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Search: Posts Made By: Lucy
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Today, 07:02 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 22,546
Posted By Lucy
:iatp: Even non-experts, like my friends. ...

:iatp: Even non-experts, like my friends.


So, what IS the definition of a "black swan"?
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Today, 06:42 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 22,546
Posted By Lucy
So, what exactly counts as a "black swan"? ...

So, what exactly counts as a "black swan"?

This is doing exactly what I expected SARS to do. We got lucky with that one. I still have no idea how it was contained. I thought, "Holy shit, it's a...
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Today, 04:34 PM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
Oh hell yes! But I think you are less likely to...

Oh hell yes! But I think you are less likely to get into that downward spiral if you start out with

"thanks for the offer, can you get me a seltzer with a splash of OJ"

than if your response to...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Today, 04:24 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 22,546
Posted By Lucy
I agree with all of this Naw. We've...

I agree with all of this


Naw. We've already seen SARS and MERS. Something like this was completely predictable. The only question was "when?" Also, COVID seems to have a relatively low mortality...
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Today, 03:08 PM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
I don't have a provlem with people hassling me...

I don't have a provlem with people hassling me for not drinking. But nerd alert says she gets flack for it. I was trying to suggest ways for her to reduce that.

You can choose to minimize...
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Today, 01:19 PM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
Can i give you a tiny piece of advice? Say,...

Can i give you a tiny piece of advice? Say, "yes".

"Hey, Lucy, can i pour you a glass of wine?"
"Oh thanks, could I get seltzer, instead?"
Usually, that's the end of the conversation. But if it...
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Today, 11:03 AM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
I have always liked coffee. As a kid I loved the...

I have always liked coffee. As a kid I loved the smell of my parents' coffee, and coffee ice cream (the brand we got didn't really have significant caffeine). I like non-caffeinated hot drinks, too....
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Today, 10:52 AM
Replies: 469
Views: 22,546
Posted By Lucy
too late, I expect Honestly, I think it's too...

too late, I expect
Honestly, I think it's too late.



Yeah, that's what I've been thinking. It's going to be like another flu, only without a vaccine, and it will kill a lot of people, mostly...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Today, 10:49 AM
Replies: 5,426
Views: 563,030
Posted By Lucy
Wow!

Wow!
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 08:54 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 22,546
Posted By Lucy
Not all viruses are amenable to vaccines. We...

Not all viruses are amenable to vaccines. We still don't have an HIV vaccine. Dengue is actually worse if you've had it before, so they don't vaccinate for it. I don't think there are a lot of...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 04:36 PM
Replies: 152
Views: 12,255
Posted By Lucy
I have a physicist friend who likes to do this....

I have a physicist friend who likes to do this. He says the typical flat earther has done a lot more research and knows a lot more physics than the typical "trust the experts" type. All in all, he...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 02:23 PM
Replies: 152
Views: 12,255
Posted By Lucy
:lol:

:lol:
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Yesterday, 02:19 PM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
Furthermore, there are a bunch of observational...

Furthermore, there are a bunch of observational studies showing that both tea and coffee are probably good for you. Yeah, I'm not worried about my caffeine addiction.

:iatp:

I find I can get a...
Forum: General Actuarial Yesterday, 02:11 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 2,030
Posted By Lucy
Unfortunately, he's probably reasonably sound on...

Unfortunately, he's probably reasonably sound on COVID, too.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 02:08 PM
Replies: 2,499
Views: 130,321
Posted By Lucy
wtf is a textures paperclip?

wtf is a textures paperclip?
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 01:43 PM
Replies: 469
Views: 22,546
Posted By Lucy
Okay, that's a weird theory.

Okay, that's a weird theory.
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Yesterday, 01:12 PM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
I hang out and mostly drink gingerale and seltzer...

I hang out and mostly drink gingerale and seltzer when my friends are drinking booze. You can't do that?

(I really dislike the feeling of being drunk, so even if I'm at a drinking event, I am...
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Yesterday, 12:58 PM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
Congrats!

Congrats!
Forum: Health and Fitness Forum Yesterday, 12:57 PM
Replies: 347
Views: 14,001
Posted By Lucy
Yeah, I'm addicted to caffeine. I go off it for a...

Yeah, I'm addicted to caffeine. I go off it for a week or two every year (which is hard, and takes planning and tapering) so that I can fast on Yom Kippur without getting sick from withdrawal. That's...
Forum: General Actuarial Yesterday, 12:12 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 2,030
Posted By Lucy
It's particularly amusing since he got the basics...

It's particularly amusing since he got the basics wrong. P&C folks said helpful "I'm not an expert" things like "see if you can find a good agent" and "shop for a specialty company that understands...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 11:33 AM
Replies: 469
Views: 22,546
Posted By Lucy
Do you think Iran was trying to cover it up, or...

Do you think Iran was trying to cover it up, or do you think they just had no clue it was there? Not that it really matters. I suspect the latter, though.
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 11:26 AM
Replies: 152
Views: 12,255
Posted By Lucy
:iatp: He was a daredevil. Yeah, it's...

:iatp:
He was a daredevil.


Yeah, it's early. But it's past when most people finish breeding, and I feel like your actions have to take your genes out of the gene pool to win a Darwin Award.
...
Forum: General Actuarial Yesterday, 11:23 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 2,030
Posted By Lucy
If you are supporting a stay-at-home spouse, you...

If you are supporting a stay-at-home spouse, you also want enough for them to get on their feet, etc.
Forum: General Actuarial Yesterday, 11:21 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 583
Posted By Lucy
Bus some things are learnable and others are more...

Bus some things are learnable and others are more dependent on innate capabilities. It's important to determine what is causing this employee problems. They may never had coded, and are just lost as...
Forum: Non-Actuarial Topics Yesterday, 12:40 AM
Replies: 152
Views: 12,255
Posted By Lucy
He died doing what he loved. And hey, dying at...

He died doing what he loved. And hey, dying at age 64 isn't really Darwin award territory.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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