

FlashChat  Actuarial Discussion  Preliminary Exams  CAS/SOA Exams  Cyberchat  Around the World  Suggestions 

Thread Tools  Display Modes 
#251




3 weeks from Eday!
I've been working through exams from TIA, ADAPT, ASM, and Mahler. I agree with the sentiment from most on the board: Mahler's exams tend to be the most difficult and test the concepts from the syllabus in deeper, more intricate ways than the other sources. I think the TIA exams thus far (I've done two of them) also do a great job of asking tough questions that require a deeper understanding of the concepts. ADAPT exams seem great for learning the core of the syllabus, but I feel like they never touch on the rarer topics; they all seem to be very similar in content, while the other sources' exams will have a slightly different feel each time due to diversification of topics. I'll add my Mahler scores for reference as well: 1) 14/20 2) 12/20 3) 12/20 4) 13/20 11) 29/35 
#252




I work through kernel problems by viewing them as mixtures and proceeding to use properties of mixtures to find CDF, S(x), 1st and 2nd moments, etc., so I don't fully understand the method the SOA used, but it seems to me that they interpret the "kernel" in the solution as a uniform random variable relative to the original data point, that is, the kernel is Uniform(1, 2), which has a mean of (2+(1))/2=0.5 and a variance of 3^2/12=0.75.

#253




Mahler#10
BRUTAL
11/20 mucho malo. That was tough as it gets so far. I think #10 is the hardest from Mahler I've seen yet. This is good because learning from these is key to getting better. Starting full length Mahler tonight. Looking forward to it because there may be a better chance of passing with more questions. Each exam title page says that "each question is similar to a question in the study guide". This is why I regret using ASM/TIA. If I used Mahler all along I'd be golden by now. These would be cake because they're all the same and they'd be like repeat questions. maybe not cake, but not as bad. I'm feeling Mahler puts me at game day level 100% of the time where other resources are not always there.
__________________
PM me if you’re in the Austin area Exams: VEE: Predictive Analytics FAP APC Last edited by dkamka; Yesterday at 03:21 PM.. 
#254




Quote:
Just calculate the mean from the constraints: E[X]=E[(y1+y+2)/2]=E[(2y+1)/2]=Ey+1/2. add the boundaries of y1 & y+2 and divide by 2 as uniforms do > (a+b)/2. When you have the Ey, that means use the empirical value from the data, so 5 and add the 1/2. This is why it says it's mean is NOT the same as the empirical estimate. The variance for each data point is uniform distribution with bandwidth of 3. So the way we calculate variance is empirical plus the uniform or (3)^2/12 + 6 where 6 you get from calculating it on the calculator and finding sigma squared. Does that make more sense?
__________________
PM me if you’re in the Austin area Exams: VEE: Predictive Analytics FAP APC Last edited by dkamka; Yesterday at 03:33 PM.. Reason: typo correction 
#255




Quote:
Also, the first fulllength Mahler exam was a little easier than the shorter ones IMO, although it was still a tough exam. 
#256




Quote:
Is this your 2nd sitting? I'm using ASM and a coworker is using TIA, and am curious about the difference between the two. 
#257




Quote:
__________________

Thread Tools  
Display Modes  

