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Old 12-07-2018, 11:08 AM
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Default The Rebel Forum 2019 Celebrity Death Pool

The Rebel Forum 2019 Celebrity Death Pool


Back for its 16th year ()! We're keeping the full set of rules for the sake of any newcomers:

"What's a celebrity death pool?", you ask... Simple, just make two lists of celebrities* that you think will kick the bucket, buy the farm, cash in their chips (a.k.a. DIE) in the coming year, 1/1/2019-12/31/2019 11:59pm in the city in which the celebrity passes. Your first list should have 15 celebrities of any age, and your second list should have 5 celebrities under age 50 (as of 1/1/2019)... we'll call these your "tragedy picks".

Number the lists from #1-15 and #1-5, with #1 being who you feel is most likely to die, and so on down the line. As the obits roll in, you will score 15 points if your #1 pick dies, decreasing down to 1 point for your #15 pick. The tragedy picks have higher scores... #1 will be worth 20 points, #2 will be worth 16 points, #3 will be worth 12 points, #4 will be worth 8 points, and #5 will be worth 4 points. They don't have to die in a tragic way, we just refer to them as tragedy picks since, unlike many of your other selections, they aren't being picked largely for being old and decrepit. Also, there is nothing keeping you from putting people under 50 years old on your main list of 15 if you have lots of younger entries, they just don't all qualify for the tragedy scoring... One last extra scoring point: if one of your celebrities dies and you are the only person playing to have guessed that celebrity, you will score 1 extra point.


NOTE: Submit "Alternate" picks in addition to your lists of 15 regular and 5 tragedy selections. This is in case:
  • one or more of your picks dies between the time you submit and the start of 2019
  • I throw out one of your picks for not being a celebrity.
If that happens, your Alternate Pick will move to the bottom of your list and all others will move up one spot. Same thing goes if a celebrity dies in a previous year, but for some reason the news doesn't become official until much later... in that case I will retroactively add points for that celebrity in the pool for the year in which they are reported to have died. That celebrity would then be removed from your list, all others would move up one spot, and I'd add your Alternate Pick to the bottom. However, if someone on your list is dead before 2019 or I have to reject one of your celebrities, and you don't have any alternates, that's your own fault.

I've tried to close up most loopholes in the rules, so just try and make life easy by picking legitimate celebs. If you have any questions on if someone is eligible, feel free to ask me via PM. Anyone who has been allowed and is still alive is still eligible. For a fairly reliable list of many celebrities alive-or-dead status, check out these web sites (http://www.whosaliveandwhosdead.com and http://www.deadoraliveinfo.com/dead.nsf)

Since there is some degree of judgment as to who is and is not a celebrity (see below), let me know if you are not participating and you want to volunteer to be part of an independent (i.e. not an alternate ID of somebody competing) arbitrator group to make judgment calls on questionable choices.

I ask that you PM your entries to me by 11:59 PM, Dec 26th. This will allow me time over the holidays to determine who is famous and who isn't. Entries should be PMed to me – I won’t look until I give my picks to another contestant who has finalized his/her picks and I send my picks to that participant - in order to keep the chances of an unusual pick remaining unique, as well as to prevent people from submitting a conglomerate list of the most popular picks. Another reason for cutting off entries before midnight on New Year’s Eve is that it gives time to compile the frequencies of the names selected so we can submit an AO-composite entry in the Derby Dead Pool.

* What constitutes a celebrity?
  • Celebrities are musicians, actors, writers, athletes, political and religious figures and such... pretty much any public human figure recognizable by name alone.
* What is not a celebrity?
  • Anyone who is known more for being related to another celebrity by birth, marriage, or romance (which is entirely different from marriage) than for any of their own fame/accolades is not a celebrity.
  • Anyone who is known solely for their health history and/or current condition more than any accomplishments is not a celebrity. Individuals prominently renowned for being amongst the world's oldest living people, multiple transplant survivors, etc. are not eligible.
  • Persons known to be on death row or whose death is a certainty do not qualify. Don't try and take the guesswork out of this! Famous prisoners that die of natural causes will count towards the pool.
Should you enter a celebrity with a name shared by other celebrities or quasi famous people, please specify exactly which you are referring to. For example, if you mention on your list that you want Vanessa Williams, I can't exactly tell if you mean a) Vanessa A. Williams, the actress whose credits include the Showtime TV series "Soul Food" or b) Vanessa L. Williams, the pageant model/singer/actress? Without clarifying which celebrity you are referring to, it will become my discretion.

What are we playing for? Well, Tom has given emoticons names of winners and a tshirt or hat. We've yet to have a year finish with a tie for first place. We'll just leave it as a tie.

I will then handle all of the updates. Feel free to use this thread as a discussion area, try and break the news on new deaths before I beat you to it, etc. Any help in acknowledging relevant deaths will be a big help in keeping score! I will post the full list of entrants and selections once all entries have been received and verified.


Lastly, links to the previous years' pools:
The Rebel Forum 2004 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by Ray Finkle, Runner-up urysohn
The Rebel Forum 2005 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by father of two, Runner-up Butters
The Rebel Forum 2006 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by working girl, Runner-up hotkarl
The Rebel Forum 2007 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by Werewolf, Runner-up working girl
The Rebel Forum 2008 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by working girl, Runner-up Werewolf
The Rebel Forum 2009 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by working girl, Runner-up Joker
The Rebel Forum 2010 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by zeuz, Runner-up Wannabe Actuary
The Rebel Forum 2011 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by frummie, Runners-up Patience/Werewolf
The Rebel Forum 2012 Celebrity Death Pool - Won by Traina, Runner-up keyser soze
The Rebel Forum 2013 Celebrity Death pool - Won by Werewolf, Runner-up frummie
The Rebel Forum 2014 Celebrity Death pool - Won by Maphisto's Sidekick, Runner-up frummie
The Rebel Forum 2015 Celebrity Death pool – Won by Patience, Runner-up Werewolf
The Rebel Forum 2016 Celebrity Death pool – Won by Maphisto's Sidekick, Runner-up Traina
The Rebel Forum 2017 Celebrity Death pool - Won by Wannabe Actuary, Runner-Up Patience
The Rebel Forum 2018 Celebrity Death pool – Won by Werewolf, Runner-Up working girl
__________________
Check out some AO games of prognosticating skills; cheer on your favorite predictors in the The Rebel Forum 2020 Celebrity Death Pool and the Predict the SNL Hosts Game - Season 45 !
Congratulations to Wannabe Actuary for winning The Rebel Forum 2019 Celebrity Death Pool!

Sharpen your comedic skills in the Captions - New Picture Every Day! thread, > 80,000 posts & 7 million views & owner of the 8 millionth AO post!

Last edited by frummie; 01-14-2019 at 12:04 PM..
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  #2  
Old 12-07-2018, 11:09 AM
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Let the heads roll!
Here are the lists in order received. T denotes Tragedy pick; * denotes unique pick
For those who missed the deadline, I may add last year's picks.
Quote:
Ezekial Cumberland

1. John Andretti
2. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
3. Olivia Newton-John
4. Sumner Redstone
5. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
6. José José -- Died 09/28/2019
7. John Rigas
8. Clive James -- Died 11/24/2019
9. Olivia de Havilland
10. Kirk Douglas
11. Prince Philip
12. Queen Elizabeth II*
13. Valerie Harper -- Died 08/30/2019
14. Jimmy Carter
15. Bart Starr* -- Died 05/26/2019

T1. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi -- Died 10/26/2019
T2. Michael Schumacher
T3. Gino Odjick*
T4. Steve Gleason
T5. Kim Jong-un


General Apathy

1. Olivia de Havilland
2. Vera Lynn
3. Kirk Douglas
4. Beverly Cleary
5. Bob Barker
6. Henry Kissinger
7. Bob Dole
8. Doris Day* -- Died 05/13/2019
9. Pierre Cardin*
10. Bill Cosby*
11. Carl Reiner*
12. Stirling Moss*
13. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
14. Honor Blackman*
#N/A

T1. Ellen Pompeo*
T2. Kevin McKidd*
T3. Sara Ramirez*
T4. Sandra Oh*
T5. Chandra Wilson*


hotkarl -- Runner-Up 2006

1. José José -- Died 09/28/2019
2. Edmund Capon* -- Died 03/13/2019
3. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
4. Kirk Douglas
5. Olivia de Havilland
6. John Rigas
7. Herman Wouk -- Died 05/17/2019
8. Linda Nolan*
9. Desmond Tutu*
10. Prince Philip
11. Clive James -- Died 11/24/2019
12. Beverly Cleary
13. Sumner Redstone
14. Pat Bowlen -- Died 06/13/2019
15. Pele

T1. Fatima Ali -- Died 01/25/2019
T2. Sonali Bendre*
T3. Gabriele Grunewald* -- Died 06/11/2019
T4. Steve Gleason
T5. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi -- Died 10/26/2019


Maphisto's Sidekick -- Champion 2014, 2016

1. Andrew McGahan* -- Died 02/01/2019
2. Andrew Fairlie* -- Died 01/22/2019
3. Beth Chapman -- Died 06/26/2019
4. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
5. Nobby Stiles
6. John Rigas
7. Bob Dole
8. Prince Philip
9. Mark Gastineau*
10. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
11. Ruth Bader Ginsburg
12. Nichelle Nichols*
13. Henry Kissinger
14. Lonnie Cook*
15. Jack Nicholson*

T1. Fatima Ali -- Died 01/25/2019
T2. Emeelya Elyana Emrizal*
T3. Roman Reigns
T4. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi -- Died 10/26/2019
T5. Marián Čišovský


frummie -- Champion 2011; Runner Up 2013, 2014

1. Jerry Sloan*
2. Vic "the Brick" Jacobs
3. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
4. David Koch*
5. Sumner Redstone
6. Pat Bowlen -- Died 06/13/2019
7. Donald Sterling*
8. Marty Schottenheimer*
9. Bill Snyder*
10. Jakiw Palij* -- Died 01/10/2019
11. Emmerson Mnangagwa*
12. Olivia de Havilland
13. Sandra Day O'Connor*
14. Kirk Douglas
15. Robert Durst*

T1. Steve Gleason
T2. Pete Davidson
T3. Chelsea Manning*
T4. Shannen Doherty
T5. Lydia Emily*


Werewolf -- Champion 2007, 2013, 2018; Runner Up 2008, 2011, 2015

1. Ruth Bader Ginsburg
2. José José -- Died 09/28/2019
3. Steve Lieberman*
4. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
5. George Alagiah*
6. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
7. John Andretti
8. Norm Coleman
9. Valerie Harper -- Died 08/30/2019
10. Clive James -- Died 11/24/2019
11. Olivia Newton-John
12. Irrfan Khan*
13. Sandy Alderson*
14. David Prowse
15. Hank Aaron*

T1. Michael Schumacher
T2. Bibian Mentel*
T3. Roman Reigns
T4. Lena Dunham*
T5. 6ix9ine


Traina -- Champion 2012; Runner Up 2016

1. Olivia de Havilland
2. Samula Anoa’i
3. Kirk Douglas
4. Beth Chapman -- Died 06/26/2019
5. Candi Staton*
6. Bill Mills*
7. Hosni Mubarak*
8. Tom Jordan*
9. Olivia Newton-John
10. Bob Dole
11. Prince Philip
12. Jimmy Carter
13. Vera Lynn
14. Alan Alda*
15. Robert Clary*

T1. Selma Blair*
T2. Shannen Doherty
T3. Pete Davidson
T4. Lil Wayne*
T5. Frankie Muniz*


Patience -- Champion 2015; Runner Up 2011, 2017

1. John Andretti
2. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
3. Pat Bowlen -- Died 06/13/2019
4. David Prowse
5. Nobby Stiles
6. Clive James -- Died 11/24/2019
7. Pete Dye*
8. Tim Conway* -- Died 01/00/1900
9. José José -- Died 09/28/2019
10. Somchai Khunpluem* -- Died 06/17/2019
11. Beth Chapman -- Died 06/26/2019
12. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
13. Steve Smith*
14. Sumner Redstone
15. Bob Dole

T1. Steve Gleason
T2. Demi Lovato*
T3. 6ix9ine
T4. Pete Davidson
T5. Michael Schumacher


The Arbitrary

1. Olivia de Havilland
2. Herman Wouk -- Died 05/17/2019
3. Kirk Douglas
4. Prince Philip
5. Julie Gibson* -- Died 10/16/2019
6. IM Pei -- Died 05/16/2019
7. Ruth Bader Ginsburg
8. Bob Dole
9. Pope Benedict*
10. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
11. Norman Lloyd*
12. Henry Kissinger
13. Ursula Andress*
14. Bob Barker
15. Eddie Robinson*

T1. Michael Schumacher
T2. Pete Davidson
T3. 6ix9ine
T4. Bhad Bhabie*
T5. Lamar Odom*


yankee tripper

1. Olivia Newton-John
2. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
3. Bob Watson*
4. Harry Reid*
5. Prince Philip
6. Olivia De Havilland
7. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
8. Valerie Harper -- Died 08/30/2019
9. Jimmy Carter
10. Whitey Ford*
11. Vera Lynn
12. John Paul Stevens* -- Died 07/16/2019
13. Herman Wouk -- Died 05/17/2019
14. Beverly Cleary
15. Prunella Scales*

T1. Fatima Ali -- Died 01/25/2019
T2. Simone Giertz*
T3. Jeannie Gaffigan*
T4. Roman Reigns
T5. Michael Schumacher


Wannabe Actuary -- Champion 2017; Runner Up 2010

1. José José
2. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
3. Bob Dole
4. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
5. Herman Wouk -- Died 05/17/2019
6. Kirk Douglas
7. Olivia de Havilland
8. Prince Philip
9. Bob Barker
10. IM Pei -- Died 05/16/2019
11. Jimmy Carter
12. Beverly Cleary
13. John Andretti
14. Valerie Harper -- Died 08/30/2019
15. Cloris Leachman*

T1. Marieke Vervoort* -- Died 10/22/2019
T2. Fernando Ricksen* -- Died 09/18/2019
T3. Pete Frates* -- Died 12/10/2019
T4. Steve Gleason
T5. Marián Čišovský


working girl -- Champion 2006, 2008, 2009; Runner Up 2007, 2018

1. Leah Bracknell -- Died 09/16/2019
2. Samula Anoa’I
3. Vic "the Brick" Jacobs
4. Frédéric Riesterer*
5. Norm Coleman
6. Chris Doleman*
7. Sacheen Littlefeather*
8. Clive James -- Died 11/24/2019
9. John Andretti
10. Bob Dole
11. Sumner Redstone
12. Olivia Newton-John
13. Pele
14. Robert Mugabe -- Died 09/06/2019
15. Scott Hamilton*

T1. John Hartson*
T2. Roman Reigns
T3. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi -- Died 10/26/2019
T4. Michael Schumacher
T5. Kim Jong-un
Good luck to all contestants! Bad luck to the chosen celebrities!
__________________
Check out some AO games of prognosticating skills; cheer on your favorite predictors in the The Rebel Forum 2020 Celebrity Death Pool and the Predict the SNL Hosts Game - Season 45 !
Congratulations to Wannabe Actuary for winning The Rebel Forum 2019 Celebrity Death Pool!

Sharpen your comedic skills in the Captions - New Picture Every Day! thread, > 80,000 posts & 7 million views & owner of the 8 millionth AO post!

Last edited by frummie; 12-27-2019 at 01:09 PM.. Reason: Updated to include 2018 champion and runner up
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  #3  
Old 12-20-2018, 01:53 PM
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Just a reminder -- the 26th is only a few days away.
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Old 12-20-2018, 03:56 PM
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In!
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Spoiler:
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Old 12-20-2018, 11:54 PM
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Weekend will be research time!
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rawl316 View Post
I like playing with myself
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Old 12-24-2018, 11:30 AM
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Was worried it was due today. Phew! Two more days.

My laptop crapped out on me this year so I lost years of celebrity research. I'm guessing Werewolf will be happy to hear this.
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Old 12-24-2018, 01:54 PM
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frummie frummie is offline
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OK My picks are in.
__________________
Check out some AO games of prognosticating skills; cheer on your favorite predictors in the The Rebel Forum 2020 Celebrity Death Pool and the Predict the SNL Hosts Game - Season 45 !
Congratulations to Wannabe Actuary for winning The Rebel Forum 2019 Celebrity Death Pool!

Sharpen your comedic skills in the Captions - New Picture Every Day! thread, > 80,000 posts & 7 million views & owner of the 8 millionth AO post!
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Old 12-24-2018, 01:54 PM
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frummie frummie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by working girl View Post
Was worried it was due today. Phew! Two more days.

My laptop crapped out on me this year so I lost years of celebrity research. I'm guessing Werewolf will be happy to hear this.
What will the world do without all that research?
__________________
Check out some AO games of prognosticating skills; cheer on your favorite predictors in the The Rebel Forum 2020 Celebrity Death Pool and the Predict the SNL Hosts Game - Season 45 !
Congratulations to Wannabe Actuary for winning The Rebel Forum 2019 Celebrity Death Pool!

Sharpen your comedic skills in the Captions - New Picture Every Day! thread, > 80,000 posts & 7 million views & owner of the 8 millionth AO post!
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  #9  
Old 12-24-2018, 05:37 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by frummie View Post
What will the world do without all that research?
LOL guessing the world doesn't care, but I have to figure out who is old, who has cancer. Googling all that is a pain in the butt!
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Old 12-25-2018, 10:27 AM
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Maphisto's Sidekick Maphisto's Sidekick is offline
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Just a reminder -- if you're getting sick of relatives that have come to visit you, or that you've been sentenced to visit, "I need to do some research for something important that's due tomorrow" is a GREAT excuse to get away from the family for a few hours!
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