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#211




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#213




Mahler, SOA, ASM
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#214




You should get the PEs with the study guide. if you don't make Feb you will definitely be good for June. You'll want to reference the study guide for missed PE questions. I've be learning a lot after only 5 PEs. His study guide exercises are exam caliber too. He renumbers and rewords past exams questions and SOA 300, so it prepares us for the SOA style. I'd do the study guide sequentially
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PM me if you’re in the Austin area Introductory I: Introductory II: Actuarial: Advanced: (eLearning)FAP, (Project)Predictive Analytics Seminar: APC Last edited by dkamka; 01122018 at 06:04 AM.. 
#215




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Most of the time, I'm just really paranoid of small things...forgetting to apply Continuity Correction...misreading Insured vs. Insurer... mixing up unbiased vs. biased variance so I'm usually not 100% confident on any answer. I keep thinking there are tricks. xD 14/20 on Mahler#2! (Now, I'm expecting something really crazy on Mahler#3) 
#216




Hello everyone! I'm having trouble understanding the solution to SOA problem #300. I understand the alternative solution which recognizes that the probability distribution is uniform from 1 to 10. But I am having trouble understanding the first solution. I don't get how the kernel mean is equal to 0.5 and how the kernel population variance is equal to 0.75. Any help please? Thank you so much.
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#217




Quote:
Mean=0.5 because bandwidth is 1.5/3 Variance=0.75 because b^2/3 is the variance for uniform kernel. We usually add the uniform variance to empirical variance to get overall Kernel Density Variance, same idea with KDE mean. I'm not 100% but I think this is what's going on
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PM me if you’re in the Austin area Introductory I: Introductory II: Actuarial: Advanced: (eLearning)FAP, (Project)Predictive Analytics Seminar: APC Last edited by dkamka; 01132018 at 01:48 AM.. 
#218




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I am feeling the same on exactly a few of those points as well. I don't know if Mahler is more difficult than we'll see, but you've take C once. How do you feel Mahler compares to SOA? Congrats on the pass. At least you got one down. I'm consistently scoring like 1113 and had several where I made a 23 dumb mistakes and should've passed. Can you say what your Oct score was and how that exam compares to these Mahler?
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PM me if you’re in the Austin area Introductory I: Introductory II: Actuarial: Advanced: (eLearning)FAP, (Project)Predictive Analytics Seminar: APC Last edited by dkamka; 01142018 at 02:29 AM.. 
#219




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I love Mahler, because the "twisty" stuff they throw at you, like how to do nCr with decimals (when r isn't an integer in negative binomials), how to calculate the F(x) of gammas with integer alphas (I think they're called Erlang distributions?), or what "Based on the assumption of a constant hazard rate" implies, or how to simplify stuff when just given symbols (example  Exam #1, Q7) was EXACTLY what tripped me up in my October sitting. I got a 4 in Oct. 2017. The exam was a love child between ADAPT 6 and Mahler. 
#220




Exam #1, Q7 > there's one more I came across very similar, but more difficult. I never saw a formula like this, but you'll be glad to learn it on Exam #7, Q4. The wording of the constant hazard rate question wasn't something I knew before. That's why I keep saying I feel Mahler is crucial in diversifying exam C knowledge beyond ASM/TIA. It goes the extra mile. Do you have the study guide too? I've found it invaluable also because after exam questions he notes which practice question was similar/almost identical and section/chapter.
Although I'm scoring 1213 on average, I keep making a mistake or two or even three and feel I learn so much from each exam, that if I were to retake them I could prove I've learned a lot. We'll see how ADAPT experience goes after I finish all of Mahler. I expect he has risen the bar for my knowledge and I should obtain level 6 or even 7? Justly too, IMO and not from guessing. I think this Mahler experience is really paving the way for my success by June at worst. If I obtain EL 67 and can pass them consistently I'll sit for Feb. If I can't get to at least EL 6 I will wait it out until June. Whoa what if I can get to EL 10 after Mahler?? LOL
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PM me if you’re in the Austin area Introductory I: Introductory II: Actuarial: Advanced: (eLearning)FAP, (Project)Predictive Analytics Seminar: APC Last edited by dkamka; 01152018 at 03:50 AM.. 
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