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Old 04-26-2006, 10:57 AM
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Default We keep seeing Bush approval ratings drop but:

This thread isn't intended to be Bush praising or Bush bashing. I don't care WHY the rating are lower only the effect that lower ratings has.

If you don't believe this statement: "Bush's approval ratings are lower than they were 2 years ago."
Then you disagree with the whole thread and there is no real point to posting here. Unless you want to state exactly that "you disagree with the thread and you don't think his ratings have dropped."

Has anyone seen any polls that indicate a shift in the Party that people allign themselves with?

A poll with a question like (with answers from before and now):
1) What Party do you think most closely follow your views?
2) What Party do you think you will vote for in the next election?

Just wondering what the backlash of a bad rating will be:
- Will (or are) Libertarians or Dems gaining from this?
- Do people blame Bush and not the Republican Party?
- Do those who no longer 'approve' of Bush still think it's the best choice? 'given the choices'
- Is there a larger segment of people (than 2 years ago) who think: Gov't sucks, they all suck, it doesn't matter which Party.

Last edited by MNBridge; 04-26-2006 at 10:59 AM..
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:02 AM
UNCORRELATED LAY UNCORRELATED LAY is offline
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I have seen no such polls. Maybe the google monkey could help out.
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:05 AM
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hmmm, I doubt it will change much in 2006 as the races are so skewed these days that they are generally uncompetitive.

Bush is blamed for Iraq and probably high oil prices.

What choices???

-No, I think people are angry about Irag and oil prices, and think the government can do something about those two things.
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:12 AM
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Default Unnamed vs. Named Democrat

My guess (and I have no scientific evidence to back this up) is that in a poll of Bush vs. an Unnamed Democrat, Bush would win.

Once the Democrat is named, however, all bets are off.

And I don't believe his low poll ratings necessarily carry over to other Republicans, so I'm not sure how meaningful they are.

I say this as a lifelong (and frustrated) Democrat. But this is what I think is happening.
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:12 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UNCORRELATED LAY
I have seen no such polls. Maybe the google monkey could help out.
I found one spot with some WSJ More polls than below, nothing I found to interesting

"If the election for Congress were being held today, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?"
Base: All Adults

TREND Republican Democrat Other Undecided*
April 37% 41% 15% 6%
January 34 43 14 9

Based on this Republicans are gaining (as are other Parties) and Dems are fading. Intersting: Not sure I know what the relevnce is but interesting.
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:15 AM
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:20 AM
UNCORRELATED LAY UNCORRELATED LAY is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Guerilla poster
I don't see how that was realclear or a correct response to the questions.
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:25 AM
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I didn't know there was correct or incorrect answer.
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:27 AM
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I would venture to guess 90% of the population will vote for their party's canidate reguardless of approval ratings. So the fight is for the 10% that goes to the best marketed party, i.e. who can look the best on TV on who can bs the best in debates.
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Old 04-26-2006, 11:28 AM
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Oh, and currently I still think Rep are better at marketing than the Dems, although that may change.
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