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Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 05-18-2020, 04:56 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 161
Posted By AbedNadir
past systemic episodes are like inflation, if you...

past systemic episodes are like inflation, if you use a calendar year parameter in a GLM then you are fitting this away. there is still residual randomness because you aren't predicting perfectly, so...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 05-08-2020, 02:40 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
so we know that under ODP and column dependant...

so we know that under ODP and column dependant dispersion parameters that the chain ladder provides the MVUE for fj, ultimate and reserve.

I'm wondering, is it possible that BF or CC provide the...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-30-2020, 01:19 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
I'm reading like one page a day with what I hope...

I'm reading like one page a day with what I hope is perfect comprehension
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-24-2020, 10:14 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
I bought the book for cheaper than the cost of...

I bought the book for cheaper than the cost of the study kit...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-14-2020, 01:46 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
if you already took studies days you get them...

if you already took studies days you get them back for the October sitting, unlucky for those who were saving them all for closer to the exam, lucky for those who already took some. I got over a week...
Forum: Chess 04-08-2020, 02:51 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 3,640
Posted By AbedNadir
it can lead to some very beautiful games,...

it can lead to some very beautiful games, definitely my favourite
Forum: Chess 04-08-2020, 02:37 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 3,640
Posted By AbedNadir
https://www.chess.com/analysis/game/live/469559161...

https://www.chess.com/analysis/game/live/4695591616

this game has a nice ending
Forum: Chess 04-08-2020, 12:01 PM
Replies: 53
Views: 3,640
Posted By AbedNadir
I got to 1631 on chess.com 10 minute time...

I got to 1631 on chess.com 10 minute time controls, went on a big winning streak, My rating was at 1300 and I had not played in a long time and then boom, big spike during quarantine
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-07-2020, 02:48 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
yea, although I got a 5 on 8 last sitting I'm...

yea, although I got a 5 on 8 last sitting I'm still considering just taking 7 and then having one year left assuming I pass
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-07-2020, 02:37 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
just got the email for cancellation and we go...

just got the email for cancellation and we go ahead in October, possibly remotely if we must.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-06-2020, 01:52 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
I'll keep aiming to reach a deep understanding of...

I'll keep aiming to reach a deep understanding of the material, there's still lots of stuff I don't know so I don't see a reason to stop studying for at least 2 hours a day
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-02-2020, 05:21 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
I'd be very happy with July after worrying about...

I'd be very happy with July after worrying about it not going ahead at all
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 04-01-2020, 03:39 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
so what, they're just going to skip a sitting for...

so what, they're just going to skip a sitting for these and do exam 8 again in October?
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-31-2020, 12:58 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
I'm not sure what this means on page 26 of Brehm,...

I'm not sure what this means on page 26 of Brehm,

" One of the more common market-based risk signals - the risk-adjusted discount rate - reflects risk only if there is a time lag. For many kinds...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-31-2020, 12:30 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
does it feel like a chore for you to read? it's...

does it feel like a chore for you to read? it's hard not to run out of stamina
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-30-2020, 09:09 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
anyone else still studying everyday? If it goes...

anyone else still studying everyday? If it goes ahead mid-June, an extra 1.5 months of study can fly by pretty fast
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-23-2020, 08:53 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
I hope all the NYC exam 7 peeps are staying safe

I hope all the NYC exam 7 peeps are staying safe
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-23-2020, 10:42 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
So you donít need a vaccine before itís safe?

So you donít need a vaccine before itís safe?
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-19-2020, 01:21 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
Second wave starting already in asia. It will...

Second wave starting already in asia. It will keep coming back until a vaccine is ready.
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-17-2020, 08:54 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
they might try to prepare that as a back-up...

they might try to prepare that as a back-up contingency if it looks like they can't hold it anywhere near mid June
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-17-2020, 02:27 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
a lot of options would be possible if the CAS had...

a lot of options would be possible if the CAS had more funding and wasn't mostly run by volunteers. maybe all companies could pay a yearly fee tofund it and in return we get more frequent/high...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-17-2020, 01:45 PM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
I like this idea, a mix between total automation...

I like this idea, a mix between total automation and human judgement. use computers to essentially deliver the exam and have humans cover the parts that are hard to automate. I mean, yea, I could go...
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-17-2020, 10:30 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
oh man good thing you didn't see the post from...

oh man good thing you didn't see the post from amp about how he'd rather get corona and do the exam :spnner:
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-17-2020, 10:23 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
it's the same ELR as always, just weird wording...

it's the same ELR as always, just weird wording on calling it an ultimate
Forum: Exam 7 - Estimation of Policy Liability & ERM 03-17-2020, 09:42 AM
Replies: 976
Views: 96,585
Posted By AbedNadir
what if Wal-mart gives us space in their parking...

what if Wal-mart gives us space in their parking lots to do the exam? donny pump gonna get us out of this one I feel it
Showing results 1 to 25 of 300

 

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