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Bridge Sub-Forums: Frequency and Severity

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  #11  
Old 12-02-2017, 12:14 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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BTW I will be traveling on the 10th when our choices are due. I expect I'll be able to submit the choices from my tablet or that I could find a real computer at my hotel if necessary.
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  #12  
Old 12-03-2017, 09:21 PM
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Steve: I might choose a second option in MSQ to "play it safe" if my first personal choice would likely be very fringe or unpopular, but I don' t think I'd ever choose an action for MSQ that I would NEVER do at the table.
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  #13  
Old 12-03-2017, 09:40 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve White View Post
I'm assuming I will, since I want to be submitting the consensus answers the months I'm an official panelist. If you or someone else prefers to submit the consensus answers in other months (in all months including those), that's fine with me. I can submit my own answers in the other months. The January problems look awful, so I'm not confident about what that either my answers or the consensus answers will score well.
I'd be happy to submit for the group if you want or not. Let me know.

We should make sure that one specific name submits the group answers for the whole year.
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  #14  
Old 12-04-2017, 11:32 AM
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good to see we're off to a unanimous decision this month
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  #15  
Old 12-04-2017, 07:51 PM
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January Guesses:
Spoiler:

A) Pass, without much confidence. I don't really expect a great MP score from this, but I don't think partner's expected values are enough to make 3NT or 5 a favorite, and the lack of a Dbl by partner suggests no spade fit. I could perhaps be lobbied to support something else here.

B) 1. We may well belong in 4 in a 4-3 fit, since partner's hand will be taking the taps. Expect to bid 3 next round.

C) Another toughie, but I'll go with 3 this time. We are a favorite to make 3NT for example opposite xxxx xxx xxx Qxx.

D) Obligatory plug for the Roman 2 opening, without which you have this impossible problem. Having said that, I'll bid a mere 2 today. Very close to a 2 reverse, as we could easily still belong in 4 in a 4-3 fit. But we'd need to also have a fit for 4 to be playable. If 2 gets me 3, I can still try 3 next round.

E) I'll be the black sheep here and bid 4NT, for the minors. This is IMPS, so we can play 5 even if 3NT is making (as long as 5 is also....) And who knows? Partner doesn't need all that much for us to make a slam.

F) Pass. If you open this, I hope the auction proceeds 2 - Dbl - P back to you. Good luck.

G) Very close between 3 and 3. I think this is just enough to justify the 3 game try.

H) 9. Would lead the 7 at IMPS, but at MP I think that's more likely to blow a trick than to beat the contract.
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  #16  
Old 12-04-2017, 10:33 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
                 A     B     C     D     E     F     G     H
oirg             P    1S    2S     P   Dbl     P    3S    SQ
SW             3NT    1S    3C    2D   3NT    1C    3C    H7
Klaymen         3H    2C    3D    2D    5D     P    3C    D9
ST                                                          
BTDT                                                        
NN                                                          
kmbrunskill      P    2C   3NT     P   3NT     P     P    D9
mathmajor                                                   
4 Sigma          P    1S    3C    2D   4NT     P    3C    D9
bill18                                                      
Leading          P    1S          2D           P    3C    D9
We now have leaders on 6 of 8. Somehow the strong leader on F, with 4 votes out of 5, is P. I cannot claim much credit for concluding the 1C was preferable to 1D on that.

Get those votes in, including the right votes on F, which I am slowly realizing may be pass.
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  #17  
Old 12-04-2017, 11:15 PM
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To be fair, I don't totally hate 1 on F. LHO may well become declarer on the hand, and a club lead from partner rates to be good. I'd rather not be 4333 though, so that the hand has better prospects on offense.
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  #18  
Old 12-05-2017, 01:59 PM
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I found these tougher than usual.
Spoiler:

A) 3NT. Especially at matchpoints, this is much better than 4C.
B) 2C. With 11 points and support I must show a good hand.
C) 3D. What else? A cuebid just tortures partner, and we don't have a guaranteed major-suit fit.
D) Pass. I considered reversing, but into which major? And what do I bid after partner bids 3C? 2NT is a possibility, but what if partner bids 3C?
E) 4D. I strongly considered 3NT. But practically, that requires partner to have KQx of diamonds. If partner bids 4H over 4D, I'll know he has five of them.
F) Pass. Two flaws. At matchpoints I'd consider opening 1C. But I only like opening light if I want partner to lead my suit.
G) 3C. Picture partner with Axx of spades and Kxx of clubs, and you have a very good game. This is IMPs, albeit NV.
H) D9. Passive defense at matchpoints. H7 second choice.
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  #19  
Old 12-05-2017, 06:06 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
                 A     B     C     D     E     F     G     H
oirg             P    1S    2S     P   Dbl     P    3S    SQ
SW             3NT    1S    3C    2D   3NT    1C    3C    H7
Klaymen         3H    2C    3D    2D    5D     P    3C    D9
ST                                                          
BTDT                                                        
NN             3NT    2C    3D     P    4D     P    3C    D9
kmbrunskill      P    2C   3NT     P   3NT     P     P    D9
mathmajor                                                   
4 Sigma          P    1S    3C    2D   4NT     P    3C    D9
bill18                                                      
Leading          P                             P    3C    D9
NN drops the count of leading choices by two, by creating ties on two of them. He also puts the stake in the heart of 1C as the unique winner on F, but theoretically it can still end up tied for the lead.
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  #20  
Old 12-05-2017, 08:07 PM
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Problem F is the first one that NN and I agreed upon the answer.
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