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Bridge Sub-Forums: Frequency and Severity

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  #41  
Old 01-10-2019, 01:34 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
               A          B        C        D        E        F        G        H        Total
oirg           4C     50  4C   80  1N   100 P    40  Dbl  70  2N   70  3H   40  S10  60  510  
SW             P      100 4N   90  1N   100 Dbl  100 P    90  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 720  
Klaymen        P      100 4N   90  2H   80  Dbl  100 1N   70  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 680  
ST             4C     50  4D   100 1N   100 Dbl  100 1D   100 2N   70  3H   40  DQ   100 660  
BTDT           P      100 5C   80  1N   100 Dbl  100 P    90  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 710  
NN             P      100 5D   10  1N   100 Dbl  100 1N   70  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 620  
Veni Vidi Vici P      100 4D   100 2H   80  Dbl  100 1D   100 2N   70  3H   40  DQ   100 690  
kmbrunskill                                                                                   
mathmajor      P      100 4N   90  1N   100 Dbl  100 1N   70  2N   70  3H   40  S10  60  630  
4 Sigma                                                                                       
bill18                                                                                        
Submitted      P      100 4N   90  1N   100 Dbl  100 1N   70  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 700  

                                                                              
               P      100 4D   100 1N   100 Dbl  100 1D   100 2D   100 2C   100 DQ   100   
               4D     80  4N   90  2H   80  P    40  P    90  2N   70  2H   50  S10  60       
               4C     50  4C   80                    1N   70           3H   40                
                          5C   80                    Dbl  70                                  
                          5D   10
Congratulations to me, for our high score of 720. BTDT's 710 would also have made the honor roll. Our consensus just missed it.

We were unanimous on G, and 44% of the solvers agreed with our 3H, but the panel firmly rejected it (18 for 2C; 3 for 2H; 2 each for 1NT and 3H, with 2H and 1NT each getting 50 points. That must mean that the moderator, and presumably the panelists too, had serious concerns about the weakness of the heart suit. We can't be sure until the issue comes out.
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  #42  
Old 01-10-2019, 01:35 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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March problems. Deadline Feb 10, 9AM.
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File Type: pdf mscproblemset201903.pdf (113.5 KB, 26 views)
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  #43  
Old 01-10-2019, 02:14 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Amazing. Must be influenced by the MSC rules (in effort for at least 2 years now) that they now longer have an adjustment if you enter only 11 of the 12 months. Several competitors must have missed at least one.

For the 2018 full year contest, our consensus was in 7th place, with 8260. Not bad, though far below the winner's score of 8650.

Actuary names I recognize on the 2018 Honor Roll are Leonard Helfgott, fourth at 8390; Mark Kinzer, 16th with 8080; and Chris Monsour, tied for 29th at 7850. There are likely some other actuaries whose names I didn't recognize. The yearly honor roll was the top 100 and ties, with a 4-way tie for 99-102.

After two months of 2019, where we made the honor roll neither month, our 580+700 = 1280 trails the 2018 winner's 680+740=1420. We're going to have to do much better to have a chance at a winning if he remembers to submit every month. He is probably not leading, but it was easier to look up his results than to look for random names on both Jan and Feb honor roll. I will not be able to track his months where he doesn't make the honor roll.
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  #44  
Old 01-10-2019, 02:21 PM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve White View Post
Code:
               A          B        C        D        E        F        G        H        Total
oirg           4C     50  4C   80  1N   100 P    40  Dbl  70  2N   70  3H   40  S10  60  510  
SW             P      100 4N   90  1N   100 Dbl  100 P    90  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 720  
Klaymen        P      100 4N   90  2H   80  Dbl  100 1N   70  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 680  
ST             4C     50  4D   100 1N   100 Dbl  100 1D   100 2N   70  3H   40  DQ   100 660  
BTDT           P      100 5C   80  1N   100 Dbl  100 P    90  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 710  
NN             P      100 5D   10  1N   100 Dbl  100 1N   70  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 620  
Veni Vidi Vici P      100 4D   100 2H   80  Dbl  100 1D   100 2N   70  3H   40  DQ   100 690  
kmbrunskill                                                                                   
mathmajor      P      100 4N   90  1N   100 Dbl  100 1N   70  2N   70  3H   40  S10  60  630  
4 Sigma                                                                                       
bill18                                                                                        
Submitted      P      100 4N   90  1N   100 Dbl  100 1N   70  2D   100 3H   40  DQ   100 700  

                                                                              
               P      100 4D   100 1N   100 Dbl  100 1D   100 2D   100 2C   100 DQ   100   
               4D     80  4N   90  2H   80  P    40  P    90  2N   70  2H   50  S10  60       
               4C     50  4C   80                    1N   70           3H   40                
                          5C   80                    Dbl  70                                  
                          5D   10
Congratulations to me, for our high score of 720. BTDT's 710 would also have made the honor roll. Our consensus just missed it.

We were unanimous on G, and 44% of the solvers agreed with our 3H, but the panel firmly rejected it (18 for 2C; 3 for 2H; 2 each for 1NT and 3H, with 2H and 1NT each getting 50 points. That must mean that the moderator, and presumably the panelists too, had serious concerns about the weakness of the heart suit. We can't be sure until the issue comes out.
On G an equal or better message might be 3 cover cards are worth an opening bid (therefore 4th suit game forcing). This would have been much easier in BWS1968, 1984 or 2000 where 4th suit was merely a 1 round force, not an absolute GF.
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  #45  
Old 01-10-2019, 02:44 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweet Tooth View Post
On G an equal or better message might be 3 cover cards are worth an opening bid (therefore 4th suit game forcing). This would have been much easier in BWS1968, 1984 or 2000 where 4th suit was merely a 1 round force, not an absolute GF.
Yes, maybe I should have said that is main reason that 2C won so handily, and that nothing else got more than 50. That said, among 2H, 1N and 3H, the strongest is 3H so for a hand that should almost certainly (or certainly) reach game, that should favor a 3H bid. The scoring gave 3H 10 points less than the other two.
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  #46  
Old 01-11-2019, 06:59 PM
oirg oirg is offline
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March guesses:

A. 4C
B. Double
C. Pass
D. 2N
E. 2N
F. 3D
G. 2H
H. Club 5
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  #47  
Old 01-24-2019, 09:56 AM
bill18 bill18 is offline
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Default march 2019 guesses

Spoiler:

A 4C
B X
C 1S
D 2N
E 2N
F 2N
G 2H
H DJ
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  #48  
Old 01-24-2019, 11:13 AM
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A 4C
B X
C Pass
D 2D (unless this call shows a strong hand, then 2NT)
E 3N expecting a heart lead
F 2N
G Pass? Let me think on this one
H DJ - trying to avoid the free finesse with spades or clubs
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  #49  
Old 01-24-2019, 12:25 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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As usual, some very tough ones.
A. 4S. Sure, we could have a slam, but I don't think there's any sensible way to bid it.
B. Double, with some fear than 3NT will be the winner
C. 2S. Can't imagine doing anything else. (Second choice would be 2H, but I think that's an overbid)
D. 2N. About right on values. 3D is tempting. Per BWS
Quote:
(c) After one heart one notrump two clubs ?, three diamonds shows long diamonds in a hand improved by the two-club bid;
With only 2 clubs, my hand isn't improved much, and the diamonds are a quite weak long suit
E. 2N. Really tempted to pass, but this is presumably a maximum in terms of HCP. He should expect something like this for 2N.
F. 2N. Should not be completely a sign off. Second choice 3D, since this does not look good for a 4-3 heart fit.
G. 2H. Not going to pass without better spade spots. 1N and 2D also possible, but underbids. 2H is the most encouraging, so I'll trot it out.
H. Spade jack. Second choice is a trump, but it's a distant second.
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  #50  
Old 01-24-2019, 02:16 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
                   A     B     C     D     E     F     G     H
oirg              4C   Dbl     P    2N    2N    3D    2H    C5
SW                4S   Dbl    2S    2N    2N    3D    2H    SJ
Klaymen                                                       
ST                                                            
BTDT                                                          
NN                                                            
Veni Vidi Vici                                                
kmbrunskill                                                   
mathmajor         4C   Dbl     P    2D    3N    2N     P    DJ
4 Sigma                                                       
bill18            4C   Dbl    1S    2N    2N    2N    2H    DJ
Leading           4C   Dbl          2N    2N          2H
Only 4 voters so far, so lots could change, but we do have an earlier leader on 5 questions.
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