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Short-Term Actuarial Math Old Exam C Forum

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  #11  
Old 01-15-2019, 02:22 PM
NotSmart NotSmart is offline
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Originally Posted by ShundayBloodyShunday View Post
Why is something that was hard for you automatically hard for everyone else?
If you're failing exams multiple times because you used a non-CA resource, you're probably not that smart and should use CA.

CA explains the material so that everyone, even the most academically weak people, can understand. No other study material does it.

Yes, there are people with 150+ IQs that can understand TIA and ASM, but just because those resources worked for them doesn't mean they'll work on average and below-average people.

The way I see it, lower ability people should only use CA while higher ability people can do fine with any resource.
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  #12  
Old 01-15-2019, 03:07 PM
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ShundayBloodyShunday ShundayBloodyShunday is offline
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I don't think you're winning too many over with that line of reasoning.

YMMV
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  #13  
Old 01-15-2019, 03:18 PM
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Originally Posted by ShundayBloodyShunday View Post
I don't think you're winning too many over with that line of reasoning.

YMMV

there's an obvious trade off of detail for concision with CA. If anything I would think ASM would be better if you're not as comfortable with the material, because it leaves no stone unturned. CA on the other hand tends to explain in the shortest/easiest way possible to get the points across that are needed for the exam, but sometimes leaves out the nitty gritty detail that may be useful for conceptual understanding but not necessarily useful for the exam itself.
Both are good, choice just depends on study style.
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  #14  
Old 01-15-2019, 07:25 PM
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Originally Posted by NotSmart View Post
If you're failing exams multiple times because you used a non-CA resource, you're probably not that smart and should use CA.

CA explains the material so that everyone, even the most academically weak people, can understand. No other study material does it.

Yes, there are people with 150+ IQs that can understand TIA and ASM, but just because those resources worked for them doesn't mean they'll work on average and below-average people.

The way I see it, lower ability people should only use CA while higher ability people can do fine with any resource.
If you failed an Exam multiple times and then use a different manual and pass, there is more at work than just a new manual.

Sample size of N = 1 isn't sufficient to generalize a result to a broader population.

But congrats on passing. And good luck on your next Exam.
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  #15  
Old 01-16-2019, 08:27 PM
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Originally Posted by Vorian Atreides View Post
If you failed an Exam multiple times and then use a different manual and pass, there is more at work than just a new manual.

Sample size of N = 1 isn't sufficient to generalize a result to a broader population.

But congrats on passing. And good luck on your next Exam.
So what else could it be?
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  #16  
Old 01-18-2019, 10:01 AM
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So what else could it be?
Improvement of study habits, better mental state when writing the exam, the fact the you've studied for that same exams multiple times... to name a few
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  #17  
Old 01-18-2019, 10:13 AM
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Unless Im mistaken, someone who has studied for STAM or even P should be able to calculate the probability of n failures then a success, assuming independence, assuming the probability of success on the first n was x% each time, and x%-5% on the last, and get a nonzero result (in terms of x and n).

From that, I hope that should that sequence result, the student would not conclude that the study resource the last time must give a 5% lower probability of passing, on the grounds of what else could it be?
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  #18  
Old 01-18-2019, 10:28 AM
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Originally Posted by Gandalf View Post
Unless Im mistaken, someone who has studied for STAM or even P should be able to calculate the probability of n failures then a success, assuming independence, assuming the probability of success on the first n was x% each time, and x%-5% on the last, and get a nonzero result (in terms of x and n).

From that, I hope that should that sequence result, the student would not conclude that the study resource the last time must give a 5% lower probability of passing, on the grounds of what else could it be?
WRT the bolded: I think it's more of a function of the person remembering the material from the respective exams and applying it w/o "being told to apply it".

I.e., they have (truly) mastered the material. This later can be aided by study guides, but it is up to the individual to do the real work on obtaining the mastery.
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  #19  
Old 01-18-2019, 10:44 AM
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True dat. Independence would be a bad assumption. But in response to "what else could it be?" it is relevant to point out that an observed success on the n+1st trial is not proof that the chances of passing on that trial were any higher than on the earlier trials and could even have been worse. They could even have been worse, if the new study manual was worse. I am in no way suggesting that the new study manual was worse, just that eventual pass is not proof it was better or even as good.
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  #20  
Old 01-18-2019, 10:45 AM
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Originally Posted by gaudettj View Post
Improvement of study habits, better mental state when writing the exam, the fact the you've studied for that same exams multiple times... to name a few
Maybe, but how do you explain the 3 consecutive 0s?
If studying for the same exam multiple times should have helped me, then shouldn't my record be something like 0 --> 3 --> 5 --> 8 instead of 0 --> 0 --> 0 --> 8?
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