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  #871  
Old 04-02-2020, 06:26 AM
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Originally Posted by SkolChicago View Post
I started going through the source. Pretty straight forward, until the section on standardized/scaled residuals and the hat matrix. This just feels too brief, yet definitely testable.
I seriously doubt they'll ask something complicated over the hat matrix. I think understanding that it's used for standardizing the residuals and the adjustment factor = sqrt(1/(1-h_ii)) formula could come up though.
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Old 04-02-2020, 06:27 AM
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so what, they're just going to skip a sitting for these and do exam 8 again in October?
If they do this, I'm gonna be so upset. If they offer 7/9 in the fall sitting as well that'd be a lot more fair imo.

If they just cancel this sitting and only offer 8 this fall, I'm seriously going to double up next spring.
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  #873  
Old 04-02-2020, 11:11 AM
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Word on the street from a source on the Candidate Liaison Committee is cancellation is likely given the inconsistency in guidelines across states (ex. Stay At Home Order for June 10th recently implemented for VA).

I still plan on maintaining some measure of studying just in case mid-June actually happens in some location though.
Thanks for the insider info. Wow I really wish they don't cancel, but if they do, please please please announce it sooner than later. I'd hate to study for 200 hours in this beautiful spring time then to get to know it will be canceled. The registration fee is nothing compared to the opportunity cost of time I put into it.
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  #874  
Old 04-02-2020, 11:35 AM
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I'm actually optimistic at this point. ... I'm buying some SPY's.
I retract some of the optimism No doubt we'll get through this epidemic, but I didn't expect the knock-on effects to be so strong (given the job data today, and goings-on at my own company). I'm now neutral on economy outlook
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  #875  
Old 04-02-2020, 12:49 PM
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I seriously doubt they'll ask something complicated over the hat matrix. I think understanding that it's used for standardizing the residuals and the adjustment factor = sqrt(1/(1-h_ii)) formula could come up though.
I agree. Lots of the tricky and complicated presentation of data like Hat matrices and partial derivative information matrices are to restate how they give you the data.

They could just say that the parameter variance is 0.50 for a Clark problem. But if they present the information as an information matrix for the cape code they can conceal the 0.50 with noise and test if you know how to read the matrix. You might think it is a gotcha trick, but if you ever end up working with R/Python you'll start seeing matrix presentations of statistics more often.
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  #876  
Old 04-02-2020, 03:40 PM
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I agree. Lots of the tricky and complicated presentation of data like Hat matrices and partial derivative information matrices are to restate how they give you the data.

They could just say that the parameter variance is 0.50 for a Clark problem. But if they present the information as an information matrix for the cape code they can conceal the 0.50 with noise and test if you know how to read the matrix. You might think it is a gotcha trick, but if you ever end up working with R/Python you'll start seeing matrix presentations of statistics more often.
The SOA announced new exam dates but not the CAS
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  #877  
Old 04-02-2020, 04:54 PM
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The SOA announced new exam dates but not the CAS
Hmm, hopefully the CAS will announce something soon too. If it's in mid-July I wouldn't complain too much. Studying an hour a day for 3 months should make me super prepared by then.
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  #878  
Old 04-02-2020, 05:21 PM
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Hmm, hopefully the CAS will announce something soon too. If it's in mid-July I wouldn't complain too much. Studying an hour a day for 3 months should make me super prepared by then.
I'd be very happy with July after worrying about it not going ahead at all
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  #879  
Old 04-03-2020, 09:11 AM
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The SOA announced new exam dates but not the CAS
I saw they plan to release exam results September 18th with a Fall registration deadline of September 28th for Fall exams at their normal scheduled time frame. I realize it wouldn't impact us with the upper level exams but that seems quite unfair for students taking lower levels to not know which exam they will be sitting for until about 5-6 weeks out...
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  #880  
Old 04-03-2020, 09:22 AM
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If they do this, I'm gonna be so upset. If they offer 7/9 in the fall sitting as well that'd be a lot more fair imo.

If they just cancel this sitting and only offer 8 this fall, I'm seriously going to double up next spring.
I have heard that they would offer all in the fall.
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