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  #21  
Old 05-09-2017, 12:21 PM
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Mary Pat Campbell
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They haven't sent me anything yet, either
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  #22  
Old 05-09-2017, 01:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by campbell View Post
They haven't sent me anything yet, either
With what probability will CAS have provided a link by 5/25/2017?
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  #23  
Old 05-09-2017, 01:43 PM
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Alas, I have no data to work from.
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Old 05-09-2017, 02:16 PM
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Alas, I have no data to work from.
But your a super forecaster! You can do it!
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Old 05-24-2017, 05:01 PM
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Mary Pat Campbell
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FWIW, the webcast is on UCAS now.


http://cas.mycrowdwisdom.com/diweb/c...4/q/c=104&o=-d

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2017 Webinar Recording - Superforecasting - May 2
$30


The popular book "Superforecasting" describes people who produce unusually accurate forecasts of future event probabilities, the methods they use, and the science of forecasting evaluation. This webinar will continue the discussion of these ideas from the 2016 CAS Annual meeting session on the book.

Credit Information 88:16 minutes
Tag(s) Predictive Modeling, Statistics, Data Management, Recorded Webinar
Description

The popular book "Superforecasting" describes people who produce unusually accurate forecasts of future event probabilities, the methods they use, and the science of forecasting evaluation. This webinar will continue the discussion of these ideas from the 2016 CAS Annual meeting session on the book. This webinar will provide an overview of the ideas from the book, look at actuarial and business applications, and discuss the CAS Superforecasting Working Party.

Speakers:MaryPat Campbell, FSA, MAAA, Vice President, Insurance Research, Conning; Stephan Christiansen, FCAS, MAAA
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