Actuarial Outpost
 
Go Back   Actuarial Outpost > Cyberchat > Sports
FlashChat Actuarial Discussion Preliminary Exams CAS/SOA Exams Cyberchat Around the World Suggestions

Browse Open Actuarial Jobs

Life  Health  Casualty  Pension  Entry Level  All Jobs  Salaries


Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-26-2018, 02:50 PM
rekrap's Avatar
rekrap rekrap is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,948
Default 2018 MLB Weekly Contest

Another season! Another contest! Another even-year Patience win?

Last year, The Arbitrary finished strong to win the contest after Expunge had led most of the year with a pre-determined list of picks.

In 2016, Patience established an even-year trend while winning his 5th championship overall, finishing 4.5 games ahead of the pack (and within 0.004 of his predicted winning percentage).

In 2015, ylekiote won in a great finish, posting 100 Wins, and edging out Efc1878 in win percentage. In 2014, Patience won (for the 4th time!). In 2013, Bicycle Repair Man snuck in a win, despite trying to use Patience's Mets twice! In 2012, Patience held on to win for a 2nd consecutive year and for his 3rd time overall.

In 2010, keyser soze pulled away in the last week to win by 5 1/2 games. In 2009 Patience easily won his 1st time with a record-setting 109 wins (and a 10-game margin). In 2008, Ultimate Anyone? pulled out the win (by 0.009), while the 2007 version was won by Pub Guy (tie-breaker over Patience), 2006 by Pub Guy (going away), and 2005 version by Pseudolus.

Rules will be the same, generally speaking:
1) Prior to each "week" you will select a MLB team. You will get credited with the wins and loses that team had for the week. Weeks will still run MONDAY through SUNDAY, and picks need to be in by Noon ET Monday. If you miss the deadline you may pick a team before Noon EDT on another day and get credit for that day through Sunday's games (i.e., If you make a pick at 9pm Thursday night you will get credit for games played Friday-Sunday).

Note: The first weekend's games, Thursday 3/29 - Sunday 4/1, will NOT count in the first week, we begin with the first full week Monday 4/2.

2) Once you pick a team you can't pick that team again.

3) You must get credit for a minimum of 150 games through the season (which allows you to miss about 2 weeks). Since mid-2008, we have incorporated a rule, similar to the MLB batting average qualifiying rule, such that any games short of 150 count as a loss until you reach the qualifying total. [You can always get more than 150 games, of course]

4) Best winning percentage for the season wins.

5) For a tie-breaker, submit a prediction for your final winning percentage for the season. Closest actual to their selection wins the tiebreaker.


The weeks are as follows:
1 April 2-8
2 April 9-15
3 April 16-22
4 April 23-29
5 Apr 30-May 6
6 May 7-13
7 May 14-20
8 May 21-27
9 May 28-June 3
10 June 4-10
11 June 11-17
12 June 18-24
13 June 25- July 1
14 July 2-8
15 July 9-15
16 July 16-22 (3 games after ASB, Cards/Cubs play 4)
17 July 23-29
18 July 30 - August 5
19 August 6-12
20 August 13-19
21 August 20-26
22 August 27 - September 2
23 September 3-9
24 September 10-16
25 September 17-23
26 September 24-30

Here is a link to an Excel schedule (not mine, I've just update yyyy in filepath each year and it still seems to be available):
http://dailybaseballdata.com/dbd/MLB_schedule_2018.xls

Sorry for the late start, but there's still time - plus a little extra to get a feel for teams, if you want this year.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-26-2018, 02:50 PM
rekrap's Avatar
rekrap rekrap is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,948
Default

Standings
Code:
	Week								
Players 	16	17	18	W	L	Win %	GB	TB	COWPAT
yanktrip	 TBR 	 NYY 	 TEX 	78	31	0.716	0	0.099	0.4204
Ezekial 	 PHI 	 LAA 	 ATL 	76	35	0.685	3	0.067	0.4299
malkusm 	 PHI 	 LAA 	 OAK 	74	36	0.673	4.5	0.069	0.4521
The Arby	 TOR 	 NYY 	 OAK 	75	38	0.664	5	0.030	0.4284
rekrap  	 TOR 	 LAA 	 WAS 	71	37	0.657	6.5	0.003	0.4446
Kid Rock	 TBR 	 LAA 	 LAD 	72	39	0.649	7	0.019	0.4937
Jahiegel	 PHI 	 LAA 	 TBR 	70	40	0.636	8.5	0.014	0.4600
Cynical 	 CIN 	 TOR 	 OAK 	72	43	0.626	9	0.013	0.4673
Patience	 TOR 	 HOU 	 TBR 	66	43	0.606	12	0.024	0.4753
NumNeur 	 CIN 	 LAA 	 OAK 	68	46	0.596	12.5	0.071	0.5175
FearActy	 MIN 	 TOR 	 AZD 	65	45	0.591	13.5	0.034	0.4851
ImPretty	 CHC 	 TOR 	 ATL 	65	46	0.586	14	0.044	0.5108
UltAny1?	 TOR 	 WAS 	 TEX 	65	47	0.580	14.5	0.083	0.4791
dinoian 	 AZD 	 NYY 	 ATL 	64	52	0.552	17.5	0.068	0.4888
Picks so far:

Code:
	Wk																									
PlayerID	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26
Cynical 	COR	WAS	MIL	KCR	BRS	CHC	PIT	NYM	AZD	NYY	PHI	SFG	SEA	TBR	MIN	CIN	TOR	OAK								
dinoian 	HOU	KCR	MIL	CIN	WAS	LAD	SFG	NYM	SDP	SLC	CLE	COR	BAL	TBR	BRS	AZD	NYY	ATL	LAA	TEX	TOR	PIT	CWS	CHC	PHI	MIN
Ezekial 	HOU	TBR	MIL	COR	DET	CHC	BRS	WAS	AZD	OAK	LAD	CLE	SEA	SFG	MIN	PHI	LAA	ATL	SLC							
FearActy	COR	PHI	DET	BAL	BRS	ATL	SEA	WAS	SDP	OAK	CLE	SFG	MIL	NYM	SLC	MIN	TOR	AZD	LAA	HOU	CHC	KCR	PIT	NYY	LAD	TBR
ImPretty	PIT	CLE	MIL	COR	MIN	BAL	SFG	DET	OAK	SLC	KCR	CIN	TEX	TBR	HOU	CHC	TOR	ATL	LAA	AZD	LAD	NYY	PHI	BRS	WAS	SEA
Jahiegel	HOU	CLE	MIL	COR	NYM	CHC	PIT	WAS	SDP	OAK	AZD	SFG	TEX	NYY	LAD	PHI	LAA	TBR	BRS							
Kid Rock	DET	NYM	MIL	KCR	WAS	BAL	PIT	PHI	SEA	BRS	ATL	HOU	TEX	CHC	MIN	TBR	LAA	LAD	MIA	NYY	TOR	CLE	AZD	SLC	OAK	COR
malkusm 	PIT	CLE	MIL	BAL	WAS	CHC	SEA	LAD	SDP	BRS	ATL	COR	TEX	AZD	HOU	PHI	LAA	OAK	MIA							
NumNeur 	CWS	BRS	AZD	CLE	DET	BAL	TBR	SLC	SDP	CHC	MIA	COR	NYM	SEA	MIN	CIN	LAA	OAK	HOU	ATL	LAD	SFG	PIT	PHI	MIL	WAS
Patience	PIT	CLE	MIL	BAL	NYM	CHC	SEA	LAD	SDP	BRS	NYY	SFG	TEX	AZD	MIN	TOR	HOU	TBR								
rekrap  	NYY	CLE	MIL	LAD	DET	PHI	PIT	CHC	AZD	BRS	ATL	HOU	SEA	MIN	CWS	TOR	LAA	WAS								
The Arby	COR	WAS	AZD	HOU	BRS	CHC	PIT	LAD	CLE	SLC	ATL	SFG	TEX	MIL	TBR	TOR	NYY	OAK	MIA							
UltAny1?	CHC	SLC	MIL	KCR	CIN	COR	AZD	NYM	OAK	CLE	DET	HOU	SEA	MIN	BRS	TOR	WAS	TEX								
yanktrip	BRS	CLE	MIL	COR	MIN	CHC	PIT	WAS	AZD	SLC	ATL	OAK	SEA	HOU	PHI	TBR	NYY	TEX	NYM	LAA

Last edited by rekrap; 08-06-2018 at 10:05 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-26-2018, 07:41 PM
yankeetripper's Avatar
yankeetripper yankeetripper is offline
Member
ASPPA COPA
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Left of Center
Studying for Nothing.
Favorite beer: Massive Quantities
Posts: 43,535
Default

Wk1 Boston Red Sox
__________________
Baseball is life;
the rest is just details.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-27-2018, 06:36 AM
Kid Rock's Avatar
Kid Rock Kid Rock is offline
Member
Non-Actuary
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Favorite beer: Wicked Weed sours
Posts: 4,901
Default

Detroit
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-27-2018, 10:03 AM
Patience's Avatar
Patience Patience is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: a kinder, gentler place
Favorite beer: Scotch
Posts: 47,719
Default

Pit

.6298
__________________
"I've been through the desert on a horse with no name...
In the desert you can remember your name
'Cause there ain't no one for to give you no pain"
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-27-2018, 11:00 AM
rekrap's Avatar
rekrap rekrap is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,948
Default

Well, now that Patience has signed up, I wonder how many will be scared off...

He's also the only one to provide a projected win percentage for tie-break purposes, so he's clearly in it to win it!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-27-2018, 12:41 PM
Ultimate Anyone?'s Avatar
Ultimate Anyone? Ultimate Anyone? is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: On an Ultimate field
Posts: 14,384
Default

Wk1: CHC

Tie-breaker: 0.663

10 year anniversary since my last (and only) title - that means I'm due, right?
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-27-2018, 12:46 PM
rekrap's Avatar
rekrap rekrap is offline
Member
SOA AAA
 
Join Date: Apr 2004
Posts: 24,948
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ultimate Anyone? View Post
10 year anniversary since my last (and only) title - that means I'm due, right?
Has it been that long already?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-27-2018, 03:34 PM
trondogss's Avatar
trondogss trondogss is offline
Member
SOA
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Master Control Program
Studying for GH Specialty
Posts: 8,289
Default

Week 1: Phi

Tie-breaker: .635
__________________
P FM MFE MLC Modules 1-8 IA FA C ASA GH Core GH Advanced FSA Modules 1/3
Quote:
Originally Posted by Vomik View Post
You successfully played "just the tip?" Ive always ended up losing
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-27-2018, 03:46 PM
The Arbitrary's Avatar
The Arbitrary The Arbitrary is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Studying for a field sobriety test
Favorite beer: Grizzly
Posts: 14,191
Default

Week 1 Colorado

...let's go with .634 again
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:20 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
*PLEASE NOTE: Posts are not checked for accuracy, and do not
represent the views of the Actuarial Outpost or its sponsors.
Page generated in 0.29135 seconds with 10 queries