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Bridge Sub-Forums: Frequency and Severity

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  #1  
Old 11-18-2018, 09:40 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Default 2019 MSC

January problems. Deadline Dec 10 at 9am EST. Let's get the new year off to a strong start.

Note that because we were the winners for 2017, we are panelists for 3 months of 2019 and have already made our panelists votes on those. We can reconsider how we want to vote for the 2019 competition.
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Old 11-21-2018, 08:21 AM
oirg oirg is offline
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January guesses:

A. 2D
B. 3N
C. pass
D. 3S
E. 2H
F. double (1N second choice)
G. double - find out more about partner's hand. Plan on bidding 4S over 4D or 4H, and 5H over 4C.
H. diamond 10
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  #3  
Old 11-21-2018, 10:25 AM
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Klaymen Klaymen is offline
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A. 2D
B. 3D
C. P
D. 3S
E. 3C
F. X
G. 4H
H. SA (DT 2nd choice)
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Old 12-03-2018, 02:12 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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A. 2S. More preemptive. Probably a mistake though; may tempt partner to a LOTT 3S bid in competition, and I would like a diamond lead.
B. 2D. Show the second suit, then rebid hearts probably (hoping we get the chance)
C. 4S. Expecting partner to read it as a slam try with this shape.
D. 3S. I see we all agree on this so far. It may be an underbid with so may values in partner's suits, plus an ace.
E. 3C. Seems obvious
F. 1NT. For me, choice is close between 1S and 1NT. Personally I would not consider a double with only 2 hearts and a reasonable alternative. Here, two reasonable alternatives.
G. 4NT. Much too good for just 4H. At least this way we won't bid a slam off two many key cards, but we could end up in the wrong slam.
H. HK. Definitely not the spade A for me. I could easily go along with the club 10 or the diamond 10.
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Old 12-03-2018, 02:19 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
                   A     B     C     D     E     F     G     H
oirg              2D    3N     P    3S    2H   Dbl   Dbl   D10
SW                2S    2D    4S    3S    3C   1NT   4NT    HK
Klaymen           2D    3D     P    3S    3C   Dbl    4H    SA
ST                                                            
BTDT                                                          
NN                                                            
Veni Vidi Vici                                                
kmbrunskill                                                   
mathmajor                                                     
4 Sigma                                                       
bill18                                                        
Leading                             3S
We do have a leader on 1 of 8 so far, and oirg and Klaymen may have us on the right track on A. They also agree on C and F, but it will surprise me if their choice wins on either of those two.

Last edited by Steve White; 12-04-2018 at 08:59 AM.. Reason: correct oirg's bid on E (to what he wanted, and maybe to a higher scoring choice)
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Old 12-03-2018, 03:02 PM
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Klaymen Klaymen is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve White View Post
We do have a leader on 2 of 8 so far, and oirg and Klaymen may have us on the right track on A. They also agree on C and F, but it will surprise me if their choice wins on either of those two.
My track record this year suggests that when I don't agree with you, my vote is there to show you what will score poorly.

On A, a 2-card raise is rare but I have done it. I would like to have a better honor like Kx to make attacking or finessing trump more immediate. As you pointed out, you may find yourself in 3 soon which is why I would try to defer a bid of 2S. If after 2D the opponents get to 2H, now I would try 2S.

On C, I stared long and hard at the lovely controls but could not convince myself we would easily be able to set up length tricks with the anemic heart spots, so I gave up. If partner had five spades I would expect a 4th suit forcing bid so suggesting a 4-3 spade fit seems too anti-field for my tastes but if partner is 4-2-4-3 then ruffing diamonds could be just what the doctor ordered.

On F, 17hcp and a decent 5-card suit is my standard for doubling and rebidding, and I just barely have that. 1NT would be my second choice, as I could overcall 1S and partner might never think his 8-9 count is enough for game. With the added benefit that in competition I might get to bid 2S later.
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Last edited by Klaymen; 12-03-2018 at 03:13 PM..
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  #7  
Old 12-04-2018, 07:18 AM
oirg oirg is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve White View Post
Code:
                   A     B     C     D     E     F     G     H
oirg              2D    3N     P    3S    3C   Dbl   Dbl   D10
SW                2S    2D    4S    3S    3C   1NT   4NT    HK
Klaymen           2D    3D     P    3S    3C   Dbl    4H    SA
ST                                                            
BTDT                                                          
NN                                                            
Veni Vidi Vici                                                
kmbrunskill                                                   
mathmajor                                                     
4 Sigma                                                       
bill18                                                        
Leading                             3S    3C
We do have a leader on 2 of 8 so far, and oirg and Klaymen may have us on the right track on A. They also agree on C and F, but it will surprise me if their choice wins on either of those two.
Steve, my bid on E was 2H.
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Old 12-04-2018, 09:00 AM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oirg View Post
Steve, my bid on E was 2H.
fixed in the summary above
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  #9  
Old 12-04-2018, 12:34 PM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
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A) a balanced 9 count with 3 jacks, albeit 5 card suit, seems too little for 2D.
So I'm leaning to the negative double with 2S second choice.

On D) I realize the "obvious" bid is the invit. 3S, but I'd prefer a better suit and less minor fillers when 6m, 5m still in play, so an avant garde 3D will likely be my waterloo.

F) I have serious psychological problems with doubles that are short in majors, so its between a mundane 1S overcall and the obvious 1NT option. If double is right, I payoff but no regrets.

C) a very tough problem---partner should not have 4S+longer minor, so it seems we should show something opposite a 12-13 minimum. 4S give the picture??, 4NT??, an esoteric 4D, way to sophisticated for me. Part Pass may be best, but I fear Moysians less than most. ner can still have 5S and/or the Moysian plays well and/or something else is safe.
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Old 12-04-2018, 01:40 PM
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Jan answers
Spoiler:

A) 2D - not because it's the best contract, but it limits opener's rebids (2H if applicable, X) and is a good lead indicator
B) 3D - I like this because it's a suit but a weak one. If we're on the way to 3NT, D may be our weakness collectively and the lead avoided due to the bid. Want to see if partner corrects to 3H (in which case, 4H)
C) P - you want to miss out on a vul game staring at a 4-3 spade fit?
D) 3S
E) 3C
F) 1NT - descriptive, sides the contract well, allows for gadgets. X is too ambiguous, X then bidding spades does not inform about the club stop
G) 4H - thought about X but too confusing, X then bidding hearts (like the previous problem). Find the game that makes. Looking like 4H. Missing a NV slam isn't the worst thing, if it happens.
H) DT. Partner has nothing, and you have a possible trick in every other suit. Make a passive lead... you don't want a void eating your SA and promoting west's SK.
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