2012 MLB Weekly Contest

[Jahiegel]

Had actually I a chance at a passable finish, I'd pass this week--each of my two prospective choices projects to 3.4 wins, which on a seven-game schedule is unideal--but prudence is of no use.

Week twenty-five: Colorado Rockies

[Roy Hobbs]

Originally Posted by Patience

based on that logic - I wished you had - willing to give up a game to see the Yankees lose.

See, as soon as I commit to a full week pick I get rewarded with a 6 run ninth by the Rays to keep me in this!

[rekrap]

Standings after week 24:

	Week								
Player	22	23	24	W	L	Win %	GB	TB	COWPAT
Patienc	 WAS 	 MIN 	 SFG 	97	54	0.642	0	0.001	0.4682
RHobbs	 DET 	 CWS 	 TBR 	95	55	0.633	1.5	0.042	0.4388
The Arb	 LAA 	 MIN 	 SDP 	94	57	0.623	3	0.000	0.4182
OddSox	 ATL 	 PHI 	 PIT 	82	55	0.599	8	0.031	0.4590
keyser	 BRS 	 PHI 	 MIN 	88	61	0.591	8	0.040	0.4560
KidRock	 WAS 	 MIN 	 CLE 	83	59	0.585	9.5	0.050	0.4398
Jahgl	 WAS 	 CWS 	 SDP 	88	63	0.583	9	0.046	0.4330
SirVLC4	 WAS 	 CIN 	 PHI 	84	65	0.564	12	0.058	0.4732
Expunge	 PIT 	 SLC 	 CWS 	80	63	0.559	13	0.084	0.4518
UltAny1	 MIA 	 LAA 	 SDP 	85	67	0.559	12.5	0.095	0.4693
MtnHawk	 WAS 	 PIT 	 CHC 	83	66	0.557	13	0.087	0.4504
Cynical	 TOR 	 WAS 	 NYY 	81	66	0.551	14	0.102	0.4399
rekrap	 ATL 	 PHI 	 CHC 	83	68	0.550	14	0.076	0.4405
yankeet	 MIA 	 MIN 	 CWS 	81	69	0.540	15.5	0.098	0.4994
BiReMan	 WAS 	 CIN 	 CHC 	78	67	0.538	16	0.086	0.4584
Ez Cumb	 DET 	 MIN 	 KCR 	79	70	0.530	17	0.116	0.4916
trondog	 SEA 	 WAS 	 SFG 	74	70	0.514	19.5	0.118	0.4474
BigPete	 OAK 	 CWS 	 CHC 	74	79	0.484	24	0.141	0.4259
Agadefe	 -   	 -   	 -   	69	81	0.460	27.5	0.182	0.4516
dlwktb	 -   	 -   	 -   	67	83	0.447	29.5	0.192	0.4499

[Big Pete]

Week 25 - Rockies

[SirVLCIV]

Nice, back to the middle of the pack.

[rekrap]

Originally Posted by Roy Hobbs

See, as soon as I commit to a full week pick I get rewarded with a 6 run ninth by the Rays to keep me in this!

Notice how close Patience is to his tie-breaker predicted win % (and The Arbitrary is nailing that right now). Just something to keep in mind if it comes down to a tie.

Standings going into Week 25 (COWPAT updated, PWP added):

	Week									
Player	23	24	25	W	L	Win %	GB	TB	COWPAT	PWP
Patienc	 MIN 	 SFG 	 BAL 	97	54	0.642	0	0.001	0.4477	 0.641 
RHobbs	 CWS 	 TBR 	 COR 	95	55	0.633	1.5	0.042	0.4486	 0.675 
The Arb	 MIN 	 SDP 	 TBR 	94	57	0.623	3	0.000	0.3952	 0.623 
OddSox	 PHI 	 PIT 	 WAS 	82	55	0.599	8	0.031	0.4373	 0.630 
keyser	 PHI 	 MIN 	 TBR 	88	61	0.591	8	0.040	0.4404	 0.631 
KidRock	 MIN 	 CLE 	 DET 	83	59	0.585	9.5	0.050	0.4247	 0.635 
Jahgl	 CWS 	 SDP 	 COR 	88	63	0.583	9	0.046	0.4418	 0.628 
SirVLC4	 CIN 	 PHI 	 DET 	84	65	0.564	12	0.058	0.4618	 0.622 
Expunge	 SLC 	 CWS 	 NYY 	80	63	0.559	13	0.084	0.4310	 0.643 
UltAny1	 LAA 	 SDP 	 DET 	85	67	0.559	12.5	0.095	0.4572	 0.654 
MtnHawk	 PIT 	 CHC 	 DET 	83	66	0.557	13	0.087	0.4345	 0.644 
Cynical	 WAS 	 NYY 	 DET 	81	66	0.551	14	0.102	0.4219	 0.653 
rekrap	 PHI 	 CHC 	 NYY 	83	68	0.550	14	0.076	0.4133	 0.626 
yankeet	 MIN 	 CWS 	 DET 	81	69	0.540	15.5	0.098	0.4933	 0.638 
BiReMan	 CIN 	 CHC 	 DET 	78	67	0.538	16	0.086	0.4464	 0.624 
Ez Cumb	 MIN 	 KCR 	 SFG 	79	70	0.530	17	0.116	0.4739	 0.646 
trondog	 WAS 	 SFG 	 DET 	74	70	0.514	19.5	0.118	0.4337	 0.632 
BigPete	 CWS 	 CHC 	 COR 	74	79	0.484	24	0.141	0.4332	 0.625 
Agadefe	 -   	 -   	 -   	69	81	0.460	27.5	0.182	0.4516	 0.642 
dlwktb	 -   	 -   	 -   	67	83	0.447	29.5	0.192	0.4499	 0.639

[Patience]

Originally Posted by rekrap

Notice how close Patience is to his tie-breaker predicted win % (and The Arbitrary is nailing that right now). Just something to keep in mind if it comes down to a tie.

already lost one that way

The last week will be interesting, as my best pick plays what I believe is both Arbs (assuming he doesn't stick with houston) and Hobbs best pick. One can actually pick my first half opponent and the other by second half. Great for me if trailing, but if leading I may have to seriously consider a skip and I hate doing that.

[The Arbitrary]

What's wrong with Houston? Oh, they're team. That week is going to be tricky for me.

[rekrap]

Standings after weekend 25:
TB: 3-0; BAL: 2-1; COR 0-3

	Week								
Player	23	24	25	W	L	Win %	GB	TB	COWPAT
Patienc	 MIN 	 SFG 	 BAL 	99	55	0.643	0	0.002	0.4468
The Arb	 MIN 	 SDP 	 TBR 	97	57	0.630	2	0.007	0.3953
RHobbs	 CWS 	 TBR 	 COR 	95	58	0.621	3.5	0.054	0.4490
keyser	 PHI 	 MIN 	 TBR 	91	61	0.599	7	0.032	0.4383
OddSox	 PHI 	 PIT 	 WAS 	83	57	0.593	9	0.037	0.4362
KidRock	 MIN 	 CLE 	 DET 	84	61	0.579	10.5	0.056	0.4251
Jahgl	 CWS 	 SDP 	 COR 	88	66	0.571	11	0.057	0.4396
Expunge	 SLC 	 CWS 	 NYY 	82	64	0.562	13	0.081	0.4323
SirVLC4	 CIN 	 PHI 	 DET 	85	67	0.559	13	0.063	0.4659
UltAny1	 LAA 	 SDP 	 DET 	86	69	0.555	13.5	0.099	0.4561
MtnHawk	 PIT 	 CHC 	 DET 	84	68	0.553	14	0.091	0.4364
rekrap	 PHI 	 CHC 	 NYY 	85	69	0.552	14	0.074	0.4131
Cynical	 WAS 	 NYY 	 DET 	82	68	0.547	15	0.107	0.4202
yankeet	 MIN 	 CWS 	 DET 	82	71	0.536	16.5	0.102	0.4928
BiReMan	 CIN 	 CHC 	 DET 	79	69	0.534	17	0.090	0.4475
Ez Cumb	 MIN 	 KCR 	 SFG 	81	71	0.533	17	0.113	0.4764
trondog	 WAS 	 SFG 	 DET 	75	72	0.510	20.5	0.121	0.4328
BigPete	 CWS 	 CHC 	 COR 	74	82	0.474	26	0.151	0.4377
Agadefe	 -   	 -   	 -   	69	81	0.460	28	0.182	0.4538
dlwktb	 -   	 -   	 -   	67	83	0.447	30	0.192	0.4498

[Patience]

Originally Posted by rekrap

TB: 3-0; BAL: 2-1;

now we switch opponents