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Bridge Sub-Forums: Frequency and Severity

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  #171  
Old 06-12-2019, 10:30 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Comparing them, I wonīt be surprised if my original answers score better than my new ones, especially on E.
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  #172  
Old 06-12-2019, 10:45 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Three voters. No question has three-way agreement yet.
Code:
                   A     B     C         D     E     F     G     H
oirg              2D    1N     P  1D/1S/3N   Dbl    3S   Dbl   S10
SW                3S    1N   Dbl  1D/1S/2H   Dbl     P    3N    DQ
Klaymen                                                           
ST                                                                
BTDT                                                              
NN                                                                
Veni Vidi Vici                                                    
kmbrunskill                                                       
mathmajor         3S     P    2D  1D/1S/3N     P    4S   Dbl   S10
4 Sigma                                                           
bill18                                                            
Leading
And the original votes from oirg and me
Code:
                   A     B     C         D     E     F     G     H
oirg              3S    1N     P  1D/1S/3N    4C    3S    5N   S10
SW                3S    1N    2D  2C/2D/2N    4C    3S   Dbl    DQ
Submitted         3S     P     P  2C/2D/2N    4C    3S   Dbl    DQ
So if oirg had stayed with 3S on A or I had stayed with Dbl on G, we would have had three-way agreement.
Oirg changed 3 of 8. I changed 5 of 8.
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  #173  
Old 06-16-2019, 09:42 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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BTW, since our opening lead is against a grand, at imps, itís important to beat it, if possible. When we were discussing the problem before, NN and I came up with constructions where a top diamond was necessary to beat it. Even if the group bidding suggests something else, I may stick with the diamond Q unless someone has a reasonable construction where the diamond ace lets it make and a different lead beats it. (4 Sigma suggested perhaps the diamond J lead instead, retaining all technical chances of beating it with the diamond Q and perhaps getting declarer to play for the wrong squeeze in a layout where he could make it if he knew the position; I could buy into that.)
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  #174  
Old 06-28-2019, 10:56 AM
Sweet Tooth Sweet Tooth is offline
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I do not feel sanguine about this set. Steve, while I agree with your diamond lead, I could not construct a hand which worked. Could you please provide a sample hand where DQ is needed?

Spoiler:

A) 3C- living with an anti-field position. Also 2D (though an overbid, perhaps best) and 2S/3S obviously reasonable.
B) 1NT- eclectic, also Pass (perhaps best). 2D or X are wrong
C) Pass- or X, not 2D
D) b)2NT- presumably 2NT in BWS2017 is still 20-fair 22. This is not worth a 2C opener unless rebid is 2NT.
E) 3H- is 4C best??, no Pass for me.
F) Pass- 1S, 3S, other???
G) 4H- this could be tricky
H) DQ- screwing communications.
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  #175  
Old 06-28-2019, 09:09 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sweet Tooth View Post
I do not feel sanguine about this set. Steve, while I agree with your diamond lead, I could not construct a hand which worked. Could you please provide a sample hand where DQ is needed?
These were suggested when we discussed it before.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve White View Post
H. DQ. Who knows? I donít see the opening lead mattering unless we can attack entries, with attacking dummy entries more likely to be valuable. But not dummy heart entries. The danger to us is that declarer will set up the hearts with a ruff, then pull trumps, then run the hearts. Since this is imps, Iíll assume number of undertricks is irrelevant. I may rethink that if weíre choosing between leads we think are equally likely to work.
Iíll suggest West is unlikely to hold a stiff club ace; he might not have splintered. Also, that East is extremely unlikely to have used Blackwood with a void. Also, that East is extremely unlikely to have bid Blackwood without a diamond honor. So maybe their hands are something like
West: S-KJxx H-KJ109xxx. D-A. C-x

East: S-AQxx. H-A. D-Kxxxx. C-AJx

On a non-diamond lead, East makes 7S. On a diamond, he cannot. You might not think W would bid 7H with that. So maybe
West: S-Kxxx H-AKJ109xx. D-K C-x
Is
East: S-AQJx. H-x. D-Axxxx. C-AJx

I think those examples work, but if either would let declarer make by setting up diamonds, change his shape to 4=1=4=4.

If you think East might not have a diamond honor, that increases the situation where a diamond lead is the killer.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Numbers Nerd View Post
H) DQ. I'm playing for the following hand, where a trump lead allows a make:
North has:
AJxx
AKQxx
xxx
x
South has
KQxx
x
AKxx
AJxx

I can set this with a diamond opening lead.

Last edited by Steve White; 06-28-2019 at 09:21 PM..
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  #176  
Old 06-28-2019, 09:25 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Code:
                   A     B     C         D     E     F     G     H
oirg              2D    1N     P  1D/1S/3N   Dbl    3S   Dbl   S10
SW                3S    1N   Dbl  1D/1S/2H   Dbl     P    3N    DQ
Klaymen                                                           
ST                3C    1N     P       2NT    3H     P    4H    DQ
BTDT                                                              
NN                                                                
Veni Vidi Vici                                                    
kmbrunskill                                                       
mathmajor         3S     P    2D  1D/1S/3N     P    4S   Dbl   S10
4 Sigma                                                           
bill18                                                            
Leading                 1N
We now have a leader on one question of eight. It doesn't match what we submitted as panelists.
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  #177  
Old 07-01-2019, 09:31 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Good news / bad news. I wrote TBW saying that I had submitted July answers but hadnít gotten confirmation, but since they had our answers as panelists could they use those for July for the 2019 full year contest. They said yes, which is good. But they also said that I should stick with our panelists answers for Aug and Sept. OK, and better than if we had gotten a 0 for July for my submission botch. Still, that means we are doing August and September here only for personal satisfaction, not for our 2019 score. I may not send out multiple reminders.
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  #178  
Old 07-02-2019, 03:17 PM
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Numbers Nerd Numbers Nerd is offline
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First, I'm back from a lengthy vacation, just in time to submit my wrong answers!
Second, I wish I could remember the password for our prior submissions! I'm sure I made some delightfully insightful comments that would help me in my current thinking.
A) 2D. I'm thinking about four possible bids - 2D, 2S, 3S, and 3C. I think 2D is by far the most flexible of these four choices.
B) Pass. A negative double denying spades (or the commonly used reversal of 1S denying spades) would come in handy here.
C) Pass. What possible good could come out of a 2D overcall opposite a passed hand? And Double simply has too many flaws.
D) a1. (2C-2D-2NT) I'm unbothered by having a singleton SK. Bidding 3D simply endplays partner too often.
E) 4C. Partner doesn't have four hearts. With 7-4 shape, I simply have to bid more here.
F) Pass. Not 1S, which is a distant second choice. And certainly not a preempt.
G) 4H. I'm going to trust the opponents, and almost certainly push to 6C. Note that Double here instead should show two places to play, which I don't really have. If partner has a dead minimum with perfect 4-1-4-4 shape, 6C should be just about laydown.
H) DQ. Going with the sound thinking of my younger self.
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  #179  
Old 07-02-2019, 09:15 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Current picks
Code:
                   A     B     C         D     E     F     G     H
oirg              2D    1N     P  1D/1S/3N   Dbl    3S   Dbl   S10
SW                3S    1N   Dbl  1D/1S/2H   Dbl     P    3N    DQ
Klaymen                                                           
ST                3C    1N     P       2NT    3H     P    4H    DQ
BTDT                                                              
NN                2D     P     P  2C/2D/2N    4C     P    4H    DQ
Veni Vidi Vici                                                    
kmbrunskill                                                       
mathmajor         3S     P    2D  1D/1S/3N     P    4S   Dbl   S10
4 Sigma                                                           
bill18                                                            
Leading                 1N     P                     P          DQ
Original picks
Code:
                   A     B     C         D     E     F     G     H
oirg              3S    1N     P  1D/1S/3N    4C    3S    5N   S10
SW                3S    1N    2D  2C/2D/2N    4C    3S   Dbl    DQ
NN                2D     P     P  1D/1S/3C    3H     P   Dbl    DQ
Submitted         3S     P     P  2C/2D/2N    4C    3S   Dbl    DQ
NN sticks with 5 of 8.
We have current leaders on 4 of 8. 2 of the 4 match our original picks.
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  #180  
Old 07-02-2019, 09:17 PM
Steve White Steve White is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Numbers Nerd View Post
Second, I wish I could remember the password for our prior submissions! I'm sure I made some delightfully insightful comments that would help me in my current thinking.
OurPicks are in the Severity subforum of the Bridge. That’s the password: OurPicks
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