Actuarial Outpost
 
Go Back   Actuarial Outpost > Cyberchat > Sports
FlashChat Actuarial Discussion Preliminary Exams CAS/SOA Exams Cyberchat Around the World Suggestions


Upload your resume securely at https://www.dwsimpson.com
to be contacted when our jobs meet your skills and objectives.


Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-16-2018, 03:18 PM
rekrap's Avatar
rekrap rekrap is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,924
Default 2018 MLB Predictions Contest

March Madness is upon us and the 2018 MLB season opens in less than 2 weeks!

This is just like the 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004 and 2003 contests.

Out of about a dozen entries in 2017, Jahiegel led the pack along with the 538.com picks, with a final score of 16.

Let's see if we can get many more entries this year (most yet is 38, but can we get to 42?). And if people who pay for any stat services, magazines or know the Vegas books, and you want to provide those predictions, then please do.

Simply submit your predictions for the final standings of the 2017 MLB regular season. You will be penalized one point for each place that separates your prediction and the actual outcome. For example, if you pick the Cubs to finish 4th but they finish 2nd, you get 2 unwanted points. The lowest score at the end of the season is the winner.

As a bonus, you will get 2 points taken away from your score for each team you correctly pick to be in the playoffs. It doesn't matter if they get in via division winner or wild card.

Ties in MLB standings: If two or more teams finish with the same record and it does not affect the division champion, their division positions will be their averages. For example, if the Brewers and Pirates both finish 88-74, good for 2nd and 3rd in the NL Central, they would be considered to both have finished in 2.5th place. Whether one qualified for the Wild Card would be irrelevant, they would still both be considered as 2.5th. Thus, someone who picked the Pirates to finish 4th would get 1.5 points. However, if two teams tie for the best record in a division, the 1st place team will be the one that wins the division by MLB tiebreaker rules.

You can also enter in your post-season predictions and other surprises, but they won't have any affect on the competition. It's just all in good fun.

Enter in your projections in the same format as shown below with the two wildcards starred, please:

AL East: Yankees, Red Sox*, Orioles, Blue Jays, Rays
AL Central: Indians, Twins, White Sox, Royals, Tigers
AL West: Astros, Angels*, Mariners, Rangers, A's

NL East: Nationals, Phillies, Braves, Mets, Marlins
NL Central: Cubs, Brewers*, Cardinals, Reds, Pirates
NL West: Dodgers, Diamondbacks*, Rockies, Giants, Padres

ALDS: Astros over Yankees, Indians over Red Sox
ALCS: Indians over Astros
NLDS: Cubs over Diamondbacks, Nationals over Dodgers
NLCS: Nationals over Cubs
World Series: Indians over Nationals

AL MVP (1-2-3): Mike Trout, Giancarlo Stanton, Carlos Correa
AL Cy Young (1-2-3): Chris Sale, Chris Archer, Carlos Carrasco
AL Surprise: Albert Pujols retires

NL MVP (1-2-3): Bryce Harper, Nolan Arenado, Paul Goldschmidt
NL Cy Young (1-2-3): Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw, Jake Arrieta
NL Surprise: Matt Kemp makes the All-Star Team


The deadline is Thursday, March 29 (Opening Day!)
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-16-2018, 04:23 PM
Fear The Actuary's Avatar
Fear The Actuary Fear The Actuary is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Location: Cleveland, OH
College: Cedarville University 2013
Posts: 64
Default

AL East: Red Sox, Yankees*, Blue Jays, Orioles, Rays
AL Central: Indians, Twins*, Royals, White Sox, Tigers
AL West: Astros, Angels, Mariners, Rangers, A's

NL East: Nationals, Phillies, Mets, Braves, Marlins
NL Central: Cubs, Brewers*, Cardinals, Reds, Pirates
NL West: Dodgers, Giants*, Diamondbacks, Rockies, Padres

ALDS: Indians over Yankees, Red Sox over Astros
ALCS: Indians over Astros
NLDS: Cubs over Giants, Nationals over Dodgers
NLCS: Cubs over Nationals
World Series: Cubs over Indians

AL MVP (1-2-3): Stanton, Mike Trout, Lindor
AL Cy Young (1-2-3): Kluber, Chris Sale, Carlos Carrasco


NL MVP (1-2-3): Kris Bryant, Bryce Harper, Paul Goldschmidt
NL Cy Young (1-2-3): Max Scherzer, Kyle Hendricks, Clayton Kershaw,

If you can't tell, I'm a cubs fan
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-19-2018, 11:06 AM
rekrap's Avatar
rekrap rekrap is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,924
Default

Two persons have entered. Last year and consensus picks available, too. I can pull 538 and BP closer to season starting for 2 more.

But now that your bracket is likely busted, it's time to start thinking about baseball!

Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-21-2018, 04:35 PM
Evil monkey's Avatar
Evil monkey Evil monkey is offline
Member
CAS AAA
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Brian's closet
Favorite beer: De Garde EoC
Posts: 699
Default

AL East: Yanks, BoSox*, Blue Jays, Orioles, Rays
AL Central: Indians, Twins*, ChiSox, Royals, Tigers
AL West: Astros, A's, Angels, Mariners, Rangers

NL East: Nationals, Mets, Phillies, Braves, Marlins
NL Central: Cubs, Cardinals*, Brewers, Pirates, Reds
NL West: Dodgers, Diamondbacks*, Giants, Rockies, Padres

ALDS: Yankees over Indians, Astros over Red Sox
ALCS: Astros over Yankees
NLDS: Dodgers over Cubs, Nationals over Dbacks
NLCS: Dodgers over Nationals
World Series: Astros over Dodgers

AL MVP (1-2-3): Stanton, Trout, Yelich
AL Cy Young (1-2-3): Verlander, Kluber, Sale
AL surprise: A's have 6 players with 20 or more HR

NL MVP (1-2-3): Harper, Bryant, C Seager
NL Cy Young (1-2-3): Syndegaard, Scherzer, Kershaw
NL surprise: David Wright plays more than a dozen games
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-21-2018, 04:55 PM
yankeetripper's Avatar
yankeetripper yankeetripper is offline
Member
ASPPA COPA
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Left of Center
Studying for Nothing.
Favorite beer: Massive Quantities
Posts: 43,253
Default

AL East: NYY, BOS*, TOR, TB, BAL
AL Cent: CLE, MIN, KC, DET, CHW
AL West: HOU, LAA*, SEA, TEX, OAK

NL East: WAS, NYM, PHI, ATL, MIA
NL Cent: CHC, STL*, MIL, CIN, PIT
NL West: LAD, AZD*, COL, SFG, SDP

WS Yankees over Nationals

AL MVP Carlos Correa
AL Cy Young Sonny Gray
AL Surprise Sonny Gray wins Cy Young

NL MVP Bryce Harper
NL Cy Young Strasburg
NL Surprise they win the inter league series for the first time in a long time
__________________
Baseball is life;
the rest is just details.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-21-2018, 05:18 PM
Ezekial Cumberland's Avatar
Ezekial Cumberland Ezekial Cumberland is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 3,076
Default

AL East: Red Sox, Yankees*, Blue Jays, Orioles, Rays
AL Central: Indians, Twins*, Royals, Tigers, White Sox
AL West: Astros, Mariners, Angels, Rangers, A's

NL East: Nationals, Phillies, Braves, Mets, Marlins
NL Central: Cubs, Brewers*, Cardinals, Pirates, Reds
NL West: Dodgers, Diamondbacks*, Giants, Rockies, Padres

ALDS: Astros over Yankees, Indians over Red Sox
ALCS: Astros over Indians
NLDS: Nationals over Diamondbacks, Cubs over Dodgers
NLCS: Nationals over Cubs
World Series: Nationals over Astros

AL MVP (1-2-3): Mike Trout, Jose Altuve, Mookie Betts
AL Cy Young (1-2-3): Corey Kluber, Chris Sale, Dallas Kechuel
AL Surprise: Stanton -> PED suspension

NL MVP (1-2-3): Paul Goldschmidt, Bryce Harper, Cody Bellinger
NL Cy Young (1-2-3): Jake Arrieta, Max Scherzer, Stephen Strausburg
NL Surprise: Phillies lose Wild Card in a play-in game vs Brewers after Arrieta
pitches 9-inning CG shutout in game 162
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-21-2018, 06:54 PM
DanielSong39 DanielSong39 is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
College: Caltech, Class of 2000
Posts: 6,680
Default

AL East: Yankees, Red Sox*, Blue Jays, Rays, Orioles
AL Central: Indians, Twins, White Sox, Royals, Tigers
AL West: Astros, Angels*, Mariners, Rangers, A's

NL East: Nationals, Mets, Phillies, Braves, Marlins
NL Central: Cubs, Cardinals*, Brewers, Reds, Pirates
NL West: Dodgers, Diamondbacks*, Giants, Rockies, Padres

ALDS: Astros over Red Sox, Yankees over Indians
ALCS: Astros over Yankees
NLDS: Dodgers over Cardinals, Nationals over Cubs
NLCS: Dodgers over Nationals
World Series: Astros over Dodgers

AL MVP (1-2-3): Mike Trout, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa
AL Cy Young (1-2-3): Chris Sale, Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco
AL Surprise: Judge and Stanton combine for fewer than 80 home runs

NL MVP (1-2-3): Bryce Harper, Kris Bryant, Nolan Arenado
NL Cy Young (1-2-3): Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Noah Syndergaard
NL Surprise: Bryce Harper has down year; still demands a $500 million contract
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-21-2018, 07:23 PM
Chuck Chuck is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Illinois
Posts: 4,314
Default

AL East: Yankees, Orioles, Red Sox, Blue Jays, Rays
AL Central: White Sox, Indians, Twins, Royals, Tigers
AL West: Astros, A's*, Angels*, Mariners, Rangers,

NL East: Nationals, Phillies*, Braves, Mets, Marlins
NL Central: Cubs, Cardinals*, Brewers, Pirates, Reds
NL West: Dodgers, Padres, Rockies, Diamondbacks, Giants

ALWC: A's over Angels
ALDS: A's over Yankees, White Sox over Astros
ALCS: White Sox over A's

NLWC: Phillies over Cardinals
NLDS: Phillies over Nationals, Cubs over Dodgers
NLCS: Phillies over Cubs

World Series: White Sox over Phillies

AL MVP (1-2-3): Avi Garcia, Jose Altuve, Mike Trout
AL Cy Young (1-2-3): Lucas Gioloto, Chris Sale, Corey Kluber
AL Surprise: What surprises?

NL MVP (1-2-3): Rhys Hoskins, Ronald Acuna, Corey Seager
NL Cy Young (1-2-3): Clayton Kershaw, Max Scherzer, Jake Arrieta
NL Surprise: What surprises?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-21-2018, 09:39 PM
Abelian Grape's Avatar
Abelian Grape Abelian Grape is offline
Meme-ber                         Meme-ber
CAS
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Posts: 39,971
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Evil monkey View Post
AL East: Yanks, BoSox*, Blue Jays, Orioles, Rays
AL Central: Indians, Twins*, ChiSox, Royals, Tigers
AL West: Astros, A's, Angels, Mariners, Rangers

NL East: Nationals, Mets, Phillies, Braves, Marlins
NL Central: Cubs, Cardinals*, Brewers, Pirates, Reds
NL West: Dodgers, Diamondbacks*, Giants, Rockies, Padres

ALDS: Yankees over Indians, Astros over Red Sox
ALCS: Astros over Yankees
NLDS: Dodgers over Cubs, Nationals over Dbacks
NLCS: Dodgers over Nationals
World Series: Astros over Dodgers

AL MVP (1-2-3): Stanton, Trout, Yelich
AL Cy Young (1-2-3): Verlander, Kluber, Sale
AL surprise: A's have 6 players with 20 or more HR

NL MVP (1-2-3): Harper, Bryant, C Seager
NL Cy Young (1-2-3): Syndegaard, Scherzer, Kershaw
NL surprise: David Wright plays more than a dozen games
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-26-2018, 02:15 PM
rekrap's Avatar
rekrap rekrap is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,924
Default

The season starts this week!
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:16 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
*PLEASE NOTE: Posts are not checked for accuracy, and do not
represent the views of the Actuarial Outpost or its sponsors.
Page generated in 0.51223 seconds with 9 queries