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  #1001  
Old Yesterday, 02:36 PM
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SamTheEagle SamTheEagle is offline
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Originally Posted by jesusislord View Post
the intentional grounding call essentially cost the redskins the game. i think the NFL admitted it was a bad call. i own Lutz and Ingram in fantasy, so no complaints from me.
Yeah, it was a bad call, but shouldn't have even come down to that.
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  #1002  
Old Yesterday, 03:04 PM
DanielSong39 DanielSong39 is online now
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Originally Posted by SamTheEagle View Post
ESPN's win probability tracker said 99.6%.

Watching that game was infuriating.
They need to get it fixed. Win probability was closer to 96.9% than 99.6%.
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  #1003  
Old Yesterday, 03:08 PM
DanielSong39 DanielSong39 is online now
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Originally Posted by Whiskey View Post
Win probability is such horseshit
Win probability listed by ESPN or the advanced stat guys, certainly. They consistently get the odds very wrong.

Betting odds are much more accurate and you will go broke quickly unless you get lucky or really know what you are doing.

I've seen many market makers fail and fail hard using computer models for in-running sporting events. There is a reason why they insist on huge bid-ask spreads and tick sizes.
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