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View Poll Results: Highest % return in 2019
Cash 4 8.89%
Bitcoin 6 13.33%
Oil 9 20.00%
S&P 500 19 42.22%
Gold 7 15.56%
Voters: 45. You may not vote on this poll

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  #11  
Old 01-09-2019, 11:37 AM
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Effa Effa is offline
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I'm not sure BTC will necessarily do well in a downturn, will be interesting to see how that unfolds. I'll take gold for similar reasons as MG92 (and also not investing this way IRL).
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  #12  
Old 01-09-2019, 11:46 AM
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I vote oil, but, specific equities more so than just the price of oil. I expect $60 in short order (April), and $80 sometime in the year.
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  #13  
Old 01-09-2019, 02:21 PM
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Originally Posted by yoyo View Post
i don't understand the poll. are you asking which financial vehicle i expect to have the greatest return in 2019, or are you asking what i would put say $10k in if i had to take it out in a year? the answer to the first is "i don't know" and the answer to the second is "cash."
just greatest return.
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  #14  
Old 01-09-2019, 02:22 PM
kimjongfun kimjongfun is offline
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Originally Posted by itGetsBetter View Post
Why so low of a return on the cash? In the U.S. you can get a one year CD for at least 2.7%. Or are you going for liquidity too?
with how volatile the basket of choices are its likely not gonna matter. If it's that close in the end we can debate whether it was a good assumption.

for what its worth i took that from a quick google search of savings account rates
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  #15  
Old 01-11-2019, 09:54 AM
kimjongfun kimjongfun is offline
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Oil being up 12% is likely influencing people to jump on that boat. Hard to think Oil will be below $45 at the end of the year but if the stock market takes a dive an recession starts its certainly possible.

I chose gold for the potential hedge play in that scenario.
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  #16  
Old 04-08-2019, 12:36 AM
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Originally Posted by kimjongfun View Post
Which do you choose?

You are gifted your choice on January 1 2019, and you are forced to sell at the latest market value on 12/31/2018. At the end of next year we will see who made the best choice.

Starting Values (using last values of 2018 rather than opening of 2019):
S&P 500: 2506.85
Cash (will just get an annual return of 2.25%)
Oil: 45.41
Gold: 1281.30
Bitcoin: 3747.07
So far all of the assets are positive. We'll see how long that lasts.

Bitcoin: +40.7%
Oil: +39.6%
S&P: +15.4% (not including dividends)
Gold: +1.5%
Cash: +0.6%
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  #17  
Old 04-08-2019, 12:37 AM
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Originally Posted by ElDucky View Post
I vote oil, but, specific equities more so than just the price of oil. I expect $60 in short order (April), and $80 sometime in the year.
nice call on $60 in April
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  #18  
Old 04-08-2019, 02:16 PM
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LifeIsAPoissonProcess LifeIsAPoissonProcess is offline
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Originally Posted by LifeIsAPoissonProcess View Post
BTC. Figure not much more downside.
I need to start taking my own advice.
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  #19  
Old 05-02-2019, 10:02 AM
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Originally Posted by LifeIsAPoissonProcess View Post
I need to start taking my own advice.
Something fundamentally worth nothing can't be a bargain at any price.
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  #20  
Old 05-02-2019, 10:26 AM
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Originally Posted by Levi View Post
Something fundamentally worth nothing can't be a bargain at any price.
It's fundamentally worth whatever someone is willing to pay you for it (e.g. a glass of water vs. a diamond for someone in the desert).
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