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  #41  
Old 09-13-2012, 04:17 PM
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I haven't funded my account yet - I wouldn't be buying shares in Obama at these heights this far out.
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  #42  
Old 09-13-2012, 04:18 PM
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There are also some emerging foreign policy variables regarding Israel and Iran
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  #43  
Old 09-13-2012, 04:38 PM
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I haven't funded my account yet - I wouldn't be buying shares in Obama at these heights this far out.
The prices are way too high, I think.
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  #44  
Old 09-13-2012, 06:45 PM
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Lots of time left for things to change.
no doubt about it

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I also forgot to mention the impending fiscal cliff that Obama might have to deal with
[tpir]
yodle-ee-dee yodle-ee-dee yodle-ee-dee yo
yodle-ee-dee yo
yodle-ee-dee yo
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  #45  
Old 09-14-2012, 01:44 PM
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Obama is quickly closing in on the 2/3's mark. He is currently at 65.8%
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  #46  
Old 09-16-2012, 05:49 PM
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I may short some Obama. Even if he ultimately wins, he's gonna dropped below his current level over the next few weeks.
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  #47  
Old 09-27-2012, 10:39 AM
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I may short some Obama. Even if he ultimately wins, he's gonna dropped below his current level over the next few weeks.
Now's the time.

I don't know though. Romney will make temporary headway with voters, for sure, but gamblers aren't that fickle are they? It would be fun to do some fancy predictive modeling with intrade.

Also thinking I should have gotten involved back when the market was still small and probably irrational. Now that there's millions running through there everyday, average morans won't be able to influence it, and only puppeteers with (somewhat) deep pockets will be able to manipulate it.
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  #48  
Old 09-27-2012, 11:38 AM
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Now that there's millions running through [intrade] everyday, average morans won't be able to influence it, and only puppeteers with (somewhat) deep pockets will be able to manipulate it.
I've found that markets for senate races, e.g., are quite thinly traded...mind you, it depends on how competitive the race is. E.g., there's a lot more action in the races for MO, MA, & OH than there is for CA & WY.
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  #49  
Old 09-27-2012, 01:48 PM
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I funded my account yesterday. I'm still not sure if I want to buy Obama at these levels but I do think he will ultimately win. It is just about trying to gauge whether the price will come down in the interim.
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  #50  
Old 09-27-2012, 06:58 PM
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Well - I'm about half invested at these levels.
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