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Search: Posts Made By: Gareth Keenan
Forum: General Actuarial 04-24-2018, 08:19 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 733
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Why tree vs gbm have different results?

Hello,

I ran a decision tree and a gbm on a dataset, and different variables came out as predictive. A coworker asked me why that might be the case and i didn't have a solid answer unfortunately,...
Forum: Software & Technology 03-28-2018, 02:38 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 511
Posted By Gareth Keenan
best free online trainings

Okay,

You want to refresh or improve your ability to use common or upcoming tools & tricks of the trade.

What are some of the best online resources actuaries have used?
I'm aware of...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 03-26-2018, 11:55 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 806
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Where to apply a multipolicy discount?

Say you want to launch a multipolicy discount between one or more lines of business.

Where’s the appropriate line to offer the discount, or at a minimum, what are all of the considerations? As...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 03-08-2018, 03:37 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 541
Posted By Gareth Keenan
VA AUTO rental car insurance

How does Virginia's rental car auto insurance coverage work?

My understanding is that rental coverage on your auto policy, covers the cost per diem of a rental car up to a certain daily and total...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 01-12-2018, 11:34 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 699
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Except in this instance, only one peril has the...

Except in this instance, only one peril has the same territory factor. Others do vary inside the city
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 01-11-2018, 10:32 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 699
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Same territory factor for an entire urban area?

A coworker told me about a competitor he reviewed, and for one semi-large city, they had the same territory factor being charged for the personal line for the entire city. I couldn’t think of a good...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 10-06-2017, 05:07 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 3,597
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Well you can certainly build...

Well you can certainly build classification/regression trees on some response variable like frequency, severity, policy renewal or policy conversion even. You could use GBMs or other more...
Forum: Software & Technology 10-02-2017, 06:24 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 654
Posted By Gareth Keenan
I'm using Oracle Sql Developer to connect to data...

I'm using Oracle Sql Developer to connect to data and pull data.

To export i don't think i'm using any fancy tools, i just right click on the data and select export. Then specify delimited by...
Forum: Software & Technology 10-02-2017, 12:53 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 654
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Ignore or exclude an oracle sql error?

Greetings!

I've run into an annoying situation. I can pull some data successfully in Oracle, as in i can see the top 50 rows or whatever, so my code does not error out and the code produces the...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 09-04-2017, 02:03 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 534
Posted By Gareth Keenan
translating EMBLE logit predicted value to actual probabilities

i figured it out, never mind, please disregard

Greetings, i'm back!

I'm having a dickens of a time figuring out an output from emblem.

If i model something with a logit link function, and...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 09-01-2017, 07:55 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,943
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Close, but not quite. As the current standard on...

Close, but not quite. As the current standard on GLMs for Exam 8 indicates i should be able to get the p-values for each parameter estimate, not just in summary. That doesn't mean i don't find the...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 08-23-2017, 10:43 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,943
Posted By Gareth Keenan
parameter p-values in Emblem?

Simple question, I think.

Say you want to add a variable to your model in emblem with 3 levels cold, warm, and hot for example. You can look at your parameter estimates in the betas screen, as...
Forum: Software & Technology 07-24-2017, 01:09 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 371
Posted By Gareth Keenan
ORACLE Sql developer, though a reboot(surprise...

ORACLE Sql developer, though a reboot(surprise surprise) fixed the issue.
Forum: Software & Technology 07-20-2017, 02:17 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 371
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Oracle sql: Script Output always runs. Make it stop?

Hi,

Simple question that googling hasn’t helped me solve

For some reason in Oracle, when I hit “ctrl+enter” Oracle generates both a script output and a query result.

Does anyone know how I...
Forum: Software & Technology 05-02-2017, 04:43 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 765
Posted By Gareth Keenan
This would be my dream. Good luck with your...

This would be my dream.

Good luck with your search OP, sorry i can't help you out!
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 01-09-2017, 12:40 PM
Replies: 265
Views: 60,745
Posted By Gareth Keenan
This is basically an advert for lemonade. I've...

This is basically an advert for lemonade. I've never heard of prnewswire, do they have any history of quality journalism? Why should we trust their word or be impressed by what they have to say?
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 01-03-2017, 09:48 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 478
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Best way to introduce a count penalty?

Hello,

I have a tool helping me to decide on which granular grouping of risks will be the components of larger buckets of risk. These larger buckets will be used for subsequent business purposes....
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 12-05-2016, 09:06 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 2,552
Posted By Gareth Keenan
To answer your original question, no, i do not...

To answer your original question, no, i do not know of any such papers.

But is this a large enough cohort of your risk set that you need to dig deep into it? Is the premium volume worth it?
...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 11-14-2016, 12:59 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 931
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Welcome to Actuarial Outpost! Many, many...

Welcome to Actuarial Outpost!

Many, many users have used Emblem, myself included. Once the data files are created, Emblem is actually pretty easy to use. So is it user friendly? I would say...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 10-24-2016, 12:05 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 3,011
Posted By Gareth Keenan
That's the plan!

That's the plan!
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 10-21-2016, 01:30 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 3,011
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Unfortunately, for my purposes I won't have a...

Unfortunately, for my purposes I won't have a data set ahead time. Like most things insurance, I need to use my results in anticipation of future events, so I will need parameters, not predictions on...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 10-20-2016, 06:13 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 3,011
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Here we go. I've attached a sample file I've...

Here we go.

I've attached a sample file I've contrived to make sure I'm learning the R and the coxph() functionality. The idea was how use the coxph model to estimate how many years until your...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 10-17-2016, 04:35 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 3,011
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Alright all ready. My bad guys, I'm sorry i...

Alright all ready. My bad guys, I'm sorry i didn't make it clear. R is the underlying programming language, and RStudio is just a program that makes interfacing with the language a little easier.
...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 10-14-2016, 07:06 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 3,011
Posted By Gareth Keenan
Yeah, I'm aware of this, but in my minimal...

Yeah, I'm aware of this, but in my minimal experience and my peers greater experience have found that Rstudio is an easier interface to use. I like it because I can click on a library and Rstudio...
Forum: Property - Casualty / General Insurance 10-14-2016, 04:32 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 3,011
Posted By Gareth Keenan
This is what I was getting at, even if I was...

This is what I was getting at, even if I was unable to word my original question correctly.

My frame of reference is Emblem, where I could put your data into Emblem, and the output for severity...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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