Actuarial Outpost
 
Go Back   Actuarial Outpost > Cyberchat > Diversions
FlashChat Actuarial Discussion Preliminary Exams CAS/SOA Exams Cyberchat Around the World Suggestions

Browse Open Actuarial Jobs

Life  Health  Casualty  Pension  Entry Level  All Jobs  Salaries


Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1831  
Old 02-20-2018, 11:36 PM
ElDucky's Avatar
ElDucky ElDucky is offline
Free Mason
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: In a van, down by the river
Studying for Let me worry about blank
Favorite beer: Trappistes Rochefort 8
Posts: 42,111
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by soyleche View Post
Do you have reasons?
One of two non TM voters. AS vote pretty suspect in my view.
__________________
I live near the cows.
Reply With Quote
  #1832  
Old 02-20-2018, 11:43 PM
ImPrettyDumb's Avatar
ImPrettyDumb ImPrettyDumb is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 2,156
Default

I started the TM train and was probably maybe going to hammer
Reply With Quote
  #1833  
Old 02-21-2018, 12:55 AM
ElDucky's Avatar
ElDucky ElDucky is offline
Free Mason
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: In a van, down by the river
Studying for Let me worry about blank
Favorite beer: Trappistes Rochefort 8
Posts: 42,111
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ImPrettyDumb View Post
Yeah, I'll hammer TM in a little bit. Give him some time though for now. Also some time for players to jump on the BF wagon if they choose.
Quote:
Originally Posted by BruteForce View Post
Thank you!

So IHE, SL, IPD or TT (via Proxy) could throw the hammer on TM. I suppose TM could do that as well if he were tired of playing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by IHateExams View Post
I can do it. Any last requests?
IHE and IPAD only two non TM voters. Both claimed they were ready to hammer. IHE looked more convincing though, not trying to startna BF train
__________________
I live near the cows.
Reply With Quote
  #1834  
Old 02-21-2018, 01:05 AM
BruteForce's Avatar
BruteForce BruteForce is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Studying for More Money
Favorite beer: Wurzel Bier
Posts: 11,206
Default

unvote ED

Yeah, ED as EC diesnt really make sense I guess. Have to rethink some things.
__________________
ASA

Quote:
Originally Posted by Actuary321 View Post
I would really hate to bring Pokémon to a gun fight.
Reply With Quote
  #1835  
Old 02-21-2018, 09:35 AM
IHateExams's Avatar
IHateExams IHateExams is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 13,611
Default

Prior to rereading both EC lynches, or looking at the overall list and vote counts, I kinda lean on AS or ED. The fact I am still alive with little suspicion has me worried one of my strong IS reads may in fact be EC, so cue up the
__________________
This is my old signature. Click below for my new signature.
Spoiler:
This is my new signature.
Reply With Quote
  #1836  
Old 02-21-2018, 10:08 AM
Bingboing's Avatar
Bingboing Bingboing is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 7,781
Default

If we assume there is only 1 EC left, I think we should talk about a rock strategy for today. If we throw random and they shoot for the 5 rock winner, they are more likely to win it I think.

The other problem with having rock strategies on other days was there were at least 2 EC left, so if we do the assigning poorly (assign 2 EC to the same number), we could've hurt ourselves more.

Thoughts?
Reply With Quote
  #1837  
Old 02-21-2018, 10:14 AM
ImPrettyDumb's Avatar
ImPrettyDumb ImPrettyDumb is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 2,156
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingboing View Post
If we assume there is only 1 EC left, I think we should talk about a rock strategy for today. If we throw random and they shoot for the 5 rock winner, they are more likely to win it I think.

The other problem with having rock strategies on other days was there were at least 2 EC left, so if we do the assigning poorly (assign 2 EC to the same number), we could've hurt ourselves more.

Thoughts?
Agree, let's spread it out with assigned numbers. We can use one of DW's lists.
Reply With Quote
  #1838  
Old 02-21-2018, 10:22 AM
Bingboing's Avatar
Bingboing Bingboing is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 7,781
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ImPrettyDumb View Post
Agree, let's spread it out with assigned numbers. We can use one of DW's lists.
I'm not sure I want to go completely random either. If we assign an EC to one of the end points, they have a much greater chance of going for the 5 rock winner than if they were in the middle.

For example if we assign rocks 3 and 7 to two people, and the EC is on the end, they can throw all 5 rocks at 6, and have 6 number that will get them the 5 rock winner, but if they are in the middle, they can't do that.

They are also chancing that they are outed if it's way on the other end of the spectrum.
Reply With Quote
  #1839  
Old 02-21-2018, 10:40 AM
A Student A Student is offline
Member
Non-Actuary
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 3,751
Default

Ok, I'm not going to overthink this... If there is only one EC left, the action on TM is hugely telling. I think an EC would try very hard to not lynch their last teammate, without looking like they are trying to not lynch him.

So, on that basis, my list is IHE and IPD. Going back in the votes on the previous lynches, those two seem rather EC friendly. If there are two EC remaining, I would not be surprised if they are both EC.

vote IHE
Reply With Quote
  #1840  
Old 02-21-2018, 10:47 AM
ImPrettyDumb's Avatar
ImPrettyDumb ImPrettyDumb is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 2,156
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingboing View Post
I'm not sure I want to go completely random either. If we assign an EC to one of the end points, they have a much greater chance of going for the 5 rock winner than if they were in the middle.

For example if we assign rocks 3 and 7 to two people, and the EC is on the end, they can throw all 5 rocks at 6, and have 6 number that will get them the 5 rock winner, but if they are in the middle, they can't do that.

They are also chancing that they are outed if it's way on the other end of the spectrum.
Agree with this too. Have everybody make a ranking of most to least likely EC? Put the most likely EC people in the middle and spread out from there?
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:53 PM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
*PLEASE NOTE: Posts are not checked for accuracy, and do not
represent the views of the Actuarial Outpost or its sponsors.
Page generated in 0.32095 seconds with 12 queries