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Search: Posts Made By: manaknight14
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-19-2018, 08:54 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 546
Posted By manaknight14
For context, the pink blob getting tossed around...

For context, the pink blob getting tossed around by Beerus is a living weapon with a body count that includes entire galaxies. Beerus once split a planet in half by tapping it with his finger.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-19-2018, 01:39 PM
Replies: 1,102
Views: 64,343
Posted By manaknight14
Mega Millions jackpot officially passed $1B...

Mega Millions jackpot officially passed $1B sometime during my lunch break. :yikes:
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-19-2018, 01:28 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 546
Posted By manaknight14
Hungry Beerus >>> Hungry Buu...

Hungry Beerus >>> Hungry Buu (http://youtu.be/nhLoa3RLyXw)

Honestly Thanos is little more than insurance for team purple. Beerus could probably solo any of the other teams without breaking a...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-19-2018, 01:05 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 546
Posted By manaknight14
I was originally going to say green because their...

I was originally going to say green because their depth is absurd.

Then I realized purple had Beerus, and I had to stop and think.

Then I realized purple had Beerus AND Thanos, and I didn't...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 10-15-2018, 08:40 PM
Replies: 1,585
Views: 96,933
Posted By manaknight14
How does anyone ever get to 400 hours of study...

How does anyone ever get to 400 hours of study for an exam attempt? I took 7 in the spring and am about to take 8, and I don't think I'm going to get to 400 hours combined between the two tests.
...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-15-2018, 03:16 PM
Replies: 721
Views: 63,088
Posted By manaknight14
Modified Bayes' Theorem

https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/modified_bayes_theorem.png
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 10-15-2018, 03:13 PM
Replies: 1,585
Views: 96,933
Posted By manaknight14
Friday. Taking Monday & Tuesday off because...

Friday.

Taking Monday & Tuesday off because that's the maximum number of full work days I'm allowed to take for studying.
Forum: General Actuarial 10-10-2018, 12:03 PM
Replies: 73
Views: 6,078
Posted By manaknight14
The more I have thought about this, the more it's...

The more I have thought about this, the more it's pretty obvious to me why the SOA refuses to just collaborate on joint exams instead of a full merger, and it is all about the FSA-GI. The biggest...
Forum: Sports 10-10-2018, 10:15 AM
Replies: 64
Views: 3,303
Posted By manaknight14
I got through one period of the Flyers game last...

I got through one period of the Flyers game last night before I had to turn it off. I hear a lot of people ragging on Elliott today for letting in a couple of easy ones, but frankly I don't think...
Forum: General Actuarial 10-09-2018, 04:19 PM
Replies: 73
Views: 6,078
Posted By manaknight14
I watched the webcast. I came away with a few of...

I watched the webcast. I came away with a few of my "this will be God-awful" feelings slightly assuaged, but I'm not still not seeing much that would indicate the merger offers significant benefit...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 10-09-2018, 03:12 PM
Replies: 1,585
Views: 96,933
Posted By manaknight14
I just had an untimed go at 2014, and it wasn't...

I just had an untimed go at 2014, and it wasn't anywhere near as bad as I was anticipating. Untimed may be the key here, as the biggest issue with that exam was just being too long, followed by some...
Forum: General Actuarial 10-09-2018, 08:53 AM
Replies: 165
Views: 12,298
Posted By manaknight14
Got the email literally three minutes after...

Got the email literally three minutes after making my prior post.
Forum: General Actuarial 10-09-2018, 08:47 AM
Replies: 165
Views: 12,298
Posted By manaknight14
Has anybody registered via the CAS received the...

Has anybody registered via the CAS received the email with the link? I haven't.
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 10-08-2018, 10:18 AM
Replies: 1,585
Views: 96,933
Posted By manaknight14
Your implication is that unclear and/or weird...

Your implication is that unclear and/or weird questions don't show up on the actual CAS exams.

I could have easily followed this with a quote of the CAS exam committee saying "hold my beer."
Forum: Sports 10-08-2018, 09:18 AM
Replies: 1,025
Views: 51,782
Posted By manaknight14
I saw the play, thought it was ridiculous, but...

I saw the play, thought it was ridiculous, but figured maybe it met some ticky-tack definition of the new rule everyone hates. Then after halftime I heard an Eagles radio announcer say they had...
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 10-08-2018, 09:11 AM
Replies: 1,585
Views: 96,933
Posted By manaknight14
Based on the 2017 exam feedback, I'm going to...

Based on the 2017 exam feedback, I'm going to assume you meant to put this in red text?
Forum: Exam 7 (new) - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 10-04-2018, 12:47 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 139
Posted By manaknight14
Negative correlation outside the tail? In theory...

Negative correlation outside the tail? In theory you could produce a total correlation of 0 by having pockets of correlation with opposing signs... I think.
Forum: Exam 6 US (old Part 7U) 10-04-2018, 09:10 AM
Replies: 273
Views: 28,900
Posted By manaknight14
Oh great, now my cat models need a contagion...

Oh great, now my cat models need a contagion parameter.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 10-01-2018, 10:59 AM
Replies: 178
Views: 15,476
Posted By manaknight14
I've recently started paying much closer...

I've recently started paying much closer attention to this thread, mostly due to wondering who will be the first person to post:
Forum: General Actuarial 09-27-2018, 11:45 AM
Replies: 211
Views: 14,087
Posted By manaknight14
I'm pretty sure that's how adverse selection...

I'm pretty sure that's how adverse selection works.
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 09-27-2018, 11:05 AM
Replies: 1,585
Views: 96,933
Posted By manaknight14
Exam 8: BIC is bad in insurance because it...

Exam 8: BIC is bad in insurance because it punishes you for using a large dataset.

Exam 7: AIC is bad in insurance because it doesn't punish you enough for fitting parameters to a large dataset.
...
Forum: Surveys 09-14-2018, 09:36 AM
Replies: 12
Poll: marijuana
Views: 892
Posted By manaknight14
Does a secondhand high count?

Does a secondhand high count?
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 09-13-2018, 12:12 PM
Replies: 168
Views: 6,583
Posted By manaknight14
Yeah I agree it's pretty much this. This is not...

Yeah I agree it's pretty much this. This is not some guy in a big hurricane-proof house who's lived on the coast his whole life and knows (or thinks he knows) what he's doing. This is one of those...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics 09-13-2018, 10:03 AM
Replies: 168
Views: 6,583
Posted By manaknight14
This also brings it closer to Myrtle Beach. My...

This also brings it closer to Myrtle Beach. My wife has an uncle there who is refusing to evacuate. :(
Forum: Exam 8 (old Part 9) - Advanced Ratemaking 09-11-2018, 01:55 PM
Replies: 1,585
Views: 96,933
Posted By manaknight14
Almost. I just finished reading Clark which just...

Almost. I just finished reading Clark which just leaves Bernegger before I go into full practice exam mode.

I've been mostly lurking of late, but I have to agree with most assessments that A is...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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