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Bridge Sub-Forums: Frequency and Severity

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  #31  
Old 12-07-2017, 10:34 PM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
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Spoiler:
January 2018
A) 3NT
B) 1S
C) 3D
D) 2D
E) 4D.
F) 1D
G) 3C
H) H7 (admiration for spade ace)
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  #32  
Old 12-07-2017, 11:02 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
                 A     B     C     D     E     F     G     H
oirg             P    1S    2S     P   Dbl     P    3S    SQ
SW             3NT    1S    3C    2D   3NT    1C    3C    H7
Klaymen         3H    2C    3D     P    4D     P    3C    D9
ST             3NT    1S    3D    2D    4D    1D    3C    H7
BTDT             P   1NT    3C    2S   Dbl     P    3S    D9
NN             3NT    2C    3D     P    4D     P    3C    D9
kmbrunskill      P    2C    3D     P    4D     P    3C    D9
mathmajor      3NT    1S    3D     P    4D     P    4S    D9
4 Sigma          P    1S    3C    2D   4NT     P    3C    D9
bill18                                                      
Leading        3NT    1S    3D     P    4D     P    3C    D9
Iīm showing 3NT as leading for A, to indicate my current thinking on how I would break the tie. Only bill18 hasnīt voted. If he breaks the tie, I wonīt override, but if it remains ties, then (in the absence of further discussion, which I would consider) then 3NT if would be.

Opposition to pass on F is really picking up, doubling in the past 24 hours. Since the opposition hasnīt solidified on a specific alternative, and the still limited number of votes not in favor of P, Iīm still showing P as leading.
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  #33  
Old 12-08-2017, 12:26 PM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
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On B I'm surprised there were no votes for 2D with this aceless 4333 collection. It would be my choice if partner was sensitive to a 1S bid with only 4.

The lead is too tough. Yes declarer is likely to be short in diamonds, and leading into his heart suit is ugly, but we only need Qx hearts in partners hand with 10x in dummy for this to work. I really like the lead of spade ace, that Zia or the young hotshots like Cedric Lorenzini or augustin Madala might try, but I wouldn't try this at the table.. And I nthing spade queen is also a reasonable gamble which would work spectacularly well with dummy holding K10xx and declarer stiff.
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  #34  
Old 12-08-2017, 12:35 PM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
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Problem F- tongue in cheek repartee. Mrs. Irma T. Grubney had the leading materpoint improvement in the ACBL last month. Doubling her mp from 0.87 to 1.74.

I personally make it a policy to almost always open in 3rd chair with 11hcp, especially with 2.5QT's. The precisioners and other light openers have already opened 1D in 1st chair, and we likely have = or majority, partner passing most balanced 11s and a drop of the cruddy balanced 12s. Partner might have some shape which a less disciplined bidder might have acted on alredy and I do have 4 suit support! Surely 1C could win on lead directional concerns, but I'd prefer the natural bid. My guess is that 1C will win, and if Pass wins I will have to live with it.
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  #35  
Old 12-08-2017, 01:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweet Tooth View Post
On B I'm surprised there were no votes for 2D with this aceless 4333 collection. It would be my choice if partner was sensitive to a 1S bid with only 4.

The lead is too tough. Yes declarer is likely to be short in diamonds, and leading into his heart suit is ugly, but we only need Qx hearts in partners hand with 10x in dummy for this to work. I really like the lead of spade ace, that Zia or the young hotshots like Cedric Lorenzini or augustin Madala might try, but I wouldn't try this at the table.. And I nthing spade queen is also a reasonable gamble which would work spectacularly well with dummy holding K10xx and declarer stiff.
On B, I viewed my cuebid as essentially a 2D raise, but with 11 hcp instead of 6-10. Most of the time partner will bid 2D and we're there. I will also reach our spade fit, if partner has an opening hand and four spades along with his diamonds.

On H, I love your spade layout. The spade queen will get some votes, I expect, as some give the exact same suit combination. Leading diamonds, as I did, is a bit of a give-up play; after all, dummy will have a good five-card suit, and if declarer has a doubleton you're helping him with the timing. It's just that every other lead is a guess, so only diamonds won't give up a trick immediately.
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  #36  
Old 12-08-2017, 05:12 PM
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I'm OK with 3NT on (A). I don't feel strongly about my Pass. Also Pass frequently only gets the top score if a majority (rather than a plurality) of panelists pass, so that's perhaps an argument for not making Pass our consensus for the purpose of scoring.

I feel like 3 is inadequate on (C), where we want partner to bid 3NT whenever he has a whiff of anything at all in clubs. Will he envision us making 9 tricks opposite his xxxx xxx xxx Qxx if we bid 3? I think he will pass with that and we will miss our game.

On (D), I'm not really comfortable with us passing 1NT with 4441 distribution. I feel like these hands need to find their way to a trump suit.

Edit to add: the A or Q could well be a winner on H. I worry though that even if we successfully set up partner's spades, we won't be able to get to them. But it may be nearly as safe a lead as the diamond, with the upside that it may beat the contract more often.
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Last edited by 4sigma; 12-08-2017 at 05:43 PM..
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  #37  
Old 12-09-2017, 07:58 AM
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Looks like I'm the odd man out on C and H.
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  #38  
Old 12-09-2017, 11:30 AM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Leading row submitted
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  #39  
Old 12-11-2017, 04:56 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
            A        B        C        D        E        F        G        H        Total
oirg        P    80  1S   50  2S   40  P    70  Dbl  100 P    100 3S   40  SQ   60  540  
SW          3NT  100 1S   50  3C   90  2D   60  3NT  70  1C   60  3C   100 H7   50  580  
Klaymen     3H   40  2C   100 3D   100 P    70  4D   60  P    100 3C   100 D9   60  630  
ST          3NT  100 1S   50  3D   100 2D   60  4D   60  1D   40  3C   100 H7   50  560  
BTDT        P    80  1NT  60  3C   90  2S   90  Dbl  100 P    100 3S   40  D9   60  620  
NN          3NT  100 2C   100 3D   100 P    70  4D   60  P    100 3C   100 D9   60  690  
kmbrunskill P    80  2C   100 3D   100 P    70  4D   60  P    100 3C   100 D9   60  670  
mathmajor   3NT  100 1S   50  3D   100 P    70  4D   60  P    100 4S   70  D9   60  610  
4 Sigma     P    80  1S   50  3C   90  2D   60  4NT  10  P    100 3C   100 D9   60  550  
bill18                                                                                   
Submitted   3NT  100 1S   50  3D   100 P    70  4D   60  P    100 3C   100 D9   60  640  


                                                                               
            3NT  100 2C   100 3D   100 2H   100 Dbl  100 P    100 3C   100 SA   100   
            P    80  1NT  60  3C   90  2S   90  3NT  70  1C   60  4S   70  HK   70       
            3H   40  1S   50  2S   40  P    70  4D   60  1D   40  3S   40  SQ   60       
                                       2D   60  4NT  10                    D9   60       
                                                                           H7   50
Congratulations to Numbers Nerd for our top score of 690. kmbrunskill's 670 would also have made the honor roll, which required 670. I was not expecting much when only 2 of us opened on F, though the particulars of the results did not correlate well with my thinking.

On to the February set.

Last edited by Steve White; 12-14-2017 at 12:21 PM.. Reason: Correct score for H7 on H
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  #40  
Old 12-11-2017, 05:03 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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February Problems. Answers due Jan 10, 11 AM EST.
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File Type: pdf mscproblemset201802.pdf (112.2 KB, 38 views)
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