I don’t know why, but I tried to fit a log normal distribution to this, I used mu=2.6, and sigma=.3393, with an expected value of 14.26 days, and SD of 5 days. The mode is right around 12 days (Thursday the 28th). Originally I tried to set the expected value to be 12 days (with a SD around 7 days), but it would assign too much probability to lower values (e.g results in less than 12 days) which is really unlikely. With this distribution, there is a less than 19% change the result will come out in less than 10 days, and 37% change the result will come out in less than 12 days.
Why am I doing this? To procrastinate of course… Anyone that’s not studying got a better distribution? It’s a shame, there are so many distributions out there, and I am not familiar with most of them…