Actuarial Outpost
 
Go Back   Actuarial Outpost > Exams - Please Limit Discussion to Exam-Related Topics > SoA/CAS Preliminary Exams > MFE
FlashChat Actuarial Discussion Preliminary Exams CAS/SOA Exams Cyberchat Around the World Suggestions

Meet Kim Skora, Partner at DW Simpson

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-15-2012, 06:06 AM
Akwasi Akwasi is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
College: University of Ghana. 3rd year
Posts: 49
Default relationship between Uh and Qh in context of utilities

Hello all, please can somebody explain to me the difference between Uh and Qh in the context of utility in section 5.2 in asm. I have read this for like six times but i am not getting it. Forgive me if you think this is trivial, but i really need somebody to explain this to me in the simplest of terms.
Also why is Qh = pUh and Qh + Ql = 1/(1+r).
Thanks in advance.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-15-2012, 10:34 AM
psu602 psu602 is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Florence, KY
Studying for FAP
College: Penn State Univerisity 2010
Favorite beer: Cheerwine
Posts: 354
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Akwasi View Post
Hello all, please can somebody explain to me the difference between Uh and Qh in the context of utility in section 5.2 in asm. I have read this for like six times but i am not getting it. Forgive me if you think this is trivial, but i really need somebody to explain this to me in the simplest of terms.
Also why is Qh = pUh and Qh + Ql = 1/(1+r).
Thanks in advance.
U is the value of a dollar, in terms of Utility.

Utility theory says that a dollar gained is not as valuable as a dollar lost. To illustrate what Utility theory is, let's assume you make $25k per year. Consider the following scenarios:

-Your salary increases by $25k (to $50k total)
-Your salary decreases by $25k (to nothing)

The amount of "happiness" in scenario 1 is LESS dramatic than the amount of "unhappiness" in scenario 2. Insurance exists because of Utility Theory.

Back to your question, Q is the probability of receiving that dollar times it's value (in utility). U is just the value of it, with no probability involved.
__________________
P FM MLC MFE C VEE FAP
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-15-2012, 11:05 AM
mathmajor's Avatar
mathmajor mathmajor is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Studying for DP Health
College: B.S. Applied Math '09
Favorite beer: Crown 'n Coke
Posts: 2,374
Default

You really don't need to understand the "usefulness" idea to get Q vs. U.

Basically, U is the buying power of $1 at the end of the year. Uh is the amount gained if the "H" state happens, and Ul is if the "L" state happens. Qh is the present value of prob(H)*Uh. Qh can be thought of as Uh's contribution to the PV of the expected value. Added together, these should add to the present value of $1, or 1/(1+r).
__________________
FSA Group & Health exams:
Core | Advanced | Specialty/ERM
Modules: ERM | FHE | PRF
DMAC | FAC

"Always do whatever's next." -GC
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-15-2012, 11:16 AM
actuary_aspire's Avatar
actuary_aspire actuary_aspire is offline
Member
CAS
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Studying for OC1
Posts: 2,231
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mathmajor View Post
You really don't need to understand the "usefulness" idea to get Q vs. U.

Basically, U is the buying power of $1 at the end of the year. Uh is the amount gained if the "H" state happens, and Ul is if the "L" state happens. Qh is the present value of prob(H)*Uh. Qh can be thought of as Uh's contribution to the PV of the expected value. Added together, these should add to the present value of $1, or 1/(1+r).
Uh is the utility now of getting 1$ in the up state, so Qh is just prob(H)*Uh.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:36 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
*PLEASE NOTE: Posts are not checked for accuracy, and do not
represent the views of the Actuarial Outpost or its sponsors.
Page generated in 0.24035 seconds with 9 queries