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Bridge SubForums: Frequency and Severity 

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#41




Code:
A B C D E F G H Total oirg 4C 50 4C 80 1N 100 P 40 Dbl 70 2N 70 3H 40 S10 60 510 SW P 100 4N 90 1N 100 Dbl 100 P 90 2D 100 3H 40 DQ 100 720 Klaymen P 100 4N 90 2H 80 Dbl 100 1N 70 2D 100 3H 40 DQ 100 680 ST 4C 50 4D 100 1N 100 Dbl 100 1D 100 2N 70 3H 40 DQ 100 660 BTDT P 100 5C 80 1N 100 Dbl 100 P 90 2D 100 3H 40 DQ 100 710 NN P 100 5D 10 1N 100 Dbl 100 1N 70 2D 100 3H 40 DQ 100 620 Veni Vidi Vici P 100 4D 100 2H 80 Dbl 100 1D 100 2N 70 3H 40 DQ 100 690 kmbrunskill mathmajor P 100 4N 90 1N 100 Dbl 100 1N 70 2N 70 3H 40 S10 60 630 4 Sigma bill18 Submitted P 100 4N 90 1N 100 Dbl 100 1N 70 2D 100 3H 40 DQ 100 700 P 100 4D 100 1N 100 Dbl 100 1D 100 2D 100 2C 100 DQ 100 4D 80 4N 90 2H 80 P 40 P 90 2N 70 2H 50 S10 60 4C 50 4C 80 1N 70 3H 40 5C 80 Dbl 70 5D 10 We were unanimous on G, and 44% of the solvers agreed with our 3H, but the panel firmly rejected it (18 for 2C; 3 for 2H; 2 each for 1NT and 3H, with 2H and 1NT each getting 50 points. That must mean that the moderator, and presumably the panelists too, had serious concerns about the weakness of the heart suit. We can't be sure until the issue comes out. 
#42




March problems. Deadline Feb 10, 9AM.

#43




Amazing. Must be influenced by the MSC rules (in effort for at least 2 years now) that they now longer have an adjustment if you enter only 11 of the 12 months. Several competitors must have missed at least one.
For the 2018 full year contest, our consensus was in 7th place, with 8260. Not bad, though far below the winner's score of 8650. Actuary names I recognize on the 2018 Honor Roll are Leonard Helfgott, fourth at 8390; Mark Kinzer, 16th with 8080; and Chris Monsour, tied for 29th at 7850. There are likely some other actuaries whose names I didn't recognize. The yearly honor roll was the top 100 and ties, with a 4way tie for 99102. After two months of 2019, where we made the honor roll neither month, our 580+700 = 1280 trails the 2018 winner's 680+740=1420. We're going to have to do much better to have a chance at a winning if he remembers to submit every month. He is probably not leading, but it was easier to look up his results than to look for random names on both Jan and Feb honor roll. I will not be able to track his months where he doesn't make the honor roll. 
#44




Quote:

#45




Yes, maybe I should have said that is main reason that 2C won so handily, and that nothing else got more than 50. That said, among 2H, 1N and 3H, the strongest is 3H so for a hand that should almost certainly (or certainly) reach game, that should favor a 3H bid. The scoring gave 3H 10 points less than the other two.

#47




march 2019 guesses
Spoiler: 
#48




A 4C
B X C Pass D 2D (unless this call shows a strong hand, then 2NT) E 3N expecting a heart lead F 2N G Pass? Let me think on this one H DJ  trying to avoid the free finesse with spades or clubs
__________________
FSA, MAAA, MAM (member, American Mensa) 
#49




As usual, some very tough ones.
A. 4S. Sure, we could have a slam, but I don't think there's any sensible way to bid it. B. Double, with some fear than 3NT will be the winner C. 2S. Can't imagine doing anything else. (Second choice would be 2H, but I think that's an overbid) D. 2N. About right on values. 3D is tempting. Per BWS Quote:
E. 2N. Really tempted to pass, but this is presumably a maximum in terms of HCP. He should expect something like this for 2N. F. 2N. Should not be completely a sign off. Second choice 3D, since this does not look good for a 43 heart fit. G. 2H. Not going to pass without better spade spots. 1N and 2D also possible, but underbids. 2H is the most encouraging, so I'll trot it out. H. Spade jack. Second choice is a trump, but it's a distant second. 
#50




Code:
A B C D E F G H oirg 4C Dbl P 2N 2N 3D 2H C5 SW 4S Dbl 2S 2N 2N 3D 2H SJ Klaymen ST BTDT NN Veni Vidi Vici kmbrunskill mathmajor 4C Dbl P 2D 3N 2N P DJ 4 Sigma bill18 4C Dbl 1S 2N 2N 2N 2H DJ Leading 4C Dbl 2N 2N 2H 
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