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Originally Posted by The Drunken Actuary
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I disagree. These predictions are based on Conventional Wisdom, which has frequently been wrong. Also, look at the date! (March, 2005)
Then there's this...
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This is a snapshot at the starting gate, and maybe we'll all look back in November 2006 and have a hearty chuckle when we realize how misleading the 2005 picture of the upcoming Senate contests appeared. (Exactly such a deceptive prediction from analysts occurred in 1980, 1986, 1994, and 2000, just to mention four such years.) All we at the Crystal Ball can do is to help you keep up with the ever-shifting Senate sands, and our state-by-state analysis ( http://www.centerforpolitics.org/cry...ll/2006/senate) will create our benchmark for the 2006 battle for the upper chamber of Congress.
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In religion and politics, people's beliefs and convictions are in almost every case gotten at second hand, and without examination.
Mark Twain
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01-02-2006, 03:58 PM
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