition of \mu.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 11-19-2019, 11:27 AM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
I've been reading the source material since early...

I've been reading the source material since early November. I decided to put together an outline of a study schedule today. I feel like this was a bad move...

Putting it to paper, it looks like...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 11-12-2019, 03:57 PM
Replies: 214
Views: 19,000
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Maybe not what you are looking for. All IMO. ...

Maybe not what you are looking for. All IMO.

Ratings are 1-5, 1 = Less, 5 = More.

Will apply these ratings in three categories (in this order):

Difficulty of the paper
Amount of formulas...
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 07-31-2019, 08:09 AM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
So I bought Mahler... The Content Raven...

So I bought Mahler...

The Content Raven Offline Player keeps saying "You appear to be offline - Please connect to the internet and retry!" when I am clearly online.

Anyone else have this issue?
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 07-10-2019, 10:26 AM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
I believe there is a typo in the second line of...

I believe there is a typo in the second line of the proof. The index on the first sum should be k=0, not n=0.

Then the proof follows entirely because n \leq k.

E[N_a]
=\sum_{n=0}^\infty n...
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 06-19-2019, 10:15 AM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
I have no idea since I haven't taken it before,...

I have no idea since I haven't taken it before, but I can tell you that I have never worked in a pricing/predictive analytics role. So everything I am reading is new to me. If you have worked in...
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 06-18-2019, 03:00 PM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
I have two kids 5 and 6. I took MFE, C, LC, ST,...

I have two kids 5 and 6. I took MFE, C, LC, ST, 5, 6, and just sat for 7 for their entire childhood (birth til now).

Studying for an exam like MFE wasn't so bad with my first kid, because my...
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 06-17-2019, 03:51 PM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Just finished reading and writing my study guide...

Just finished reading and writing my study guide for Couret and Venter (except for linking to old exam problems).

Only the GLM paper left for section A. Hope to be done with that by the early...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 03:35 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
FAIL. Got a 5, so at least that means I was...

FAIL. Got a 5, so at least that means I was close. Oh well. I'll get it next time.

For those of you who passed, CONGRATULATIONS!

For those of us that failed, I will see you in a similar...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 03:19 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
AO went down for me. I assumed it was from...

AO went down for me. I assumed it was from everyone spamming the results were out. Was disappointed they were not...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 02:42 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
That time has come and passed.

That time has come and passed.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 12:54 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Less than 3 hours now right?

Less than 3 hours now right?
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 12:49 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
We all have been Buddhist monks our entire lives....

We all have been Buddhist monks our entire lives. Some of us are just more devout than others.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 12:45 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
I usually don't remember the results are coming...

I usually don't remember the results are coming out until I get the email. For some reason, my wife remembered and reminded me today. Now I have anticipatory anxiety. Thanks wife...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 12:40 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Deserved. I thought we got an email with a...

Deserved.

I thought we got an email with a dynamic link for exam results. I assumed everyone had that link and was refreshing it. I'm guessing that its just the exams section of the CAS website...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 12:35 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Yes. More specifically, what url everyone is...

Yes. More specifically, what url everyone is f5-ing today?
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 06-17-2019, 12:27 PM
Replies: 2,983
Views: 207,220
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
url?

url?
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 06-06-2019, 08:14 AM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
I am serious. The only exams I have passed on...

I am serious. The only exams I have passed on the first attempt were FM and MFE. Almost all my passes are with a 6 as well, even on a second attempt. So I obviously need to do more than most...
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 06-04-2019, 03:18 PM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
Probably not, considering a lot of questions from...

Probably not, considering a lot of questions from back then are multiple choice. They can make for good note cards though.

My purpose is because I am writing my own study guide this time and...
Forum: Exam 8 - Advanced Ratemaking 06-04-2019, 01:28 PM
Replies: 1,362
Views: 144,317
Posted By Unrealistic Ace
First sitting. I studied some last year and then...

First sitting. I studied some last year and then ended up not taking the exam. My goal is 600 hours, but I'm creating my own study guide this time around, so that's biased high.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 205

 

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