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#1
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I am able to solve 3-state problem and their variations easily, like SOA sample question #27. Compute probabilities of each state (setup 3 equations, etc.)
But the below question from a mock test I am not able to follow. I don't understand how to go from prob to supershares. Q: At the end of 6 months, 3 possible values of a market index. Super shares pay $1 at 6 months, if the associated price occurs, nothing otherwise. Index delta = 0.04, r=0.15. Supershare Price Index price Supershare 1 SS1 100 Supershare 2 SS2 135 Supershare 3 SS3 175 (a) 6 months cash or nothing put with payment trigger 120 is priced at 0.25 (b) 6 month asset or nothing call with payment trigger 125 is priced at 104.61. My approach: Let p1, p2 and p3 be probabilities of each state. First: p1+p2+p3=1 Second, cash put ==> 0.25= (1) p1 * exp(-.15*.5) Third, asset call ==> 104.61 = (135 p2 + 175 p3) exp (-.15*.5) From this I get p1, p2 and p3. Then what do I do to determine SS1, SS2 and SS3? Can someone explain what a supershare really is? There's only a small side box in DM book, the only material I have used, and that is not very clear. Thanks! Last edited by drsingh; 08-06-2012 at 12:28 PM.. Reason: Corrected typo |
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#2
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A supershare pays $1 if and only if its associated state occurs. Therefore, using risk-neutral probabilities, we have:
SS1 = p1 * exp(-0.075) SS2 = p2 * exp(-0.075) SS3 = p3 * exp(-0.075) The answer to the question is: (2p1 - p2 + p3) * exp(-0.075) |
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