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  #51  
Old 07-14-2014, 02:15 PM
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http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/ar...ks-smokes.html

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Pensioners halve their odds of living another decade if they smoke, drink, eat little fruit and avoid exercise, a major study has found.
Researchers have created a groundbreaking 'health calculator' which 75-year-olds can use to show their chances of living to 85 - and some of it makes for grim reading.
It shows that 75-year-old men with the worst lifestyle habits have just a 35 per cent chance of living another decade, while those odds soar to 67 per cent for healthy people.


Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/ar...#ixzz37T4Z9neM
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big ass graphic in spoiler, which could have been done better.
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  #52  
Old 07-14-2014, 02:34 PM
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The only place where it seems to make a statistical difference if you are a "Low" or "Moderate" drinker is for inactive smoking women. Everyone one else might as well be a moderate drinker! (this mortality report brought to you by the spirits and adult beverage industry!!)

But if you're an inactive, smoking woman who doesn't eat fruit, you should be a "Heavy" drinker! (I wonder if they count the fruit slices in those fruity drinks....)
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Old 07-14-2014, 09:39 PM
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http://nextbigfuture.com/2014/07/max...increased.html

some nice historical graphs



squaring of the mortality curve...

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Old 08-21-2014, 04:14 PM
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http://www.bbc.com/future/story/2014...-of-star-signs

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In the late 90s, for instance, Leonid Gavrilov at the University of Chicago found that people born in the autumn tend to live longer. He has since confirmed the discovery with many different studies, looking at centenarians, his latest paper found that autumn babies are about 40% more likely to live to 100 than people born in March.

Gavrilov’s discoveries initially met with resistance and misunderstanding. “People who are not familiar with the most recent scientific studies on this topic remain sceptical, associating the work with astrology,” he says. “But when we submit our findings to peer-reviewed professional journals, they are now very well received by experts.” Sreeram Ramagopalan, at the University of Oxford, agrees that the field is gaining momentum. He points out that some of the earlier studies had only examined a small number of participants – meaning it was hard to be sure that the results weren’t simply a fluke. “Only very recently, in the last four or five years, have large studies addressed those issues comprehensively,” he says. Some of the recent findings come from tens of thousands of participants. Ramagopalan’s own studies, for instance, looked at the health records of nearly 60,000 patients in England, showing that winter and spring babies are typically more at risk of schizophrenia, depression and bipolar disorder.

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Old 08-21-2014, 04:22 PM
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That's wierd......
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Old 08-22-2014, 08:44 AM
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You can see Gavrilov's web site here: http://longevity-science.org/. I heard him and his wife speak at an actuarial club meeting and they are very good.
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Old 08-22-2014, 09:48 AM
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Yes, I've gotten some of their papers. I like reading their research
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Old 09-12-2014, 02:38 PM
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http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/12/wo...says.html?_r=0

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The life expectancy of East Germans has risen sharply since their state was reunified with the more prosperous West in 1990, a new study shows. Reunification added 6.2 years to the life of men in the former East and 4.2 years to their female counterparts, according to calculations by Tobias Vogt, of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, that were published ahead of the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall this year. If East Germany still existed, boys born in 2011 could expect to live to the age of 70.9, while girls would have a life expectancy of 78.7 years, the study showed. But in a reunified Germany boys born in 2011 were forecast to live to 77.1, and girls to 82.9. Mr. Vogt cited improvements in medical treatment and an improved standard of living as the reason.
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Old 09-12-2014, 03:38 PM
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I just read the article in Contingencies that uses historic data from England and Wales. The use of "modal age at death" from the annual life tables is an interesting approach.
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Old 09-12-2014, 03:46 PM
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I just read the article in Contingencies that uses historic data from England and Wales. The use of "modal age at death" from the annual life tables is an interesting approach.
I think modal age at death is more "meaningful" to "regular" people, because it's hard to see averages over long periods of time, but it is easy to see when most of your friends/family are dying.
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